{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.701Z", "seo": { "title": "Zambia exports to Kazakhstan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Zambia to Kazakhstan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZMB", "country_name": "Zambia" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KAZ", "country_name": "Kazakhstan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 217780.76990523405, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 217780.76990523405, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 217780.76990523405, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 217780.76990523405, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 1, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0040465798869218, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 69.2047449610271, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "240120", "top_product_trade_usd": 217780.76990523405, "top_product_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 8202.21484375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.132101608965517, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0348584611729885, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.776310292236976, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 10041, "buyer_population_latest": 19002.586, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.917422718979218, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.399650809013636, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4001630989012082, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.696000000000005, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 36.538, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 190814.274226, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 10041, "buyer_population_2024": 19002.586 }, "history": [ { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 219421.57511665617, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 45018.04452428229, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.48330992503891, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 62737.39222831637, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.36054506871447, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 1335.8181104312941, "yoy_growth_pct": -97.87077839389636, "cagr_3y_pct": -81.7404810015492 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 118107.03775518703, "yoy_growth_pct": 8741.550869306147, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.92078390795839 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 647505.5863780205, "yoy_growth_pct": 448.23624289026185, "cagr_3y_pct": 117.72368975048381 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 558084.291170932, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.810119493684702, "cagr_3y_pct": 647.5682079094643 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 736411.10566743, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.953383622811813, "cagr_3y_pct": 84.055239109385 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 226179.73410406586, "yoy_growth_pct": -69.28621358866216, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.573399870003815 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 88781.09065441239, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.74754840167776, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.815688512465805 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 89195.19744471213, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.4664357998390489, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.522579771274714 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 142972.9979448517, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.29226016734126, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.17770745126189 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 164805.32223319553, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.270243054401856, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.89953855499407 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 60848.546268811886, "yoy_growth_pct": -63.07853081181889, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.968876364479609 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 93331.09676985818, "yoy_growth_pct": 53.38262373195812, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.252403935046841 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 417026.50186669, "yoy_growth_pct": 346.8248164864287, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.26912714971864 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 145313.53304339966, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.15484450198042, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.66528180602653 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 119814.17269110629, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.54782215960414, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.682747279308757 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 92152.14659983155, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.087440717543817, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.542906142294456 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 130007.09777017598, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.07875135533048, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.6421723458905153 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 151008.10304018133, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.153737472957452, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.018303694174357 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 20501.47380910261, "yoy_growth_pct": -86.42359357123543, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.40642978438653 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 148620.701832229, "yoy_growth_pct": 624.9269160651355, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.561245591112906 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "export_value_usd": 283891.2005087672, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.01726543401658, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.41953138968753 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "hs_code": "240120", "hs_description": "Tobacco: partly or wholly stemmed or stripped", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 44597739.54140584, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.2047449610271, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0040465798869218, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZMB", "importer_iso3": "KAZ", "distance_km": 8169, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 190814.274226, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 10041.489838593548, "importer_population": 19002.586, "importer_biz_entry_days": 5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 8.132101608965517, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 8.811168753409964, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.0348584611729885, "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.776310292236976 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-KAZ/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-KAZ/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-KAZ/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-KAZ/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-KAZ/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }