{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.299Z", "seo": { "title": "Zambia exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Zambia to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "USA", "country_name": "United States" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "all_history_lane_count": 38, "current_lane_count": 12, "current_product_count": 12, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 108074421.03424811, "attention_trade_usd": 105981380.14852951, "critical_trade_usd": 20371728.490463834, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 105493957.52527231, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 22952191.999439646, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 23125435.059263825, "access_friction_trade_usd": 108074421.03424811, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 1, "high_attention_lane_count": 7, "high_volatility_lane_count": 8, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 12, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.52155176046618, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.095150634355377, "product_concentration_hhi": 4179.303252272969, "top1_product_share_pct": 61.20979133375648, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.17454472587154, "top_product_hs6": "710391", "top_product_trade_usd": 66152127.6002287, "top_product_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set", "top_attention_product_hs6": "710391", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 12156.1318359375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.15359999239444733, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9937695116808078, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5240757665959596, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.150399697101011, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 69288, "buyer_population_latest": 331893.738, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 98.06333370497046, "critical_trade_share_pct": 18.849722529633688, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 22996100, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 69288, "buyer_population_2024": 331893.738 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 58713926.80104425, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 65659179.566707395, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.828969963459546, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 43993212.972524285, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.997620039055256, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 41515325.32544273, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.632431640373947, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.911337372213747 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 27736051.859915335, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.19081172437001, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.967445969780144 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 13986646.998469803, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.57232172368566, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.748954105743653 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 15942524.798201356, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.983893351605525, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.31420382850147 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 7164874.376179572, "yoy_growth_pct": -55.05809483208133, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.31243472008371 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 10051059.123167884, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.282419418039716, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.429278773583794 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 26140264.53464571, "yoy_growth_pct": 160.07472659664194, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.919137065383172 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 30131539.774987176, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.268687258506963, "cagr_3y_pct": 61.41265525302862 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 25403929.282463107, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.689906748305503, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.216491217903666 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 50977926.73782841, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.66945617353609, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.936901263171187 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 43736442.55668425, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.205136702373157, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.224577814249884 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 6971396.813584936, "yoy_growth_pct": -84.06043929030187, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.01602055956754 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 22074505.343195606, "yoy_growth_pct": 216.64393712576694, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.34523779564546 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 44682081.86214465, "yoy_growth_pct": 102.41487257569628, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7155776986254248 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 47568780.15556212, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.460527739785382, "cagr_3y_pct": 89.67091399539879 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 30453501.043672927, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.98006729606653, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.3222774120038 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 40875251.60425603, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.22184708955931, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.924639278181207 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 34494081.36936841, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.611329556252063, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.159080198007542 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 36332132.9974804, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.328600023957231, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.059902238736181 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 49359687.06402294, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.85683798814121, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.488813031281149 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 141232438.47869238, "yoy_growth_pct": 186.12912050172463, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.97911551759421 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 50861150.48166218, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.987628458786716, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.866082136464517 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 29781901.168040507, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.44469622491478, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.499358337883272 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 147758437.6322595, "yoy_growth_pct": 396.13500762947166, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.5171174466148685 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 99105488.45875534, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.92735762040972, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.90232104281036 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 107909837.40700139, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.88381570503045, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.59233400518899 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "export_value_usd": 114749950.56795959, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.338729929838993, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.082104534764156 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710391", "hs_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1415329770.126726, "current_below_peak_pct": 5.792059499971269, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.409995066264689, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "740311", "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 8262768204.764172, "current_below_peak_pct": 80.15347090972976, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.734753921513422, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "090111", "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6032198009.175272, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.6562169360755, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8370796609472309, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710399", "hs_description": "Stones: precious (other than diamonds) and semi-precious stones, (other than rubies, sapphires and emeralds), worked other than simply sawn or roughly shaped, not strung, mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 586802940.0426131, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.83766462171879, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9784297708959389, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "710310", "hs_description": "Stones: precious (other than diamonds) and semi-precious stones, unworked or simply sawn or roughly shaped, not strung, mounted or set", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48830845.30010695, "current_below_peak_pct": 46.10868241766069, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1681384371366994, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "490700", "hs_description": "Unused postage, revenue or similar stamps of current or new issue in the country in which they have, or will have, a recognised face value: stamp-impressed paper: cheque forms: banknotes, stock, share or bond certificates and the like of similar title", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 375554805.48016447, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8413965100666316, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "720230", "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-silico-manganese", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 380802395.3549468, "current_below_peak_pct": 56.281054447759274, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6084192316338908, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "810520", "hs_description": "Cobalt: mattes and other intermediate products of cobalt metallurgy, unwrought cobalt, powders", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 273310205.53304136, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.04636999018459, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7467715373617804, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 487071113.06874907, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5614066415871228, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "hs_code": "040900", "hs_description": "Honey: natural", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 609281676.7890973, "current_below_peak_pct": 43.23684382627235, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.608989002838514, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "USA", "distance_km": 12141, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 22996100, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 69287.53804930179, "importer_population": 331893.738, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.2, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 1.9937695116808078, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.67447546369697, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0.5240757665959596, "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.150399697101011 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-USA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-USA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-USA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-USA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-USA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }