{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.371Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to Croatia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Croatia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HRV", "country_name": "Croatia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "all_history_lane_count": 58, "current_lane_count": 13, "current_product_count": 13, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 4118384.622878616, "attention_trade_usd": 1786553.512773498, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 1079342.429653763, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 490791.9542988561, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 2766296.2496662913, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 5, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6998085413648746, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 28.913619646621562, "product_concentration_hhi": 2659.101613580684, "top1_product_share_pct": 43.379957832222956, "top3_product_share_pct": 78.44438794002244, "top_product_hs6": "030743", "top_product_trade_usd": 1786553.512773498, "top_product_description": "Molluscs: cuttle fish and squid, whether in shell or not, frozen", "top_attention_product_hs6": "030743", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 8877.8232421875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.142099991440773, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67837.788544, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17399, "buyer_population_latest": 3899, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.630920182413139, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.094435516675814, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.42487532207068357, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.842, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.32, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 43.379957832222956, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67837.788544, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17399, "buyer_population_2024": 3899 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 12838369.710121568, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 9852560.453971531, "yoy_growth_pct": -23.256919091495487, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 9825531.727479972, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.2743320035216268, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 10480308.712987661, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.6640361424554095, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.540942029408736 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 11105986.803357936, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.970034924590606, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.0725066470042925 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 27093541.011532366, "yoy_growth_pct": 143.95437786168208, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.228590556893295 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 11888886.277956326, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.11911240064257, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.2931294169876955 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 14417412.955082623, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.267986067076293, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.0879368949345 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 17519064.730394773, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.513233927441288, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.526763086527883 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 17945791.82932426, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4357869868996795, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.711550757450919 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 13524851.547464412, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.63496915547536, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.1077322011893496 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 11865544.687893618, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.268577246467993, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.180238360854611 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 30705093.548699725, "yoy_growth_pct": 158.77525521460507, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.604981001700892 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 23025359.843439605, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.011269524646462, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.40558474613734 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 11766404.928671662, "yoy_growth_pct": -48.89806279390613, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.27928809462193227 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 7866973.259371576, "yoy_growth_pct": -33.14038309015005, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.48654330425655 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 5792451.362149618, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.370013330739017, "cagr_3y_pct": -36.87249040787205 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 11840724.081545696, "yoy_growth_pct": 104.41646103268312, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.2100988028982398 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 7264364.0502200015, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.6493258335287, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.621448791445846 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 7337409.3735017115, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0055294968249529, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.199881415347487 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 5896463.534795363, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.6383459795793, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.736888141841582 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 10494566.435601559, "yoy_growth_pct": 77.98068916516708, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.046112865305881 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 41587250.27658202, "yoy_growth_pct": 296.27411510305234, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.29499495007106 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 19566943.9584269, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.94965685806561, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.157053195368405 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "export_value_usd": 8487706.66887976, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.62221608589849, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.8301734494465975 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "030743", "hs_description": "Molluscs: cuttle fish and squid, whether in shell or not, frozen", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50886416.72318671, "current_below_peak_pct": 45.170430218091056, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6069427950730085, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "680293", "hs_description": "Granite: articles thereof, (other than simply cut or sawn, with a flat or even surface)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14174483.8170078, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0508140592128066, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "854470", "hs_description": "Insulated electric conductors: optical fibre cables", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18705462.966271106, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "847982", "hs_description": "Machines: for mixing, kneading, crushing, grinding, screening, sifting, homogenising, emulsifying or stirring", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16466470.926067602, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.47961885301148693, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "080550", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: lemons (Citrus limon, Citrus limonum), limes (Citrus aurantifolia , Citrus latifolia), fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19470058.993272454, "current_below_peak_pct": 79.02922828569987, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7559795637430377, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "080510", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25076857.43848714, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.94919293072924, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7921883160071976, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "844399", "hs_description": "Printing machinery: parts and accessories, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.91", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 60305424.93195641, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.8104827458265493, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "220421", "hs_description": "Wine: still, in containers holding 2 litres or less", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26443226.159869693, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.72194394190408, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8224648875421868, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "730840", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, props and similar equipment for scaffolding, shuttering or pit-propping", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36336683.47743683, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6441791533905391, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "hs_code": "080830", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: pears, fresh", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11585440.553678686, "current_below_peak_pct": 92.16196885503896, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7773922842960957, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "HRV", "distance_km": 8068, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 1, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67837.78854400001, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17398.76597691716, "importer_population": 3899, "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.2, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 7.376528280076629, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-HRV/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-HRV/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-HRV/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-HRV/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-HRV/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }