{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.331Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to Rwanda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Rwanda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "RWA", "country_name": "Rwanda" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "all_history_lane_count": 26, "current_lane_count": 18, "current_product_count": 18, "first_observed_last_year": 2008, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 25060695.360999968, "attention_trade_usd": 22414809.80899997, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 4871319.371, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1862947.035, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 23582836.22799997, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 12, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 10, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 13, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8860654759248717, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 13.859336248410722, "product_concentration_hhi": 4616.652381885122, "top1_product_share_pct": 65.73906428645324, "top3_product_share_pct": 89.44209043729255, "top_product_hs6": "380861", "top_product_trade_usd": 16474666.633999974, "top_product_description": "Insecticides and the like: containing goods specified in Subheading Note 2 to this Chapter: in packings of a net weight content not exceeding 300g: for retail sale or as preparations or articles", "top_attention_product_hs6": "380861", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 3760.455078125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.916840068888884, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.916840068888884, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 11070.356518999999, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 834, "buyer_population_latest": 13276.517, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.608242728914515, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 4.295957064920053, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.217042471315689, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.518, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.9300000000000015, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 89.44209043729255, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 11070.356518999999, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 834, "buyer_population_2024": 13276.517 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 5545839.792383716, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 10599637.503666067, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.1277263764975, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 9083496.223878592, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.303708775541535, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 12601703.639879804, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.73186413346645, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.46817899757275 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 12718667.868329868, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9281620310440664, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.263358479186332 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 14694335.308270635, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.533603521955941, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.39032417084978 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 13070598.643380344, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.050085838019353, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.225222267571846 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 21295244.842110567, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.92478579698128, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.744545742526242 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 39720903.120345876, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.52475430476969, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.30169136096977 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 29878894.32427545, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.777907909725105, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.731513344836102 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 38647814.938061506, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.348209872216202, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.977792395885377 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 60679738.26399033, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.00690546474112, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.170573161197275 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 41188198.946428545, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.12198976990117, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.293404164162268 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 50143676.684677504, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.74282432183283, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.067931460303136 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 53049431.20239506, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.794857317683433, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.380674106880034 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 46525871.80574019, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.297133539030936, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.1455151769633325 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 38549514.43933946, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.143918118728596, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.391821927981368 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 37735601.85079061, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.111343295463808, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.733155510248782 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 54039150.875791766, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.20468794817849, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.116606537711688 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 60222356.53818544, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.442085158972404, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.032489759891043 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 145606831.7518089, "yoy_growth_pct": 141.78202269365428, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.84721933942789 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 68851280.27821322, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.714251488163534, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.409623132880494 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 60607718.589916624, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.972996950799075, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2128461964471695 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 34746151.10435155, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.67041902789539, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.9738273135402 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "export_value_usd": 45915773.72681185, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.146359431049135, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.632489221424292 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "380861", "hs_description": "Insecticides and the like: containing goods specified in Subheading Note 2 to this Chapter: in packings of a net weight content not exceeding 300g: for retail sale or as preparations or articles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16474666.633999974, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7071029745734098, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "170114", "hs_description": "Sugars: cane sugar, raw, in solid form, other than as specified in Subheading Note 2 to this chapter, not containing added flavouring or colouring matter", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17427091.66998215, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.055921591646502, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.483910593785591, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11715884.853515584, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.42148144911394, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.829732454430787, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38907309.997311495, "current_below_peak_pct": 66.88748933343795, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0939699505209355, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "901890", "hs_description": "Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10340250.645676587, "current_below_peak_pct": 55.315311253915425, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9383023948253764, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "650610", "hs_description": "Headgear: safety, whether or not lined or trimmed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10078693.783, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 3.2958455269176175, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "382200", "hs_description": "Reagents: diagnostic or laboratory reagents on a backing and prepared diagnostic or laboratory reagents whether or not on a backing, other than those of heading no. 3002 or 3006: certified reference material", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14852773.480402194, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.9132019672946, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9740390296121322, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "300490", "hs_description": "Medicaments: consisting of mixed or unmixed products n.e.s. in heading no. 3004, for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48439945.51436265, "current_below_peak_pct": 78.4207638123756, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7229991102962219, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10841795.763, "current_below_peak_pct": 60.0731164739509, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.073339779997054, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "hs_code": "330499", "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14837971.410367552, "current_below_peak_pct": 31.80897257758972, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8319987685787851, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "RWA", "distance_km": 2693, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 11070.356518999999, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 833.8298756368104, "importer_population": 13276.517, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 30.916840068888884, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 30.916840068888884, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-RWA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-RWA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-RWA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-RWA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-RWA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }