{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.366Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Zimbabwe exports to Ukraine: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Zimbabwe to Ukraine, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZWE",
    "country_name": "Zimbabwe"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "UKR",
    "country_name": "Ukraine"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
    "importer_iso3": "UKR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 7,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 2748234.223933826,
    "attention_trade_usd": 2340191.6654718616,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 40545.30208871593,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2748234.223933826,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 408042.55846196465,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 2748234.223933826,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 3,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7009889294119261,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 73.27485806112209,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 7431.947906787749,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 85.15255523316016,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 2340191.6654718616,
    "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7596.36181640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 200085.537744,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4567,
    "buyer_population_latest": 43814.583,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.388047577338883,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.285640541163119,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -3.37794288946095,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.714000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.852,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 85.15255523316016,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 200085.537744,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4567,
    "buyer_population_2024": 43814.583
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 2214059.898173929,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 193635.18166028746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.2542934443648,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 3451280.5688813124,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1682.3623472186064,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 5596221.803998837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.14914123347497,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 36.218214826411746
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 4232613.822205707,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.366582125439518,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 179.60276350319734
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 7996228.528538427,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 88.91939743209123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.32288986358181
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 6133787.740644321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.291490247522084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.1045761627597868
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 2845491.2786043994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.609557439535784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.397559689224934
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 2378741.431711411,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.403137496942556,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.244454910722354
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 2414673.2171102664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.510537670040235,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -26.710255563669293
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 1610687.258932797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.29584941268495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.278578625967523
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 3460387.6507011484,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.8392018071788,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.307634291188574
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 2149329.295150449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.88761514291762,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8059527181958708
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 1865448.640914525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.207871631231505,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.016455943435205
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 2483772.1944055683,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.14610437025563,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.464416312910618
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 4501310.417112002,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.22879494547541,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.94166606081081
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 5997605.2991740275,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.24131738112908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 47.592694567415414
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 6695397.928430839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.634520686996686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.172964306897164
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 4471642.196398835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.2131974201147,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.22018507907988205
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 5991117.921592665,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.980261802196864,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.036068384589516
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 7000027.320675256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.840085811804293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.4941740835930917
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 9565760.698958535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.65319091977166,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 28.849920668063668
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 8864204.441903671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.334035202566225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.949029867664953
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 13182187.612259453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.71258553044444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.489277896842253
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 3248323.0553827095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.35823983902516,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.233559221750617
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 1511559.9981184667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.46645107808163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.54655364928198
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 7599057.402458279,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 402.729459096384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.774308502740144
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 3241154.507943311,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.3479401945983,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.07361569938560963
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 3974987.85778979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.641109766536125,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.02893551877127
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "export_value_usd": 4690438.8562772805,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.9988222375427,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.856548524617475
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "hs_code": "240120",
      "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75306832.98777342,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.29090097111198,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.654889096806383,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "hs_code": "080510",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56792319.025556035,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 54.14978414215772,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9613012306141814,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
      "importer_iso3": "UKR",
      "hs_code": "080540",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapefruit, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21607150.960202847,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.54218902233035,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.00234042814709,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZWE",
    "importer_iso3": "UKR",
    "distance_km": 7563,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 200085.537744,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4566.642520459455,
    "importer_population": 43814.583,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.74256830099617,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-UKR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-UKR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-UKR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-UKR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-UKR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}