{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.376Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to Seychelles: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Seychelles, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SYC", "country_name": "Seychelles" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "all_history_lane_count": 11, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 2023, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 2231079.392314907, "attention_trade_usd": 1021003.0108925878, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 729430.3747160564, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1663302.9820690667, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2231079.392314907, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 2231079.392314907, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 6, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0621147149278047, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 59.88479297885855, "product_concentration_hhi": 2683.369493839656, "top1_product_share_pct": 45.762737731767714, "top3_product_share_pct": 76.90217589394338, "top_product_hs6": "030349", "top_product_trade_usd": 1021003.0108925878, "top_product_description": "Fish: tuna, frozen, n.e.c. in item no. 0303.4 (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "030349", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 5022.52734375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.11019999533891678, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 32, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1320.053793, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 13307, "buyer_population_latest": 99.202, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.008704962383102, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -1.3776566756053543, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 4.447634775377973, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend weakened", "attention_trade_share_pct": 45.762737731767714, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "buyer_macro_weakness" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1320.053793, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 13307, "buyer_population_2024": 99.202 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 34591510.729716316, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 27494012.490922343, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.518034885064353, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 38389117.402038395, "yoy_growth_pct": 39.62719124650602, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 83982972.52645168, "yoy_growth_pct": 118.7676565911159, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.402466112416576 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 79570203.88699572, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.2543611004791435, "cagr_3y_pct": 42.50741044066637 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 93515282.63879377, "yoy_growth_pct": 17.525503355002847, "cagr_3y_pct": 34.55241212756539 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 113780479.9922946, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.67046581228429, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.651890881170889 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 102816976.8948592, "yoy_growth_pct": -9.635662547897383, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.919286179836838 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 103585508.78569959, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7474756738143462, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.4678609850481212 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 105160895.47706026, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5208562566602524, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5918030130356873 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 106219693.92087495, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0068366563554587, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0912124005449941 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 101168401.49343956, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.755514011552508, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7839434608987839 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 87321317.31478192, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.687163159887994, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.0084811252029695 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 82137915.72408842, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.936009384750829, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.21334475534794 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 92517400.08005258, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.636654174218599, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.9357036428544148 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 67699938.9617832, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.824641739603106, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.133747735544993 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 76231051.82406232, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.601359754688923, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4570068570328174 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 68191724.45437442, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.546000845222881, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.669152584611606 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 74352394.8683938, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.03433732364598, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.173673723294579 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 69274726.95115606, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.829192154772379, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.139292521594239 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 48126128.34962174, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.52859178563878, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.967257638168482 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 126154766.03877966, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.13362754282562, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.271377106039346 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 71528646.83850963, "yoy_growth_pct": -43.30087630892842, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0729780723387927 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 89282464.78711195, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.820570125819863, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.874495789113467 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "export_value_usd": 76567845.25213532, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.240892167676812, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.33298389487221 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "030349", "hs_description": "Fish: tuna, frozen, n.e.c. in item no. 0303.4 (excluding fillets, livers, roes and other fish meat of heading no. 0304)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80532416.11330876, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.12989431594637, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5906807125273301, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "392690", "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10520064.483997624, "current_below_peak_pct": 38.08202586446083, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4282277665674852, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "870340", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29674570.493430782, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.83745663418594, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.4237891484218363, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56310507.038752295, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.86575199881469, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8321588095278836, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "890790", "hs_description": "Floating structures: tanks, coffer-dams, landing stages, buoys and beacons", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10111556.416357214, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6556449546284393, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "852691", "hs_description": "Radio navigational aid apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11502345.719575636, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8284021497231162, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "847150", "hs_description": "Digital processing units: other than those of subheadings 8471.41 or 8471.49, whether or not containing in the same housing one or two of the following types of unit: storage units, input units or output units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21057319.92774642, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.49440659133384, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.984581484382823, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "870322", "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14943009.267947422, "current_below_peak_pct": 88.48252859882264, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9397980188438103, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "481910", "hs_description": "Paper and paperboard: cartons, boxes and cases, of corrugated paper or paperboard", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24716984.900192495, "current_below_peak_pct": 98.42661456454405, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4105029823708946, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "hs_code": "847170", "hs_description": "Data processing machines: storage units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12986001.865844568, "current_below_peak_pct": 95.01050972573925, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7738075364673436, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "buyer_macro_weakness" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SYC", "distance_km": 3771, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1320.053793, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 13306.725600290316, "importer_population": 99.202, "importer_biz_entry_days": 32, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 12.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SYC/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SYC/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SYC/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SYC/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SYC/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }