# Tajikistan exporter opportunity index

This page reviews 6,970 screened market and product opportunities for Tajikistan. It combines reported trade observations with calculated opportunity indicators.

## Summary

- Latest reported exports: $1.3B
- Calculated three-year addressable opportunity: $1.5T
- Active partner markets: 270
- FTA partners: 10
- Profile year: 2024

## Top Opportunities

| Rank | Buyer market | Product | Addressable 3-year value | Buyer CAGR | Exporter share | Share gap | Signal |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | China (CHN) | HS 854231 Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits | $93.1B | +18.1% | 0% | 35.8% | Accelerating |
| 2 | China (CHN) | HS 854232 Electronic integrated circuits: memories | $65.7B | +17.4% | 0% | 50.3% | Growing |
| 3 | China (CHN) | HS 710812 Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder) | $64.6B | +33.7% | 0.2% | 40.9% | Accelerating |
| 4 | China (CHN) | HS 854239 Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $61.4B | +15.9% | 0% | 48.2% | Growing |
| 5 | China (CHN) | HS 260300 Copper ores and concentrates | $35.3B | +20.3% | 0% | 32.4% | Declining |
| 6 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 847130 Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display | $33.3B | +3.8% | 0% | 69.8% | Growing |
| 7 | United Arab Emirates (ARE) | HS 851712 Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $27.3B | +20.6% | 0% | 57.8% | Accelerating |
| 8 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 850760 Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square) | $25.0B | +16.4% | 0% | 63.3% | Slowing |
| 9 | United Arab Emirates (ARE) | HS 710812 Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder) | $20.3B | +43.7% | 0% | 13% | Accelerating |
| 10 | Germany (DEU) | HS 850760 Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square) | $19.8B | +19.2% | 0% | 52.9% | Slowing |
| 11 | Turkey (TUR) | HS 710812 Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder) | $17.8B | +32.1% | 0% | 45.5% | Growing |
| 12 | Singapore (SGP) | HS 854239 Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $17.5B | +4.4% | 0% | 53.4% | Accelerating |
| 13 | Switzerland, Liechtenstein (CHE) | HS 710813 Metals: gold, semi-manufactured | $17.2B | +14.3% | 0% | 76% | Slowing |
| 14 | Switzerland, Liechtenstein (CHE) | HS 710812 Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder) | $16.9B | +12.8% | 0.4% | 13.1% | Growing |
| 15 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 851762 Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus | $16.3B | +14.1% | 0% | 21.3% | Accelerating |
| 16 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 847330 Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units | $14.3B | +1.2% | 0% | 42.4% | Growing |
| 17 | China (CHN) | HS 870323 Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc | $13.9B | +13.2% | 0% | 40.7% | Growing |
| 18 | Mexico (MEX) | HS 851712 Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $13.5B | +16.9% | 0% | 73.4% | Accelerating |
| 19 | Russia (RUS) | HS 870323 Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc | $12.3B | +12.7% | 0% | 91.1% | Growing |
| 20 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 853710 Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts | $10.6B | +10.8% | 0% | 41.2% | Declining |
| 21 | Republic of Korea (KOR) | HS 854239 Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $10.6B | +7.4% | 0% | 53.5% | Stable |
| 22 | Germany (DEU) | HS 851712 Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks | $9.7B | +9.2% | 0% | 52% | Declining |
| 23 | China, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKG) | HS 847330 Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units | $8.8B | +5.2% | 0% | 64.1% | Accelerating |
| 24 | Russia (RUS) | HS 870322 Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc | $8.5B | +16.6% | 0% | 83.5% | Slowing |
| 25 | Germany (DEU) | HS 847130 Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display | $8.4B | +3.5% | 0% | 68.5% | Accelerating |
| 26 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 854140 Electrical apparatus: photosensitive, including photovoltaic cells, whether or not assembled in modules or made up into panels, light emitting diodes | $8.4B | +12.1% | 0% | 33.8% | Stable |
| 27 | Japan (JPN) | HS 854239 Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $8.3B | +2.6% | 0% | 64.4% | Accelerating |
| 28 | China (CHN) | HS 851770 Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts | $7.6B | +8.7% | 0% | 46% | Declining |
| 29 | Mexico (MEX) | HS 847330 Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units | $7.5B | +10.9% | 0% | 31.9% | Slowing |
| 30 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 852351 Semiconductor media: solid-state non-volatile storage devices, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37 | $7.4B | +12.3% | 0% | 33.6% | Growing |
| 31 | Taiwan (TWN) | HS 854239 Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $7.3B | +5.8% | 0% | 22.4% | Slowing |
| 32 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 999999 Commodities not specified according to kind | $6.8B | +11.1% | 0% | 80.3% | Growing |
| 33 | China (CHN) | HS 847330 Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units | $6.7B | +9.1% | 0% | 24.2% | Declining |
| 34 | China (CHN) | HS 080929 Fruit, edible: cherries, other than sour cherries (Prunus cerasus), fresh | $6.0B | +43.6% | 0% | 96.9% | Growing |
| 35 | Mexico (MEX) | HS 854231 Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits | $6.0B | +8.6% | 0% | 26% | Growing |
| 36 | Germany (DEU) | HS 851762 Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus | $6.0B | +11.4% | 0% | 40% | Accelerating |
| 37 | France (FRA) | HS 880330 Aircraft and spacecraft: parts of aeroplanes or helicopters n.e.c. in heading no. 8803 | $5.9B | +6% | 0% | 34.7% | Slowing |
| 38 | United Kingdom (GBR) | HS 847130 Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display | $5.7B | +1.9% | 0% | 84.4% | Slowing |
| 39 | Thailand (THA) | HS 854239 Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542 | $5.7B | +5.7% | 0% | 42.8% | Declining |
| 40 | United Kingdom (GBR) | HS 880240 Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg | $5.6B | +7.3% | 0% | 51.9% | Accelerating |
| 41 | China (CHN) | HS 253090 Mineral substances: n.e.c. in chapter 25 | $5.6B | +23.6% | 0% | 67.4% | Growing |
| 42 | China (CHN) | HS 870840 Vehicles: parts, gear boxes | $5.4B | +19.9% | 0% | 43.6% | Accelerating |
| 43 | Switzerland, Liechtenstein (CHE) | HS 711319 Jewellery: of precious metal (excluding silver) whether or not plated or clad with precious metal, and parts thereof | $5.1B | +8.2% | 0% | 36.8% | Declining |
| 44 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 760110 Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed) | $5.1B | +3% | 0.6% | 78.3% | Growing |
| 45 | USA, Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands (USA) | HS 854370 Electrical machines and apparatus: having individual functions, not specified or included elsewhere in this chapter, n.e.c. in heading no. 8543 | $5.0B | +9.1% | 0% | 25.4% | Stable |
| 46 | Mexico (MEX) | HS 850760 Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square) | $4.8B | +20.1% | 0% | 54.4% | Accelerating |
| 47 | China (CHN) | HS 853224 Electrical capacitors: fixed, ceramic dielectric, multilayer | $4.7B | +21.4% | 0% | 45.9% | Growing |
| 48 | Mexico (MEX) | HS 852351 Semiconductor media: solid-state non-volatile storage devices, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37 | $4.6B | +16.2% | 0% | 59.2% | Accelerating |
| 49 | Mexico (MEX) | HS 851762 Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus | $4.5B | +18.4% | 0% | 36% | Accelerating |
| 50 | China (CHN) | HS 740400 Copper: waste and scrap | $4.5B | +12.9% | 0% | 20.1% | Declining |

## Sector View

- Electrical machinery (HS2 85): $632.9B across 896 screened opportunities.
- Machinery (HS2 84): $193.3B across 869 screened opportunities.
- Precious stones and metals (HS2 71): $156.7B across 106 screened opportunities.
- Vehicles (HS2 87): $98.5B across 306 screened opportunities.
- Ores, slag and ash (HS2 26): $46.0B across 26 screened opportunities.
- Aluminium (HS2 76): $33.4B across 166 screened opportunities.
- Plastics (HS2 39): $23.5B across 158 screened opportunities.
- Aircraft (HS2 88): $22.1B across 31 screened opportunities.
- Furniture and lighting (HS2 94): $18.0B across 135 screened opportunities.
- Optical and medical instruments (HS2 90): $18.0B across 185 screened opportunities.

## Reported Export Footprint

- Switzerland, Liechtenstein (CHE): $336.5M reported exports; YoY -22.8%.
- China (CHN): $191.8M reported exports; YoY -12%.
- Turkey (TUR): $178.1M reported exports; YoY +35.8%.
- France (FRA): $109.7M reported exports; YoY +82.2%.
- Kazakhstan (KAZ): $107.4M reported exports; YoY -57.9%.
- Belgium (BEL): $107.2M reported exports; YoY +223.6%.
- Uzbekistan (UZB): $95.9M reported exports; YoY -31%.
- Italy (ITA): $49.1M reported exports; YoY +12.4%.

## Corridor Risk and Signals

- Kazakhstan (KAZ): Critical attention; Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure.
- Uzbekistan (UZB): High attention; Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure.
- China (CHN): Watch; Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure.
- Switzerland, Liechtenstein (CHE): High attention; Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure.
- France (FRA): High attention; Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure.
- Belgium (BEL): High attention; Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure.

## Region View

- East Asia: $497.0B across 6 buyer markets.
- Europe: $390.1B across 37 buyer markets.
- North America: $343.7B across 3 buyer markets.
- Middle East: $103.4B across 13 buyer markets.
- Central Asia: $41.1B across 4 buyer markets.
- Southeast Asia: $37.8B across 6 buyer markets.
- South Asia: $19.3B across 7 buyer markets.
- Africa: $13.7B across 11 buyer markets.

## How to Read

Addressable opportunity is a calculated screening indicator, not a reported order value. Opportunities are included when latest buyer imports exceed $50.0K and at least 3 trade years are available.

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-30). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.
