{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.287Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to Taiwan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Taiwan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "TWN", "country_name": "Taiwan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "all_history_lane_count": 282, "current_lane_count": 106, "current_product_count": 106, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 651856359.2080876, "attention_trade_usd": 630308411.2385604, "critical_trade_usd": 274649784.06308067, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 135298010.6760265, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 342119372.7125374, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 3324065.2877718825, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 546422385.7341936, "access_friction_trade_usd": 651856359.2080876, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 3, "high_attention_lane_count": 36, "high_volatility_lane_count": 42, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 65, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 68, "access_friction_lane_count": 106, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8984804891059097, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 44.69800948149822, "product_concentration_hhi": 1366.53006140838, "top1_product_share_pct": 32.501064652692705, "top3_product_share_pct": 48.92479191598459, "top_product_hs6": "270112", "top_product_trade_usd": 211860256.74890932, "top_product_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "top_attention_product_hs6": "270112", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 12686.7509765625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 610872, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 25889, "buyer_population_latest": 23596.027, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": null, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Macro trend unavailable", "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.69437174844704, "critical_trade_share_pct": 42.13348235134823, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 610872, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 25889, "buyer_population_2024": 23596.027 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 643539401.6551273, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 528799365.98798084, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.829527667155276, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 554454611.7796968, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.851602978718228, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 696444518.6044462, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.608932419010454, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.6684788272266946 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1209689713.047127, "yoy_growth_pct": 73.69505836173929, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.76326685359814 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 849939207.2951955, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.739072910337004, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.303003723893038 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 771366402.905901, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.244520515689668, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.464508300082536 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1021818622.2307998, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.46864504098082, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.470663721062374 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1192657246.9849427, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.71907528766443, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.954768429008178 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 835801252.6887287, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.92108547517335, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.7103240782918814 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1117653897.839348, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.722448278692355, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.033354904718455 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1298516558.4245243, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.18234955694429, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8751812860893455 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1151559234.7368953, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.317323813408331, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.274184867723648 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1232788413.7585087, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.053842874194172, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3222216014336947 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 981952205.5156058, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.347060812987106, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.89386576334128 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 598611612.1302166, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.0386203353048, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.594402245997976 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 533956054.995582, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.800919297998856, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.338956987934413 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 870796685.2600302, "yoy_growth_pct": 63.083961144936396, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.925351159779833 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 906021052.9170122, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.045073695527868, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.814758689561547 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 479858814.1450832, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.036681697391394, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.4980727210740192 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 439146146.76396894, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.484301252994165, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.40286494811311 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 858542833.9563519, "yoy_growth_pct": 95.50275922557488, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7781990809625947 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1348651061.756565, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.0860542323425, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.122211655787844 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 1101129414.3933225, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.353275682803783, "cagr_3y_pct": 35.855251008928654 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "export_value_usd": 692791080.6584722, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.083591483188926, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.900623305543608 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "270112", "hs_description": "Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6925177846.4332695, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.3393563073308, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9392102037470924, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2111748234.7088678, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.14234541407108, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7893843906046816, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "260300", "hs_description": "Copper ores and concentrates", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 795696840.9755682, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1740878308109133, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "720241", "hs_description": "Ferro-alloys: ferro-chromium, containing by weight more than 4% of carbon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128708407.47822502, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.68454185284801, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6068506633022932, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "711041", "hs_description": "Metals: iridium, osmium, ruthenium, unwrought or in powder form", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41179287.15792354, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.78290277266848, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3170993464317304, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "711019", "hs_description": "Metals: platinum, semi-manufactured", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 71818505.28705102, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.11460281672121167, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9257525343510337, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "261690", "hs_description": "Precious metal ores and concentrates: (excluding silver)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 229097451.47711053, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.823654630953697, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 207102725.4648703, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.048878300357167, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5043427726464214, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "720720", "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight 0.25% or more of carbon", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 571908179.3792332, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.55002359823158, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8190011990025665, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2671274270.2714467, "current_below_peak_pct": 85.40576536933017, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.500482173481052, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "TWN", "distance_km": 11518, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 610872, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 25888.765087444594, "importer_population": 23596.027, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-TWN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-TWN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-TWN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-TWN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-TWN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }