{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.324Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to Oman: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Oman, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "OMN", "country_name": "Oman" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "all_history_lane_count": 132, "current_lane_count": 54, "current_product_count": 54, "first_observed_last_year": 2000, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 44184089.10425239, "attention_trade_usd": 31323037.873490915, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 12937513.356676849, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 5673983.834680045, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 34205365.51347888, "access_friction_trade_usd": 44184089.10425239, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 8, "high_volatility_lane_count": 30, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 20, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 33, "access_friction_lane_count": 54, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9452157882857704, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 26.052628956537085, "product_concentration_hhi": 1169.1728392849982, "top1_product_share_pct": 27.275169086910168, "top3_product_share_pct": 46.76431721157881, "top_product_hs6": "720110", "top_product_trade_usd": 12051285.012695892, "top_product_description": "Iron: non-alloy pig iron containing by weight 0.5% or less of phosphorus, in pigs, blocks or other primary forms", "top_attention_product_hs6": "720110", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 7687.0263671875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.817961149090909, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.817961149090909, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4.3, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 85868.626528, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 16439, "buyer_population_latest": 5223.376, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9995534721233295, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.12660114097205, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.8409461988605056, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.296, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 35.593999999999994, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 70.89212091616098, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 85868.626528, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 16439, "buyer_population_2024": 5223.376 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 7091278.201980156, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 6920641.78755592, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.406285715551082, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 10913968.69384207, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.70168474066371, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 14686332.89707437, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.56455033960984, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.466564701669395 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 21797043.820736777, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.41719831285396, "cagr_3y_pct": 46.58304602864776 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 23576423.257958237, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.163397990367095, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.270195411049116 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 46842029.070652135, "yoy_growth_pct": 98.681659885965, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.19987584355274 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 40973985.60641794, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.527304176732802, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.415641341695135 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 48834496.00930707, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.184148885086504, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.472429599611136 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 28197918.17031621, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.25819763770647, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.564104148159652 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 33392851.07213036, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.423107941645235, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.5924968251118266 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 64510853.49674094, "yoy_growth_pct": 93.1876177849984, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.72409965829688 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 73671351.77859998, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.199933476809168, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.72957190539128 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 53033548.98384855, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.013335301316257, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.671754851655084 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 45408938.31324339, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.376957259502376, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.045172862924812 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 80030937.88324293, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.24489991632801, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.798415957593825 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 53941653.83373995, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.598998261852955, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5675466404362561 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 56233282.86765724, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.248347744362069, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.386749460868547 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 47050948.90455355, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.329002140447578, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.227110894825337 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 46442417.93117514, "yoy_growth_pct": -1.2933447412779242, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.867219955561275 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 33189055.42371647, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.53719314765083, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.118313937036955 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 43615044.30171853, "yoy_growth_pct": 31.4139367478105, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.4959525690775752 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 41041498.21967776, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.900592612580169, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.037225775566777 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 48679794.85350503, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.61115447818864, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.619083652395236 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "export_value_usd": 56084742.369500875, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.211542156822944, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.743373989785507 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "720110", "hs_description": "Iron: non-alloy pig iron containing by weight 0.5% or less of phosphorus, in pigs, blocks or other primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27160202.573433626, "current_below_peak_pct": 32.526656080613854, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9690536896203796, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "760120", "hs_description": "Aluminium: unwrought, alloys", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 52547665.033742554, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0662954292927935, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "080810", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apples, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29780580.094088662, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.55494272805086, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6082514703415554, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "080510", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48087666.05629387, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.49521594246564, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4784827658273553, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "870323", "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 988643811.5567417, "current_below_peak_pct": 33.605090507430084, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7885102644110186, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "741110", "hs_description": "Copper: tubes and pipes, of refined copper", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10277870.139088461, "current_below_peak_pct": 17.60389303465504, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7506088466944754, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "270119", "hs_description": "Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57810385.42385352, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4124093253309085, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "080830", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: pears, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10230939.165938202, "current_below_peak_pct": 14.59868585241243, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5831307301673557, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "080521", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: mandarins (including tangerines and satsumas), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23109961.733941678, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.873917068116375, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.515579319485276, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "hs_code": "080550", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: lemons (Citrus limon, Citrus limonum), limes (Citrus aurantifolia , Citrus latifolia), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17782871.02596444, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.459096213961363, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6864453071330932, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "OMN", "distance_km": 6419, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 85868.626528, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 16439.296448886696, "importer_population": 5223.376, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4.3, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.817961149090909, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.817961149090909, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-OMN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-OMN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-OMN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-OMN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-OMN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }