{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.693Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to South Sudan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to South Sudan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "SSD", "country_name": "South Sudan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "all_history_lane_count": 7, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2014, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 798520.83, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 264353.69299999997, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 36298.62, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 798520.83, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1039709898991341, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.733018801755782, "product_concentration_hhi": 4671.582678551298, "top1_product_share_pct": 61.712292339324435, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.45426761127823, "top_product_hs6": "841370", "top_product_trade_usd": 492785.5089999999, "top_product_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 0, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": null, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 22921.881999999998, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 124600.31599999998, "yoy_growth_pct": 443.5867613313776, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 210324.899, "yoy_growth_pct": 68.79965135882966, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 1486358.368, "yoy_growth_pct": 606.6963422148131, "cagr_3y_pct": 301.7517279303213 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 350420.57300000003, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.42422039366484, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.15301225022425 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 762109.0260000001, "yoy_growth_pct": 117.48409902862637, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.59443193647104 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 1036974.889, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.06647521846826, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.308587995587981 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 2869645.8559999983, "yoy_growth_pct": 176.73243454982045, "cagr_3y_pct": 101.5639695823379 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 1255243.1760000007, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.25790641115258, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.096471330813625 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 1878998.5320000001, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.69199338630772, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.913762220428712 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 2830600.4789999994, "yoy_growth_pct": 50.64410273844744, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4556173837116484 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "export_value_usd": 2166380.129, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.465704712756086, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.950555845213593 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10948989.964999994, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7794760144271558, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12383441.081936626, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9085081790089524, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "hs_code": "190110", "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14832786.678037172, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.00859568136555, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3245787129573522, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11771239.771795962, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.2459390107656, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3431028228097228, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "SSD", "distance_km": 3457, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 9015.221248, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 792.1028578527888, "importer_population": 11381.377, "importer_biz_entry_days": 13, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 77.4, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SSD/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SSD/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SSD/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SSD/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-SSD/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }