# Bulgaria HS 480421 exports | Yugalinks

Explore reported HS 480421 exports from Bulgaria: destinations, growth, concentration, prices, and history.

## Exporter position

| Measure | Value |
| --- | --- |
| Exporter | Bulgaria |
| HS6 | 480421 |
| Latest exports | $89.2M |
| Active destinations | 35 |
| Three-year growth | +1.4% |
| Destination HHI | 870 |
| Weighted share | 20.6% |

## Destination markets

- Italy: $15.2M; share 14.8%; growth +44%
- Turkey: $12.5M; share 19.3%; growth -9.6%
- Serbia: $11.2M; share 36%; growth +4.8%
- Poland: $8.5M; share 12.6%; growth +540.5%
- South Africa: $5.8M; share 13.5%; growth -11.2%

## Price intelligence

- Highest reported market price: Norway at $51.5K / ton.
- Lowest reported market price: China at $600.9 / ton.
- Median reported price: $945.7 / ton.
- Price spread: 5,382.3%.

## Export history

- 2010: $32.0M
- 2011: $62.9M
- 2012: $54.7M
- 2013: $67.7M
- 2014: $75.2M
- 2015: $62.6M
- 2016: $64.7M
- 2017: $73.2M
- 2018: $80.8M
- 2019: $68.6M
- 2020: $46.4M
- 2021: $78.9M
- 2022: $120.0M
- 2023: $90.3M
- 2024: $82.3M

## Methods

Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.

Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed.

## Complete structured values

```json
{
  "template": "T3",
  "templateName": "Product Exporter Position Profile",
  "source": "api",
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com"
  },
  "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/bgr/480421",
  "links": {
    "product": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/product/480421",
    "exporter": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/exporter/bgr/480421",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology"
  },
  "methodology": {
    "summary": "Reported exporter totals are combined with destination, price, history, and country-context observations. Growth, concentration, weighted share, volatility, drawdown, and price-position values are calculated indicators rather than additional reported trade.",
    "reportedValues": "Merchandise trade observations for an exporter, HS6 product, destination market, and available year.",
    "destinations": "Destination rows are ranked by latest observed exporter-lane value.",
    "prices": "Unit values are reported trade value divided by reported quantity where quantity is positive.",
    "missingData": "Missing values are shown as Not reported and are not imputed."
  },
  "exporter": {
    "hs_code": "480421",
    "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
    "first_data_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "observed_lane_count": 87,
    "current_lane_count": 35,
    "active_market_count": 35,
    "exports_latest_observed_lanes_usd": 89197057.41968852,
    "exports_current_2024_usd": 82285533.13612752,
    "exports_avg_3y_usd": 97522778.04637973,
    "exports_avg_5y_usd": 83574443.0806682,
    "exports_avg_10y_usd": 76768879.17208597,
    "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 1.4185025649187777,
    "exports_cagr_5y_pct": 3.7151376503379074,
    "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 0.9051553466438156,
    "exports_all_year_lane_avg_usd": 75605110.34877391,
    "exports_historical_lane_peak_usd": 217841624.8881813,
    "historical_peak_year": 2022,
    "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 62.06896551724138,
    "trend_acceleration_pct": 0.5133472182749621,
    "trend_label": "Stable",
    "top_market_iso3": "ITA",
    "top_market_exports_usd": 15213424.184148008,
    "top_market_share_pct": 17.055970930258447,
    "destination_hhi": 869.9395228088836,
    "weighted_share_latest_pct": 20.64207507254661,
    "weighted_share_change_1y_pp": -0.5346639320093751,
    "weighted_volatility_cv": 0.818711737899316,
    "weighted_max_drawdown_pct": 85.05239345636865,
    "limited_history_lane_share_pct": 37.93103448275862,
    "data_freshness_years": 0,
    "coverage_score": 97.5,
    "confidence_label": "High",
    "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:28:17",
    "source": "api",
    "product": {
      "hs_code": 480421,
      "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803",
      "hs_chapter": 48,
      "hs_heading": 4804,
      "substitution_elasticity": -8.4769983,
      "price_range_label": "Medium price range",
      "trade_type_label": "One-way trade"
    },
    "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803",
    "hs_chapter": 48,
    "hs_heading": 4804,
    "destinations": [
      {
        "hs_code": 480421,
        "corridor_rank": 22,
        "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
        "importer_iso3": "ITA",
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        "lane_data_years": 24,
        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15213424.184148008,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 6163439.211002439,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 13835651.546078302,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 9573933.036779216,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7357070.475924554,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 43.993660824665426,
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        "buyer_yoy_all_avg_pct": 1.9589,
        "buyer_trend_consistency_pct": 48.2759,
        "market_share_latest_pct": 14.775329741095112,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": 4.952014424117012,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 14.775329741095106,
        "peer_top_exporter": "BGR",
        "supplier_count_latest": 25,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 1077.29,
        "distance_km": 893.057373046875,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0.04158010431920404,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.03915937681828688,
        "volatility_cv": 0.6895532598566548,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 91.23137054275186,
        "attention_level": "Stable",
        "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
        "risk_driver_labels": "[]",
        "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      },
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        "hs_code": 480421,
        "corridor_rank": 32,
        "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
        "importer_iso3": "TUR",
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        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 10255752.519775456,
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        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 15124957.744042125,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -9.570925215577752,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -1.9083536006260227,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 2.5251093746040176,
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        "peer_best_share_pct": 35.177826912671165,
        "peer_top_exporter": "RUS",
        "supplier_count_latest": 23,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 1962.51,
        "distance_km": 502.3288879394531,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0.08424087463793373,
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        "volatility_cv": 0.5782133560583607,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 94.108363751813,
        "attention_level": "Stable",
        "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
        "risk_driver_labels": "[]",
        "signal_flag": "Growing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
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        "importer_iso3": "SRB",
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        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5781516.768655449,
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        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 9252821.192536255,
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        "peer_best_share_pct": 36.04320725155434,
        "peer_top_exporter": "BGR",
        "supplier_count_latest": 19,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 2560.22,
        "distance_km": null,
        "has_reported_fta": null,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0.03120685812,
        "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.057421830841085916,
        "volatility_cv": 0.772095679492239,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 95.93401692314879,
        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['concentrated_buyer_market']",
        "signal_flag": "Growing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
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        "corridor_rank": 51,
        "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
        "importer_iso3": "POL",
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        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 3001703.8136322037,
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        "buyer_market_hhi": 2295.73,
        "distance_km": 1080.419921875,
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        "attention_level": "Watch",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['high_volatility']",
        "signal_flag": "Accelerating",
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        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
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        "corridor_rank": 84,
        "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
        "importer_iso3": "ZAF",
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        "exports_latest_observed_usd": 5791908.001235194,
        "exports_all_year_avg_usd": 5701857.654464258,
        "exports_avg_3y_usd": 10100527.56203564,
        "exports_avg_5y_usd": 8165493.55891929,
        "exports_avg_10y_usd": 7447216.203628689,
        "exports_cagr_3y_pct": -11.17347394369782,
        "exports_cagr_5y_pct": -6.799120043221551,
        "exports_cagr_10y_pct": 1.3898952213895255,
        "exports_historical_peak_usd": 15344598.705897592,
        "buyer_imports_latest_observed_usd": 42882554.31984295,
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        "positive_growth_year_share_pct": 71.42857142857143,
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        "market_share_latest_pct": 13.50644357151812,
        "market_share_change_1y_pp": -8.745865526491746,
        "peer_best_share_pct": 19.41767338691149,
        "peer_top_exporter": "SWE",
        "supplier_count_latest": 17,
        "buyer_market_hhi": 1358.97,
        "distance_km": 8539.7353515625,
        "has_reported_fta": 1,
        "applied_tariff_pct": 0.09963475213757575,
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        "volatility_cv": 0.6823797616183744,
        "max_drawdown_pct": 72.53770409698598,
        "attention_level": "High attention",
        "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
        "risk_driver_labels": "['unrecovered_drawdown','buyer_macro_weakness']",
        "signal_flag": "Growing",
        "confidence_label": "High",
        "refreshed_at": "2026-07-20 09:30:25"
      }
    ],
    "priceSummary": {
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "hs_code": 480421,
      "num_markets": 52,
      "highest_price_importer_iso3": "NOR",
      "highest_price_usd_per_ton": 51500,
      "lowest_price_importer_iso3": "CHN",
      "lowest_price_usd_per_ton": 600.92183198465,
      "median_price_across_markets": 945.6829176613019,
      "price_spread_pct": 5382.256274004619,
      "avg_quantity_metric_tons": 2354.5038876404496,
      "total_trade_value_usd": 412415527
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        "export_value_usd": 31975661.403663512,
        "active_destinations": 24,
        "yoy_growth_pct": 111.07810568313978
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        "year": 2014,
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        "yoy_growth_pct": 11.108651526918967
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      {
        "year": 2015,
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        "yoy_growth_pct": -16.77999334974126
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        "year": 2016,
        "export_value_usd": 64714255.25156063,
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        "year": 2017,
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        "year": 2018,
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        "year": 2019,
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        "year": 2022,
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    "economy": {
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      "country_iso3": "BGR",
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      "imports_usd": 52457590076.05973,
      "trade_balance_usd": -4685496379.808357,
      "yoy_exports_growth_pct": -0.5793011169202167,
      "yoy_imports_growth_pct": 0.016031374831704248,
      "exports_cagr_3y_pct": 5.744862335034462,
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      "momentum_score": 1.3179479186661869,
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      "gdp_million_usd": 113343.3557799852,
      "gdp_per_capita_usd": 17596.017366352113,
      "population": 6441421,
      "labor_force": 3137.45,
      "investment_rate_pct": 25.62,
      "savings_rate_pct": 23.02,
      "secondary_education_pct": 95.06,
      "tertiary_education_pct": 24.06,
      "total_factor_productivity": 822.99,
      "trade_openness_pct": 141.3240649744636,
      "exports_gdp_pct": 67.35875261097333,
      "num_active_partners": 270,
      "num_fta_partners": 108,
      "num_wto_partners": 169,
      "num_eu_partners": 28,
      "num_shared_border_partners": 5,
      "num_shared_language_partners": 0,
      "avg_partner_distance_km": 6461.901234567901,
      "avg_partner_gdp_million_usd": 533678518.3258193,
      "avg_partner_gdp_per_capita_usd": 15.774186170212769,
      "avg_buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
      "avg_buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
      "pct_partners_with_fta": 40,
      "pct_partners_shared_language": 0,
      "pct_partners_shared_border": 1.8518518518518516,
      "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0.13072442636391685,
      "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0.1336068861771938,
      "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.02936834153545581,
      "tariff_advantage_pp": 0.10423854464173798,
      "avg_distance_all_partners_km": 6480.357171543827,
      "num_border_partners": 95,
      "num_colonial_partners": 25,
      "avg_substitution_elasticity": -10.587799256060705,
      "pct_products_high_elasticity": 75.37063605930176,
      "pct_products_low_elasticity": 2.7498804399808705,
      "real_market_potential": 86386.83664541267,
      "foreign_market_potential": 16088.629863026832
    },
    "countryMap": {}
  },
  "product": {
    "hs_code": "480421",
    "hs_description": "Kraft paper and paperboard: sack kraft paper, uncoated, unbleached, in rolls or sheets, other than that of heading no. 4802 or 4803",
    "hs_chapter": 48,
    "hs_heading": 4804
  },
  "destinations": [
    {
      "hs_code": 480421,
      "corridor_rank": 22,
      "exporter_iso3": "BGR",
      "importer_iso3": "ITA",
      "latest_data_year": 2024,
      "lane_data_years": 24,
      "exports_latest_observed_usd": 15213424.184148008,
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  "prices": [],
  "priceSummary": {
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}
```
