{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.351Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to Georgia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Georgia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "GEO", "country_name": "Georgia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "all_history_lane_count": 32, "current_lane_count": 4, "current_product_count": 4, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 6994680.142116764, "attention_trade_usd": 5296082.927280445, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 656736.7274359119, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6337943.414680852, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5376330.219128336, "access_friction_trade_usd": 6994680.142116764, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 4, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9205677973883809, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 63.32287947572596, "product_concentration_hhi": 6011.365614256872, "top1_product_share_pct": 75.71587005660732, "top3_product_share_pct": 98.85273822079867, "top_product_hs6": "260200", "top_product_trade_usd": 5296082.927280445, "top_product_description": "Manganese ores and concentrates, including ferruginous manganese ores and concentrates with a manganese content of 20% or more, calculated on the dry weight", "top_attention_product_hs6": "260200", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 8840.1015625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.017998588628352, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.017998588628352, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18700.241392, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5042, "buyer_population_latest": 3708.61, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 14.15286816538599, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 14.279736518094621, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.1110156153436237, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 27.944000000000006, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 10.866, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.71587005660732, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18700.241392, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5042, "buyer_population_2024": 3708.61 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 579858.5051019208, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 665528.3323886485, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.774264158058648, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 582964.6722978464, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.405731818279286, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 1566302.0358941595, "yoy_growth_pct": 168.6787227981303, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.26794274692475 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 6975411.079889788, "yoy_growth_pct": 345.3426555056295, "cagr_3y_pct": 118.8438867423629 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 1527363.42140575, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.1036070288508, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.858447308663145 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 4810927.718298507, "yoy_growth_pct": 214.98251502387296, "cagr_3y_pct": 45.36207256419655 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 3517040.356883425, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.894757875778154, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.408043293345756 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 1958368.5363068655, "yoy_growth_pct": -44.31771212195456, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.63856302131114 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 5240882.517930677, "yoy_growth_pct": 167.61472219187348, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8944296490364563 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 2216291.11274808, "yoy_growth_pct": -57.71149028497655, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.266645305506465 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 2454298.934070062, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.739014380961232, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.8146254723178155 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 28207240.378455568, "yoy_growth_pct": 1049.299296303665, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.24759165008288 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 16688930.335709559, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.83458675221412, "cagr_3y_pct": 96.00503706452852 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 19795025.62063221, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.611709812680388, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.54393694887973 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 11869665.461254507, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.03713009149712, "cagr_3y_pct": -25.063634338420336 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 10448510.275877776, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.973001176955911, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.45224359412004 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 12613619.472558843, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.721702324202163, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.947950383596853 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 25231458.701591115, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.03345396999337, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.578383086086955 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 14458949.832891662, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.69475259478411, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.436498872532574 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 6268174.341867604, "yoy_growth_pct": -56.64848129143814, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.792352620331968 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 6735717.356401422, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.458998251068327, "cagr_3y_pct": -35.61068098326196 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 6456061.924143818, "yoy_growth_pct": -4.151828490722343, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.567691157173154 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 3682048.1950188205, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.96758243211675, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.250388620511934 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "export_value_usd": 10110600.230280643, "yoy_growth_pct": 174.5917406501781, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.49794567105014 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "hs_code": "260200", "hs_description": "Manganese ores and concentrates, including ferruginous manganese ores and concentrates with a manganese content of 20% or more, calculated on the dry weight", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22756626.117093567, "current_below_peak_pct": 73.46412347540098, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7313916147338569, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "hs_code": "870332", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125794943.2425395, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.744181961270165, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8346059970830155, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "hs_code": "841370", "hs_description": "Pumps: centrifugal, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquids", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12462162.642255545, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6404928808133037, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "hs_code": "100590", "hs_description": "Cereals: maize (corn), other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11167288.197018797, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.00869130326442, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.36001033811753114, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "GEO", "distance_km": 7714, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18700.241392000004, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5042.385527731414, "importer_population": 3708.61, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 2.1, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.017998588628352, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 6.017998588628352, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GEO/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GEO/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GEO/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GEO/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GEO/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }