{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.344Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to Gabon: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Gabon, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "GAB",
    "country_name": "Gabon"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "GAB",
    "all_history_lane_count": 36,
    "current_lane_count": 29,
    "current_product_count": 29,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2013,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 16496823.169926994,
    "attention_trade_usd": 9459571.858289985,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7114988.166713476,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10203707.560632182,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 10732903.215448985,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 18,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 13,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.036818884585102,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.228116558563066,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1870.3289198755572,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 37.90842251108161,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 62.30081575576919,
    "top_product_hs6": "870421",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 6253685.428161931,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870421",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 3934.722412109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 18269.350434,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 8016.999999999999,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2278.829,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.367582550835092,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.0356829896301276,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.285376539736572,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 26.618000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 52.04,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 57.3417788434223,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 18269.350434,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 8016.999999999999,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2278.829
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 17388864.305348344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 13566416.83030053,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.982157131861292,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 13233533.914910097,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.4537276095405014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 12046334.57230364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.971143688753092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.516715722447113
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 22487416.13180726,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 86.6743447713071,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 18.347239780894185
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 24932075.35518335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.871232199586721,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.50774677726104
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 39709736.70724953,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.27168573631765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 48.82664635024901
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 45321367.29566243,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.13162376216015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.314870834704674
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 43669597.355419,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6445721715935853,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.542516086598095
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 40616945.952681385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.9903355826540725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.7558070035610376
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 50438344.41092475,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.18054392786022,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.630105373883419
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 87650240.31562237,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 73.77699712252586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.14149519231448
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 70770759.06246637,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.257769507960475,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.3322940285926
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 71500628.7295608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.0313153013523868,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.335324960135697
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 72429328.38910499,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.2988692212160036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.16019088869828
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 46173481.77647469,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.25029693990614,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.26795425077486
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 47185937.772383116,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.192721789553831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.93687663278601
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 30695758.59657867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.947232065939325,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.885928330691797
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 34010628.21916078,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.799112887705542,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.688994728075496
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 51994918.51924725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.87844195113851,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.287897494250136
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 34900651.47663353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.876803213540654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.372252046031688
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 34536408.73754471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.043655988292036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.5126771430567167
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 49749364.21692467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.04903704663965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4608350389490155
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 45421654.11267721,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.699025952124984,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.180011903823937
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "export_value_usd": 46287998.06807921,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9073368690027515,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.254690435448644
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25560630.208403956,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.41889596422513,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6623538646310226,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870333",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13251152.38783723,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 95.16001777811502,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6201956001505848,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 17254936.24028464,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 30.53902883963973,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9166328273757662,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "190110",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for infant use, put up for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18139948.877233367,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0922656609959809,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 35954770.59651799,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 33.87225556487139,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6864713249683994,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "020714",
      "hs_description": "Meat and edible offal: of fowls of the species Gallus domesticus, cuts and offal, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83380767.98349074,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.0017627178296746,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.153328295057069,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "020230",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21654065.996327817,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.035995888850256,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10818543.381007101,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1534056164632642,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "190190",
      "hs_description": "Food preparations: of flour, meal, starch, malt extract or milk products, for uses n.e.s. in heading no. 1901",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19511797.908211455,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 70.57278683440123,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8827341559650241,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "GAB",
      "hs_code": "843149",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: parts of machines handling earth, minerals or ores and n.e.c. in heading no. 8431",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11534526.015864763,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 64.01600704657433,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9509431663146828,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "GAB",
    "distance_km": 3556,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 18269.350434,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 8016.990495557147,
    "importer_population": 2278.829,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 19.712159030303024,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GAB/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GAB/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GAB/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GAB/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-GAB/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}