# South Africa exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks

Understand reported exports from South Africa to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning.

Canonical: https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-KEN/risk

## Route overview

In 2024, South Africa reported $429.0M in goods exports to Kenya. The overall review level is High attention.

## How to read this page

High attention means one or more conditions on these product types deserve a closer look. It is not a prediction that trade will stop or that a loss is certain. An HS6 code is the international six-digit code used to describe and compare traded goods.

## Key numbers

| Measure | Value | What it means |
| --- | ---: | --- |
| Latest reported exports | $429.0M | 2024 route total |
| Exports needing review | 70.4% | Share of route exports |
| Highest-priority products | 2 | Need the closest review |
| Products needing review | 29 | High-attention product types |
| Export volatility | 1.3 | Higher means bigger yearly swings |
| Below highest year | 27% | Compared with the route's best year |

## Product types to review

| Rank | HS6 | Product | Buyer-market imports | Below product high | Review level |
| ---: | --- | --- | ---: | ---: | --- |
| 1 | 270119 | Coal: (other than anthracite and bituminous), whether or not pulverised but not agglomerated | $97.0M | 0% | High attention |
| 2 | 871000 | Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles: motorised, whether or not fitted with weapons, and parts of such vehicles | $102.9M | 0% | High attention |
| 3 | 270112 | Coal: bituminous, whether or not pulverised, but not agglomerated | $40.2M | 24.8% | High attention |
| 4 | 870421 | Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1 | $71.4M | 48.1% | Watch |
| 5 | 720719 | Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel, containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, other than rectangular or square cross-section | $17.1M | 71.3% | Critical attention |
| 6 | 120510 | Oil seeds: low erucic acid rape or colza seeds, whether or not broken | $14.8M | 0% | High attention |
| 7 | 870332 | Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc | $36.3M | 30.5% | Watch |
| 8 | 720711 | Iron or non-alloy steel: semi-finished products of iron or non-alloy steel: containing by weight less than 0.25% of carbon, of rectangular (including square) cross-section, width less than twice thickness | $52.0M | 86.1% | Critical attention |
| 9 | 080810 | Fruit, edible: apples, fresh | $10.8M | 22.3% | High attention |
| 10 | 390210 | Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms | $166.4M | 44.8% | Watch |

## Data sources

- Primary trade series: OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29). [OECD Data Explorer](https://data-explorer.oecd.org/) - [OECD Terms & Conditions](https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/)
- CEPII BACI bilateral trade flows (202601): [dataset page](https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37) - [BACI documentation](https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html) - [Etalab 2.0 Open Licence](https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf)

This page presents derived Yugalinks views of reported observations and calculated indicators.