{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:15.691Z", "seo": { "title": "South Africa exports to Barbados: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Barbados, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "ZAF", "country_name": "South Africa" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BRB", "country_name": "Barbados" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "all_history_lane_count": 3, "current_lane_count": 2, "current_product_count": 2, "first_observed_last_year": 2002, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 1014012.5479689955, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 854526.152903102, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 159486.3950658935, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1014012.5479689955, "access_friction_trade_usd": 1014012.5479689955, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2, "access_friction_lane_count": 2, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.312286785807804, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 14.14791350659018, "product_concentration_hhi": 7349.1061491559885, "top1_product_share_pct": 84.27175330469679, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "271012", "top_product_trade_usd": 854526.152903102, "top_product_description": "", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 9759.6123046875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "common_spoken_language_score": 0.2872425615787506, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.774660954949493, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.774660954949493, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 4900.8, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17034, "buyer_population_latest": 287.708, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.003377222657201, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.910425690193131, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.08945351907343468, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 17.344, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.758, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 4900.8, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17034, "buyer_population_2024": 287.708 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 816665.3360679578, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 560240.1934854407, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.39904820953231, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1077879.8867599214, "yoy_growth_pct": 92.39602929130663, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 837659.838857392, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.286346637808098, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.8496798708429676 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1038795.3483300232, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.01159756530642, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.8528523728464 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1648055.702047095, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.6506624905978, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.203897662194477 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1014895.300188982, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.418628755790664, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.60670387775093 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 8359202.163710867, "yoy_growth_pct": 723.6516773852744, "cagr_3y_pct": 100.39102996554621 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1794684.59440016, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.53043198080218, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.881846330853133 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1581406.8989045157, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.883853918461284, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.933103659308134 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1417019.2601786663, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.395024761794403, "cagr_3y_pct": -44.65603013224509 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 961079.8827494861, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.175947797046355, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.7935639810211 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1914916.020409122, "yoy_growth_pct": 99.2462910503207, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.586459024788405 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 2156838.6706847386, "yoy_growth_pct": 12.633590595995404, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.030754776983812 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 2081629.4349234179, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.4870125792692552, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.384219762075638 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1657825.1153099684, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.359258593450903, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.691933157563833 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 2098908.8139376617, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.606165786384683, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9034268188319539 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1414553.1185327538, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.60530857083882, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.083184920597622 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1878463.4091125368, "yoy_growth_pct": 32.7955369439201, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.252867301780627 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1750500.225252526, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.81212012111888, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.871125345505246 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1789650.0156239371, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.2364915928967166, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.15575068961496 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 1776790.2746879163, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7185617759759344, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.837756371211463 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 2845242.759822858, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.133854870553584, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.57610038572961 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 3703388.888424685, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.1607349896307, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.431580685482725 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "export_value_usd": 2702774.8023061017, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.01887693312748, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.00707665192178 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "hs_code": "271012", "hs_description": "", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 69307283.28638655, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4310106348277776, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "hs_code": "870421", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), for transport of goods, (of a gvw not exceeding 5 tonnes), n.e.c. in item no 8704.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14833027.761985188, "current_below_peak_pct": 89.95226092692863, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6761658557499729, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "ZAF", "importer_iso3": "BRB", "distance_km": 10420, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 1, "shares_ethnic_language": 1, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 4900.8, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17033.937186313902, "importer_population": 287.708, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.3, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.774660954949493, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.774660954949493, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-BRB/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-BRB/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-BRB/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-BRB/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-BRB/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }