{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.319Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Zimbabwe exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Zimbabwe to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZWE",
    "country_name": "Zimbabwe"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 51,
    "current_lane_count": 11,
    "current_product_count": 11,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 61500886.05785358,
    "attention_trade_usd": 45913193.48273726,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 47428366.42154656,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2900027.5724694794,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 45002655.424580954,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 61500886.05785358,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 11,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0515907040152574,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.521221519001996,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5191.0320837744775,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 69.33283098433303,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 91.89299965999632,
    "top_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 42640305.38435886,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 12552.1318359375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.4031999707221985,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.363581093133334,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696971,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9767335209595955,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.697741942737375,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288,
    "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.65452357799683,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288,
    "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 95331298.38363458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 106365036.3045157,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.574098022329338,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 139107132.3109449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 30.782762027825438,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 126459851.85464612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.091755574421912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.876728523159928
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 127100506.99822164,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.5066075392148095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.116470527658868
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 95165112.70345838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.126095126599367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.886431606479153
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 65591108.09182783,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.07651929524359,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.654029728764943
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 90003789.39654265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.219498213899605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.86714095407747
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 44991866.66634409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.01114178857854,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.09737678793269
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 67871874.96999454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.85365422449946,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1459022934442897
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 82880208.41044961,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.11274323435162,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.7110880118160208
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 93883076.4853614,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.275627904338783,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.786340626592555
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 69156274.50737363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.33786929835353,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6268584314317316
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 95423409.67922443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.98228773739125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.809672858308156
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 21777970.624527283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.17753882644085,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.556393618866245
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 56478670.20275165,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 159.33853606700598,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.527406885278186
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 39681401.07041553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.740907624127733,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.359016075501415
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 43681411.65868203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.080315917193538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.112969677685925
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 11660277.732168974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.30608767115841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.897188028915586
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 63020289.44983383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 440.46988328562895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.671415049686942
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 69517611.51429863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.30988927722536,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.752465115202185
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 24049179.673778012,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.4056300987391,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.290831682681894
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 46494116.435551986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.32932377001939,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.64076714763743
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 71941297.71579286,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.732046183767345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1488947918304682
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 41055537.469311826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -42.93189201075652,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.515387794667927
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 30374368.192813832,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.016391295527306,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.22996924189085
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 34432766.97930806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.36126157664208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.77758524627994
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 64301246.32635611,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.74434838477296,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.131280910031375
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 83395770.94450366,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.69541915445113,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.02715278182336
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 66112965.87453733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.72383872015202,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.29058695149564
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 487071113.06874907,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2110568674319642,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "170114",
      "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1699055543.731111,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 19.96269641344937,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4500311484429532,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "090240",
      "hs_description": "Tea, black: (fermented) and partly fermented tea, in immediate packings of a content exceeding 3kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 172852223.49962837,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.75308912965047,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0636110493481028,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "240130",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco refuse",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17716572.264169585,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 2.2806270014944916,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1237894799982335,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "090412",
      "hs_description": "Spices: pepper (of the genus piper), crushed or ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 161820108.5725638,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7050026033620413,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "970500",
      "hs_description": "Collections and collectors' pieces: of zoological, botanical, mineralogical, anatomical, historical, archaeological, palaeontological, ethnographic or numismatic interest",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 546819290.0515033,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 67.96262418911763,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7981759342505885,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "411390",
      "hs_description": "Leather: further prepared after tanning or crusting, including parchment-dressed leather, of animals (other than sheep and lambs, goats and kids, swine and reptiles), without wool or hair on, whether or not split, other than leather of heading 41.14",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17432425.660870906,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 88.73734784941857,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8562337123888908,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "060210",
      "hs_description": "Plants, live: unrooted cuttings and slips",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 127397372.51838534,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.2960243727086,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2556788156217098,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "253010",
      "hs_description": "Vermiculite, perlite and chlorites: unexpanded",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37952369.580619626,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.46773176101408,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9986499877431225,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "950420",
      "hs_description": "Billiard articles and accessories of all kinds",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73051192.81586848,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.89402045488545,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5192074237321674,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "distance_km": 12539,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 1,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179,
    "importer_population": 331893.738,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.363581093133334,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.674475463696971,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.9767335209595955,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.697741942737375
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-USA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-USA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-USA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-USA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-USA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}