{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.336Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to Azerbaijan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Azerbaijan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "AZE",
    "country_name": "Azerbaijan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "AZE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 33,
    "current_lane_count": 12,
    "current_product_count": 12,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2001,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 16255845.038699865,
    "attention_trade_usd": 14872503.24824235,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 473830.949678079,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 98161.20975798942,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15457039.245581418,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 16255845.038699865,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 6,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 3,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 7,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 12,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8708312421047619,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.8304841178163818,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5884.230059555154,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 74.76400435611232,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 93.93948409041093,
    "top_product_hs6": "870360",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 12153520.692856437,
    "top_product_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "870360",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 8876.220703125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203068,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203068,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 54622.176471,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 5384,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10145.212,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.0569535704234,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.672559409025471,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.35371777704353846,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 29.036,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.227999999999994,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 91.49018837738531,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 54622.176471,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 5384,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10145.212
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 31244.877747676142,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 26514.03567560972,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.141176452253136,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 1135464.1672965023,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4182.502223307395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 259531.65628882824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.14312227863928,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 102.5212050451302
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 1736759.7696034464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 569.1899533329517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 303.10789565873574
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 13636898.664486824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 685.1919939163798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 129.0062806341809
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 3013372.6759840352,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.90280070180874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 126.44053338480515
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 2339877.6518364423,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.35020678043611,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.446290232066158
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 4238867.84607877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.15767047699755,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.260068281307284
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 17147144.116620194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 304.5217907060354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 78.53073132480415
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 15048903.666612174,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.236675890384918,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 85.96757910943711
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 3978690.2637762437,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.56159390797714,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.089315952762316
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 7873631.984252004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 97.89507255533391,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.851449404990966
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 57293694.20549664,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 627.665381365161,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 56.147123389713215
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 9471831.876736362,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.46793306299377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.52562410115048
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 14619610.205542719,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.3482865384229,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.909908070991534
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 3932499.4626201447,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.10120169189449,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -59.05628155568709
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 5248674.550031152,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.469173992818966,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -17.863053307113862
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 265526808.33122677,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4958.930703364926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 162.85981259381987
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 3002177.841345376,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.86935038303162,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.60496971868927
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 4238054.797172522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.16601417833756,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.8808561515823925
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 2865901.6810178505,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.37695550963906,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -77.90040555094915
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 3929910.3801803873,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.12648993543437,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.391122082937953
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 5181348.369044373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.84393199334339,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.928155446262463
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "export_value_usd": 17588037.810719043,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 239.44904989978335,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.0846922910529
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "870360",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, capable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 206228702.17239296,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8799019946730436,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "080550",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: lemons (Citrus limon, Citrus limonum), limes (Citrus aurantifolia , Citrus latifolia), fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12552959.894123001,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 7.038537792467056,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8531339687979372,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "080510",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: oranges, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14039211.855557973,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7509962223446768,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "870340",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with both spark-ignition internal combustion piston engine and electric motor for propulsion, incapable of being charged by plugging to external source of electric power",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 385850153.76181334,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "870323",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity exceeding 1500cc but not exceeding 3000cc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 218318741.15418503,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.568759506277374,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "330499",
      "hs_description": "Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments, including sunscreen or sun tan preparations)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47729688.41944634,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0640839455757827,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "870380",
      "hs_description": "Vehicles: with only electric motor for propulsion",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 57804774.27607318,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "852990",
      "hs_description": "Reception and transmission apparatus: for use with the apparatus of heading no. 8525 to 8528, excluding aerials and aerial reflectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37547240.95469557,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.03216257535388,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.377525446696162,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "330720",
      "hs_description": "Perfumery, cosmetic or toilet preparations: personal deodorants and antiperspirants",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20399837.687994897,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.12594890518226,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7776064471433197,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AZE",
      "hs_code": "903180",
      "hs_description": "Instruments, appliances and machines: for measuring or checking n.e.c. in chapter 90",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13959318.110355325,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 92.72277440248192,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.962190415159311,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "AZE",
    "distance_km": 7710,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 54622.176471000006,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 5384.034998085797,
    "importer_population": 10145.212,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 3.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203068,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 9.781613727203068,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AZE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AZE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AZE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AZE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AZE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}