{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.377Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Zambia exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Zambia to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZMB",
    "country_name": "Zambia"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 41,
    "current_lane_count": 4,
    "current_product_count": 4,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 34208953.42815016,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 191953.34303084196,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 32634575.81045767,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 226481.85285164422,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 1,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8123826857851462,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 87.92852488410054,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9014.575324267875,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 94.83664133592043,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 99.89906586913474,
    "top_product_hs6": "740311",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 32442622.46742683,
    "top_product_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 5076.06591796875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.021859561616164,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.736373140606055,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876,
    "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876,
    "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 2529750.8072492043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 7127469.798293837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 181.74592445506886,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 17165.657577428836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -99.75916197383906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 475583.4521317511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2670.5518998415587,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.713846292176136
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 145856.16905871392,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -69.33110931321738,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -72.64753491880549
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 1979039.7182599497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1256.8433416507012,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 386.70374554960574
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 20901102.913178246,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 956.1234683837132,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 252.89661251772296
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 28978123.892108463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.64399411113189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 483.51024748564686
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 24349051.56433867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.974368613388446,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 130.8567157906548
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 29716879.988719214,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.04532858373096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.446170331275685
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 48162344.26394931,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.070662472750016,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.452923609833817
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 56759940.19297172,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.85128207610509,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.59280552592383
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 98414732.18816456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.38766012362841,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.05697439428647
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 435881110.86137795,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 342.90229843636905,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 108.39476759931905
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 123282606.83394961,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.71646034618902,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.50502695780375
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 166541852.82601288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.089496485363526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.166566309011568
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 213416091.53698194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.14562100491269,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.183035574305677
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 205317819.1565201,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7945931453151616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.53363727612656
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 102663849.59219109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.99759396726922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.893110593582659
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 70844923.91710052,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.993310499736815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.759447379944216
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 84638379.10559747,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.46992730860635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.5759045366857
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 92027079.62736383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.72972828620453,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.580243182052445
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 115539158.75860493,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.549087536458014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.708227770914565
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 169480240.73811784,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 46.68640706672584,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.04256855470435
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 137360568.1669561,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.951868625672596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.283135173020334
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 125491689.28449574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.64067398733691,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7926166574421707
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 197919496.21479622,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.715221894975954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.3068207678996115
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 211938623.71332714,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.083247364027434,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.553386313896645
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 95644389.03631306,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.871657010624084,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.655687678570633
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 34437152.02314662,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -63.9945925002752,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.172752369283955
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 641440547.7702373,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.15468828799138,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8487873782724723,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "240220",
      "hs_description": "Cigarettes: containing tobacco",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55951514.67806471,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "720230",
      "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-silico-manganese",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 121171269.10521743,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 94.83060700072214,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3225765774133835,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "482390",
      "hs_description": "Paper pulp, paper, paperboard, cellulose wadding or webs of cellulose fibres: articles n.e.c. in heading no. 4823",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19795645.22215408,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZMB",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "distance_km": 5039,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "importer_population": 104258.324,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 21203.05908,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1120.6302297341065,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.021859561616164,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 0,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 33.736373140606055
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-EGY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-EGY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-EGY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-EGY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZMB-EGY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}