{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.356Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MKD",
    "country_name": "The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "MKD",
    "all_history_lane_count": 13,
    "current_lane_count": 8,
    "current_product_count": 8,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2007,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 4048696.724626812,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3564016.6667022593,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2114941.898573651,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 136906.21336153045,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1869256.349663377,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 4048696.724626812,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 5,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 8,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.210311619389444,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.251416534189527,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3928.3820125879383,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 46.16933489469196,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 94.06143540341748,
    "top_product_hs6": "690919",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 1869256.349663377,
    "top_product_description": "Ceramic wares: for laboratory, chemical or other technical uses, other than articles having a hardness equivalent to 9 or more on the Mohs scale or of porcelain or china",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "690919",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 8456.873046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634918,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634918,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 13879.269152,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 6721,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2065.092,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.102292619107685,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.699259143923331,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.5594851638195619,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.060000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 15.984,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 88.02873885375477,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 13879.269152,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 6721,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2065.092
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 498186.58334507403,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 548571.6677245013,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.11369757112217,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 500894.95772752666,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.691063137609657,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 687654.8072904836,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.28523249869671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.342119782543246
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2037920.7391564248,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 196.35810257566527,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.87618362001716
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 489814.702599717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.9649777742352,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.7428687305654491
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 714987.5067221872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 45.97101780068131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.3077468825341665
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1335458.0530875828,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.7806137214763,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.14110085626563
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1973294.154017319,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.761597562353785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.118253791254524
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2762063.685954415,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.972222607120386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.907996922830776
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1370296.3204970786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.38867758678849,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8621171702526409
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 2651745.4599668593,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 93.51620669936061,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.351947382796922
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 1356232.5791275539,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.85509942027001,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.107903934522497
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 657696.8693234042,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.505598711801206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.704447275471438
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 21647158.886080336,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3191.358055018496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 101.35218971437658
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 93143868.51250759,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 330.28218623369287,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 309.5183495354238
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 82953050.44377305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.940943544089643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 401.4976036598687
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 118564678.32668343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.929859351041635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.27259885306323
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 137820232.90705597,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.24054891568749,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.95137484079183
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 109578199.03853062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.49193596093498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.722897017602294
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 40667652.347553454,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -62.887095513174465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.000018542941774
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 19087007.830798324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.06587243424542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -48.26216032164238
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 12456375.293414697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.73898369069982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.55795054629757
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 20242315.93304898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.505668432697824,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -20.749191981132043
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "export_value_usd": 6009096.563836637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.31418448505798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.971570688720664
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "690919",
      "hs_description": "Ceramic wares: for laboratory, chemical or other technical uses, other than articles having a hardness equivalent to 9 or more on the Mohs scale or of porcelain or china",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 362960793.8424955,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 20.583997614148284,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8575429840445901,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32309608.052978445,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4681772940089264,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "903180",
      "hs_description": "Instruments, appliances and machines: for measuring or checking n.e.c. in chapter 90",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10009493.483191192,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0600786728680216,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55715941.20561308,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 84.38218226275193,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3036115521178904,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "853710",
      "hs_description": "Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than switching apparatus of heading no. 8517), for a voltage not exceeding 1000 volts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20202636.984048918,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8091822058664022,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "392020",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: of polymers of propylene, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17308882.422161743,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.993154893251758,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "390120",
      "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24415279.285869632,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.29630763346498,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0058341420294123,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "MKD",
      "hs_code": "390210",
      "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11873787.849637663,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.66102067112985,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5704111191356149,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "MKD",
    "distance_km": 7581,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 13879.269152,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6720.896285492366,
    "importer_population": 2065.092,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634918,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 10.514200170634918,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MKD/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MKD/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MKD/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MKD/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-MKD/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}