{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.293Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to Thailand: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Thailand, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "THA",
    "country_name": "Thailand"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 288,
    "current_lane_count": 129,
    "current_product_count": 129,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 509451577.34968704,
    "attention_trade_usd": 491004567.0998977,
    "critical_trade_usd": 85475652.79801165,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 140146149.96300173,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 152613452.58465075,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 197776861.38327605,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 509451577.34968704,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 509451577.34968704,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 38,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 74,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 69,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 69,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 129,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9080572134769825,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.80399098916565,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1116.23847428456,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 23.011502519153993,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 52.85740135745216,
    "top_product_hs6": "760110",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 117232462.55569299,
    "top_product_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "760110",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
    "distance_km": 10149.7080078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.028999999165534973,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7233,
    "buyer_population_latest": 69950.844,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6503068707693682,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6907461577446372,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.0407205626975049,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.753999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 31.083999999999996,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 96.37904541472695,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 16.77797392299391,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 505981.655622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7233,
    "buyer_population_2024": 69950.844
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 276969696.4007135,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 205599739.39974305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.76814645372395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 207259891.5626249,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8074680287673219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 246501076.98510653,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.933323339419307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8102368475617654
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 387578250.77386767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.23186913186791,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.531850210643967
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 313358953.0152067,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.149500161701326,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.773673024759404
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 317626334.05568385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.3618187702682416,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.817621000912768
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 492893843.41103655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.18040872663477,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.342286882080895
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 622378495.2837397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.270291991600846,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.70064039989406
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 341153043.7000431,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -45.18559907110659,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.410444087513741
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 466689247.7069494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.79762098716122,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.804526833779052
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1386331549.0341475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 197.05667226014037,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.598295701133193
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 2067046656.4145982,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 49.101898305257684,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.30574006580495
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 2385533546.4582224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.407822994961151,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.26058233643462
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 1236747990.425398,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.15633625183828,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.7343452791945064
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 742643923.3016658,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.95187952185617,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.90973756701687
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 667994488.7085053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.051847493921729,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.57720155189684
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 763906377.3805441,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.358185627769782,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.836603421405403
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 835160295.2641668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.327572068183843,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9911551537289647
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 588410390.0933121,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.545215040761253,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.140354665709589
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 440268284.55475867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.176663776290653,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.780374848104117
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 662951278.0446824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.57893137024894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.408612739725784
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 639818168.1511804,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.489413273586428,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.831320248935265
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 501834109.2300882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.566136410257176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.459415568631386
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "export_value_usd": 536174397.4502919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.842956185837679,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.830273617179139
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "760110",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, (not alloyed)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 875918921.4193125,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.55750901051809,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.49948626173139193,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "290129",
      "hs_description": "Acyclic hydrocarbons: unsaturated, n.e.s. in heading no. 2901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 118113406.36861205,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 22.11265704266566,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5688540821616761,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "842139",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for filtering or purifying gases, other than intake air filters for internal combustion engines",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 367170088.9766221,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9924954305235726,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "710812",
      "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14067731674.616665,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 97.157342365379,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5446559657709438,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "470200",
      "hs_description": "Wood pulp: chemical wood pulp, dissolving grades",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 243042312.77269846,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.892420178655335,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.43332163789447325,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "720712",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (other than square) cross-section",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 675073650.7543842,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.74166727271393,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8229703372931344,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "710391",
      "hs_description": "Stones: rubies, sapphires and emeralds, worked (other than simply sawn or roughly shaped), not strung, mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 838408357.2335837,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.039854643511691,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "710239",
      "hs_description": "Diamonds: non-industrial, (other than unworked or simply sawn, cleaved or bruted), but not mounted or set",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1298385270.220959,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.83821837839206,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3254767771197757,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "870892",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: parts, silencers and exhaust pipes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 79829653.11409126,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 52.504057781757105,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4909890434053337,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "THA",
      "hs_code": "711021",
      "hs_description": "Metals: palladium, unwrought or in powder form",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28320688.438179452,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.607001410234936,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6242068591055897,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "THA",
    "distance_km": 8997,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 505981.655622,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7233.388858353161,
    "importer_population": 69950.844,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 6,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.57545667454546,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-THA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-THA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-THA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-THA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-THA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}