{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.327Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to Egypt: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Egypt, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "EGY",
    "country_name": "Egypt"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "all_history_lane_count": 253,
    "current_lane_count": 95,
    "current_product_count": 95,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2000,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 103482015.0886027,
    "attention_trade_usd": 26329157.841588777,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 76889726.13601808,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 10552770.940908957,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 29608689.666544296,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 7,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 59,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 44,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 30,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.564986601705702,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 8.844356287476202,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2699.4922386514754,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 50.292830147425384,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 65.83500060326064,
    "top_product_hs6": "870322",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 52044034.081644066,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "741110",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 7247.01123046875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3876,
    "buyer_population_latest": 104258.324,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.071702156521417,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.415004099572471,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6176321736395494,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.274,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 5.094,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 25.443221045749247,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 404142.766093,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3876,
    "buyer_population_2024": 104258.324
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 20043452.37092442,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 25082153.161306325,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.138886740346102,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 16821010.668667484,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.936337002291815,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 34049813.429006994,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 102.42430196201954,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.32022658505288
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 19761106.22927674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.964127731630164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.6403782222089545
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 31917073.529617764,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.514609350824465,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.80085934549967
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 29906056.118053626,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.300757523079281,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.23323825620332
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 61444287.428453416,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.45767447871822,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.956493013177216
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 131831169.46825343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 114.5539886385036,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 60.44702919329761
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 131658441.02311075,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.13102246292693298,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.894050325624896
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 128019826.18478197,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.7636775964027027,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.721861730506127
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 77490506.24071878,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.469917629109965,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -16.232260155604738
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 92880565.37920383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.860573746514063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.97908633160637
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 79358341.82279088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.558722270052638,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.734806133766455
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 71593191.86640845,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -9.784919616544151,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.6040101655663395
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 120113238.13207583,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.77187187883014,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.948688908833958
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 190527006.42704102,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.622820756475335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.902284443858676
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 130180503.80336753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.67346391220508,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.05570238468091
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 211139100.09068477,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.18949375829885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.68665868560542
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 90526704.23182797,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -57.12461396636316,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.967883157763445
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 72579595.81016259,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.825209118079677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.69563552601413
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 90828689.7159932,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.14355956674448,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.510804974818868
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 120774297.50619526,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.96932707477913,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.086129708259106
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 83671451.90904497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.720812592801096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.85462384709936
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "export_value_usd": 128829773.57411467,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.971002814865756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.356378237398102
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "870322",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine, cylinder capacity over 1000 but not over 1500cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1024656502.9336119,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0443878023930457,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "741110",
      "hs_description": "Copper: tubes and pipes, of refined copper",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 96822625.3462427,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7725944907838171,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "020230",
      "hs_description": "Meat: of bovine animals, boneless cuts, frozen",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 877393447.3916516,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0214619735783323,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "870421",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 68975740.61456694,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.2221856435328795,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1218723174.1022677,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.42946821277343,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6120656563212952,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "720837",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: in coils, without patterns in relief, flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, of a thickness of 4.75mm or more but not exceeding 10mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 141617125.93333292,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.830373776412994,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "510111",
      "hs_description": "Wool: (not carded or combed), greasy (including fleece-washed wool), shorn",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15969498.438,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 72.09763671491991,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4385787663295601,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "847490",
      "hs_description": "Machines, for sorting, screening, separating, washing, crushing etc mineral substances, for agglomerating, shaping or moulding solid fuels, ceramic pastes etc, for forming foundry moulds of sand: parts",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31913443.64566676,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8556181676844592,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "720851",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: (not in coils), flat-rolled, of a width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, without patterns in relief, of a thickness exceeding 10mm",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 108559014.82879734,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7377437376011017,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "EGY",
      "hs_code": "721049",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, (not corrugated), plated or coated with zinc (not electrolytically)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 125518563.9101726,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0239287814824183,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "EGY",
    "distance_km": 6233,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 1,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 404142.76609299995,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3876.3597052739883,
    "importer_population": 104258.324,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 20.3,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 33.736373140606055,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-EGY/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-EGY/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-EGY/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-EGY/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-EGY/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}