{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.688Z", "seo": { "title": "Zimbabwe exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Zimbabwe to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZWE", "country_name": "Zimbabwe" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "all_history_lane_count": 9, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2017411.7120907595, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 32555.97975557796, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2017411.7120907595, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 32555.97975557796, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7338125493800333, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 62.19145488797406, "product_concentration_hhi": 9682.458394897589, "top1_product_share_pct": 98.38625008665989, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 1984855.7323351817, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 7244.07373046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.20579999685287476, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399, "buyer_population_latest": 3899, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399, "buyer_population_2024": 3899 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 6323915.222050642, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 1924277.8125377335, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.5714166782623, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 3055754.2725310987, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.800057487602395, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 6033272.905009592, "yoy_growth_pct": 97.4397273774307, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.5560622656120238 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 4142350.000061608, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.341577527147813, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.11984802707217 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 2812214.283634741, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.110654976211194, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.730505096470015 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 2078967.6469205122, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.073640297656098, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.892429049592884 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 2903817.7008631504, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.675944700941066, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.167029304368448 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 2632144.4144875966, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.355728022967824, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.181627092209748 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 1960221.3154605227, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.527592457645532, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.9413765792957949 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 732233.619192329, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.645359816409176, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.8228390769641 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 140453.47572649393, "yoy_growth_pct": -80.81848851990469, "cagr_3y_pct": -62.352085301980175 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 327790.9103483338, "yoy_growth_pct": 133.3804191408146, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.90689286808258 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 169822.0239352317, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.1919667159877, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.56043730539529 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 66134.38058235485, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.05665269448337, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.202626857883168 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 91142.56280691785, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.81419286663037, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.730827003703624 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 73948.7455093211, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.86475074660915, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.204120012880793 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 52375.97204390585, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.172602343465105, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.480146743402782 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 32484.397727475272, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.97843465273699, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.09919039777009 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 13719.366157359073, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.76629053597861, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.965923724952916 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 8099759.229853433, "yoy_growth_pct": 58938.87349423004, "cagr_3y_pct": 436.7598272338668 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 80374.87614496876, "yoy_growth_pct": -99.00768808227373, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.25349590761158 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 1559794.7548020817, "yoy_growth_pct": 1840.649652745649, "cagr_3y_pct": 384.44499062511994 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 1985468.9470296158, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.290397721689132, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.4159501438683 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 1068741.7918916033, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.17182034045373, "cagr_3y_pct": 136.9104177484742 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 1375789.8357642933, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.729862180203035, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.097878689814682 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 1450242.5713946703, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.411635825105243, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.941263388560284 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 3098530.2030855897, "yoy_growth_pct": 113.65599550051778, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.591722020597956 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 808321.0593414943, "yoy_growth_pct": -73.91275842538023, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.24502775656669 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 2316751.453322508, "yoy_growth_pct": 186.61277923525455, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.89957480693338 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31118076.081924334, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.63177186237927, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7095472330069373, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "240110", "hs_description": "Tobacco, (not stemmed or stripped)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31152477.43738825, "current_below_peak_pct": 96.31391318850122, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2132075072852366, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZWE", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "distance_km": 7210, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "importer_population": 3899, "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 26217.726717, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1737.1739769579872, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-HRV/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-HRV/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-HRV/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-HRV/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZWE-HRV/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }