# South Africa exports to Zambia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from South Africa to Zambia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-ZMB/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, South Africa reported $1.6B in goods exports to Zambia. The overall review level is High attention.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $1.6B | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 83.8% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 6 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 92 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 0.9 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 24.9% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 271600 | Electrical energy | $258.6M | 0% | High attention |
| 2 | 870421 | Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1 | $107.3M | 1.8% | High attention |
| 3 | 271019 | Not reported | $1.0B | 35.7% | Watch |
| 4 | 310230 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution | $79.8M | 19.2% | High attention |
| 5 | 271012 | Not reported | $445.5M | 78.1% | High attention |
| 6 | 310590 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: n.e.s. in heading no. 3105 | $49.4M | 0% | High attention |
| 7 | 870410 | Vehicles: dumpers, designed for off-highway use, for transport of goods | $119.2M | 63.1% | High attention |
| 8 | 310290 | Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, other kinds including mixtures not specified in the foregoing subheadings | $40.1M | 45.9% | High attention |
| 9 | 730890 | Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308 | $72.3M | 67.5% | Critical attention |
| 10 | 220300 | Beer: made from malt | $38.5M | 0% | High attention |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.