{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.374Z", "seo": { "title": "Zimbabwe exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Zimbabwe to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZWE", "country_name": "Zimbabwe" }, "importer": { "iso3": "RUS", "country_name": "Russia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "all_history_lane_count": 10, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1283146.387, "attention_trade_usd": 1283146.387, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1283146.387, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1283146.387, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1283146.387, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 1, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6347601607634806, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 97.07257959913326, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 1283146.387, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "240120", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 8213.7158203125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.020999999716877937, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.920816987624521, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318008, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380, "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 100, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380, "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 230224.78743816167, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 10473995.2228279, "yoy_growth_pct": 4449.464607776525, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 15460230.848685818, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.605861180750765, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 12502488.941123858, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.131292000166866, "cagr_3y_pct": 278.68793274915294 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 18187946.887725055, "yoy_growth_pct": 45.47460888287838, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.19611630771443 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 22060845.891980946, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.29376684550188, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.581940181384855 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 22687888.403853986, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.842332134240455, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.973606756198194 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 24663143.395998467, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.706209044156555, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.684867683152554 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 14844415.05470845, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.81134190252116, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.371177490139084 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 11709469.016513947, "yoy_growth_pct": -21.118690272676922, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.786455378851166 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 14043732.559211574, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.934836835091318, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.114599405934538 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 12923537.640176252, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.976475729029486, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.514057086716483 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 34791881.76947838, "yoy_growth_pct": 169.21329699476843, "cagr_3y_pct": 43.76292676700506 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 14821274.515897857, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.400192912531665, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.8124762339050138 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 15090342.09134885, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.815414559404993, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.3026315185828565 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 9312073.15410927, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.291172607360615, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.55496160861337 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 15023973.778983276, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.338657142673284, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.4538119983878319 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 24295340.228098378, "yoy_growth_pct": 61.710480765645514, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.203694035824178 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 16371785.262886433, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.61347604446423, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.693316190150448 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 28132089.474683255, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.83275386867258, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.255334415617067 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 43316157.41003603, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.97419181755867, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.257603117217517 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 51805649.24002119, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.59890335983083, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.81159614130963 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 41041917.98964996, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.777138030838483, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.41623321975991 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 28043967.604719397, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.66993898337893, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.490624316771116 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 23772401.875116896, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.231674026337338, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.868463841017284 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 29125988.373326, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.52017497572605, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.802843898336423 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 20643593.481204934, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.12311432455753, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.708137025648533 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1951336.3769193962, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.54749659405955, "cagr_3y_pct": -56.54033652298842 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 681956.9520593545, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.05179936552148, "cagr_3y_pct": -71.39169703168795 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "export_value_usd": 1313932.848, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.67093678453197, "cagr_3y_pct": -60.07337287452113 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 282220330.05565286, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.07257959913326, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6347601607634806, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "RUS", "distance_km": 8177, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617, "importer_population": 143446.06, "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.701394466704979, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.920816987624521, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.504952727318008 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-RUS/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-RUS/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-RUS/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-RUS/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-RUS/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }