{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.337Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to Mongolia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Mongolia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MNG",
    "country_name": "Mongolia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "MNG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 20,
    "current_lane_count": 9,
    "current_product_count": 9,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2005,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 14215632.355234956,
    "attention_trade_usd": 13460072.976835715,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 621407.7913273306,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 260511.5417546704,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14060078.301400542,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 14215632.355234956,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 4,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 9,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6394305255365714,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 2.2032019844679684,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 4518.86966675926,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 51.02136227374046,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 97.43718382192061,
    "top_product_hs6": "843041",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 7253009.283467489,
    "top_product_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "843041",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 12631.8408203125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15098.022829,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4535,
    "buyer_population_latest": 3329.282,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 10.866134521457948,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.199342458311088,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.5263755491780717,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 38.756,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.652,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.68501042008867,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15098.022829,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4535,
    "buyer_population_2024": 3329.282
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 14237.29484773582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3403.8487191084796,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -76.0920262204881,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 119165.73089170821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3400.9114894776976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 82576.98403731015,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.704084622825057,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 79.67066668675594
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 112737.970310481,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 36.52468859790694,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 221.14412926445982
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 735152.5422858757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 552.0895668613347,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.40395389740014
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 147862.20368513523,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.88686766621605,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.43188009764423
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 431458.9363515553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 191.79798866674838,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.41908903023951
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 887203.3321510446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.62868384493167,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.467053150476221
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 145059.03860822282,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.6498541707994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6359678265969837
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 877912.0989642363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 505.21020088607634,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.71767285949269
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3199492.722555897,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 264.44340228716175,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.35077935063766
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3085783.960738861,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5539621958008527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 177.08110281426355
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 6056166.519603453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.2602241977226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 90.36287617277313
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 5474616.372544788,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.602611572456299,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.607254545355968
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 843607.9306943008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.59055624563949,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -35.09795535438194
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 724359.2432605881,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.13555789305695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.72967812465281
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 1517463.501364509,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 109.49045870304465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.798910309736186
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3255321.7440890055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.52389076651977,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.84996341992334
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2707571.4335521646,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.826303314916345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.19413536952349
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2350531.543396033,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.186720975546628,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.704240667086754
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 2239008.736318454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.744578195128213,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.728476344402061
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 3100163.917367824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.4614480095931,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.616835211680992
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 12952242.782035382,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 317.79219187327385,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.62803236194569
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "export_value_usd": 21322969.032024458,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 64.6276200257702,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 111.96490591430019
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "843041",
      "hs_description": "Boring or sinking machinery: self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28366341.488563985,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9765290023884401,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "843050",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for handling earth, minerals or ores, self-propelled, n.e.s. in heading no. 8430",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13873983.59393453,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.19137302652650356,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 89004949.87564208,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.19705154838066,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2079195859422904,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68394053.9783544,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.87408736419364,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2543697435136034,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24760980.365738135,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.58012066462215,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4034680979566199,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "841391",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: parts thereof",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14444831.47438533,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.85434482110687,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0829099332630159,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "848180",
      "hs_description": "Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including thermostatically controlled valves",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24714567.796542343,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 59.63162822615321,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.88548487537265,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "220421",
      "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10835046.2912038,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.01051322113454,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6539488316926522,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MNG",
      "hs_code": "392690",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: other articles n.e.s. in chapter 39",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13241824.830087118,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 43.90171216353082,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1482003650400996,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "MNG",
    "distance_km": 11348,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15098.022829,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4534.918588752769,
    "importer_population": 3329.282,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 2.001356136525252,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MNG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MNG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MNG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MNG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MNG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}