{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.302Z", "seo": { "title": "Zimbabwe exports to Mozambique: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Zimbabwe to Mozambique, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZWE", "country_name": "Zimbabwe" }, "importer": { "iso3": "MOZ", "country_name": "Mozambique" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "all_history_lane_count": 66, "current_lane_count": 32, "current_product_count": 32, "first_observed_last_year": 1999, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 188182224.81025186, "attention_trade_usd": 184702073.15414783, "critical_trade_usd": 15040219.712815858, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 172421874.83091694, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 30500198.1276292, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 188163158.82101592, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 10, "high_volatility_lane_count": 27, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 16, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 31, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.6457180846925805, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.91462105889678, "product_concentration_hhi": 2732.1902153233727, "top1_product_share_pct": 47.271551058394, "top3_product_share_pct": 73.59545623176686, "top_product_hs6": "261000", "top_product_trade_usd": 88956656.484, "top_product_description": "Chromium ores and concentrates", "top_attention_product_hs6": "261000", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 918.943603515625, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.716188146727268, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.0007168458555555555, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.241578091922218, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 16095.828897, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 500, "buyer_population_latest": 32163.044, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.954483087134578, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.817694878255674, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9926132343610856, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.316, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 8.148, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.15064804361138, "critical_trade_share_pct": 7.99237001687127, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 16095.828897, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 500, "buyer_population_2024": 32163.044 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 47295957.63840457, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 21595411.30385568, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.33983709779018, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 8636895.539544232, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.00587616498794, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 16753362.581771145, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.97435693259777, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.24464383330537 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 17282579.429829825, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1588694238284143, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.157029504008239 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 98445511.81613418, "yoy_growth_pct": 469.6227939575773, "cagr_3y_pct": 125.05020769413649 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 203858959.77073076, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.07796222490704, "cagr_3y_pct": 130.00782189505037 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 95605627.85415985, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.10207215729819, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.85810423709452 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 34203933.197780035, "yoy_growth_pct": -64.22393329192305, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.69923632303413 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 81883054.44786967, "yoy_growth_pct": 139.39660381860466, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.2172660449961 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 36439847.05048179, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.4976944910122, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.495600074075334 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 68943895.8422029, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.1991910577774, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.320331590270875 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 205792721.64728066, "yoy_growth_pct": 198.49302702344235, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.96026177115379 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 20467033.599438265, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.05453961850127, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.492622039072725 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 20336786.545612786, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.6363748473499076, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.43251181154201 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 33767950.94038021, "yoy_growth_pct": 66.04369065212468, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.2532638991317 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 71649890.6535507, "yoy_growth_pct": 112.18311641133876, "cagr_3y_pct": 51.84023823196024 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 125653154.56748922, "yoy_growth_pct": 75.37103465385724, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.49758600889766 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 262880547.16662458, "yoy_growth_pct": 109.21125941603762, "cagr_3y_pct": 98.19129738491117 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 362117602.0645285, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.74986622916734, "cagr_3y_pct": 71.61083375303541 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 360383331.4764251, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.47892468585229997, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.079177130371235 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 221103427.1480809, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.64770985876059, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.605720750517151 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 334744303.25248486, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.39715723551159, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5860426878379417 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 333252063.22879916, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.44578503926328006, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.575231222874863 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 285746362.7128854, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.255185716074037, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.92521158509374 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 333259429.0269036, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.627706425701327, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.148080708737508 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 436393047.220403, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.946946795967033, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.404451191215246 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 163604461.45097026, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.5098377499262, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.963033110398406 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 370664835.77978855, "yoy_growth_pct": 126.5615695882909, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.609516523978762 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "export_value_usd": 234845463.79961136, "yoy_growth_pct": -36.64209789268149, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.66050886693138 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "261000", "hs_description": "Chromium ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1983324045.994, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.539054374434388, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "170113", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30361074.124511506, "current_below_peak_pct": 13.383791956306377, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.179413632453448, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "240319", "hs_description": "Tobacco: smoking, other than water pipe tobacco, whether or not containing tobacco substitutes in any proportion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19915631.41568535, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.512989296947424, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1953960832766717, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "253090", "hs_description": "Mineral substances: n.e.c. in chapter 25", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15112594.574712941, "current_below_peak_pct": 90.9123890328578, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.1869311894696772, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "710813", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, semi-manufactured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11956203.08213204, "current_below_peak_pct": 4.788244797782979, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.39773618050818366, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "720241", "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-chromium, containing by weight more than 4% of carbon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1156265320.784, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.95004996797924, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2238104248967967, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "240311", "hs_description": "Tobacco: smoking, water pipe tobacco as specified in Subheading Note 1 to this Chapter, whether or not containing tobacco substitutes in any proportion", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10405245.470361665, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.45729575590843, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.62201128982329, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "481910", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: cartons, boxes and cases, of corrugated paper or paperboard", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32437677.091873985, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.950516583034407, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7138085845800552, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "210690", "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29250325.178046178, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.59045312668342, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "hs_code": "854449", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: for a voltage not exceeding 80 volts, not fitted with connectors", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41713155.29118928, "current_below_peak_pct": 39.67333854438509, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0666023554585675, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "MOZ", "distance_km": 912, "shares_land_border": 1, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 16095.828897000001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 500.4448240968734, "importer_population": 32163.044, "importer_biz_entry_days": 17, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 106.9, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.716188146727268, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.242294937777773, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.0007168458555555555, "tariff_advantage_pp": 8.241578091922218 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-MOZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-MOZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-MOZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-MOZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-MOZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }