{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.331Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to Guinea: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Guinea, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GIN",
    "country_name": "Guinea"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 79,
    "current_lane_count": 46,
    "current_product_count": 46,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2003,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 31617389.288999997,
    "attention_trade_usd": 21462811.713,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 26831385.595,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6899349.513999999,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 27586813.756,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 9,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 33,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 22,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 41,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3331399052975539,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 30.189345542647544,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 778.4707826892343,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 17.451861396790612,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 38.457520890981115,
    "top_product_hs6": "847490",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 5517822.956,
    "top_product_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "847490",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6035.1181640625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1174,
    "buyer_population_latest": 13497.237,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 13.219127345977322,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 10.446275515189551,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.5105888069592686,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.078,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 2.53,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.88293466237305,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 15850.520384,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1174,
    "buyer_population_2024": 13497.237
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 5472367.702383882,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 7341468.70397489,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.15525241070307,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 11340099.689416667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.46636288562805,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 35378854.77550501,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 211.98010374214698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 86.28998161127197
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 43431914.33622831,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.762352291569776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.85978355555301
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 37386861.23855647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.91845878787208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.8335056189839
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 30919125.793569192,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.2994876561534,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.391946030097172
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 35812474.7308151,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.826284901831421,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.227580818076994
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 39343689.20190956,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.8602916934305,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.7150830867485034
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 26334578.333025496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.06530509155369,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.2091565683824665
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 35309518.80633419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.08044115919433,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.4703472770880679
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 45383078.91162906,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.529304408101332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.87523778822605
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 40510437.96500228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.736690994709486,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.437485045943799
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 28029260.501804326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.80978160241239,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.4080393899824575
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 24313634.259464785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.256240713522761,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.78205915944107
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 17212613.70922697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.205919914969268,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.821562591232126
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 27974102.450715333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.520944949340105,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.06563887293994375
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 46856197.31836605,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.49848328795221,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.443548589266072
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 86192526.89296931,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 83.95117791427079,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.0832914163386
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 63022238.875779115,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.88201501037578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.092915463552817
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 73216966.91020134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.176397754634976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.041917877000444
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 45887425.99315283,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.326786495495604,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.95217560897773
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 61094535.67883505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.1400364185853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.0301648224843474
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 56995679.63600004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.709038700911152,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.009410707102749
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "export_value_usd": 66664982.00671483,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.964974244481844,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.25777436983715
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36998126.838594906,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.93268645680913,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0092665458763646,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "843139",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of the machinery of heading no. 8428, (other than lifts, skip hoists or escalators)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125771923.52576023,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2934944004340025,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 166806179.0679819,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 91.66579851952089,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1496983335797806,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "210690",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: n.e.s. in item no. 2106.10",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34009315.42581212,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2783602259577365,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "360300",
      "hs_description": "Fuses and detonators: safety or detonating fuses, percussion or detonating caps, igniters, electric detonators",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10547161.358874856,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5616792660370264,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "847410",
      "hs_description": "Machines: for sorting, screening, separating or washing earth, stone, ores or other mineral substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17272300.591916386,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.734707565549893,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1493949155566374,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "840890",
      "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20974623.66668313,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.1730497718379245,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57983955.00067367,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 63.270082201567845,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8069102223892687,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "841370",
      "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15562122.782333314,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 28.266655946751385,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.280525017473048,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GIN",
      "hs_code": "732690",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: articles n.e.s. in heading no. 7326",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23743762.363332007,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1242815873130407,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "GIN",
    "distance_km": 6000,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 15850.520384,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1174.3529719452952,
    "importer_population": 13497.237,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 15,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 33.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GIN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GIN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GIN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GIN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GIN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}