{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:13.360Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "South Africa exports to Afghanistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from South Africa to Afghanistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "ZAF",
    "country_name": "South Africa"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "AFG",
    "country_name": "Afghanistan"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "AFG",
    "all_history_lane_count": 10,
    "current_lane_count": 1,
    "current_product_count": 1,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 3089860.691,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3089860.691,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3089860.691,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 3089860.691,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 3089860.691,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 1,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.8700168508514772,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 10000,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "200819",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3089860.691,
    "top_product_description": "Nuts and other seeds: whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit (excluding ground-nuts except in mixtures)",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "200819",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 9273.1328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323232,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323232,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 20116.137326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 517,
    "buyer_population_latest": 39835.426,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -1.8172621057140348,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -3.58436239429053,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.4121484487080735,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.442,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 3.722,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 100,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 20116.137326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 517,
    "buyer_population_2024": 39835.426
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 6019,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 747806.0000000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12324.090380461872,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 126716.568780284,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -83.05488739321643,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 5394632.307178945,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4157.243041778373,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 864.1527298025188
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 814136.3240836321,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -84.90840009614344,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.8733135911675145
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 5482886.050021323,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 573.4604375001569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 251.06856048358907
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 5174024.701902808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -5.633189260194715,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.382145568256865
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 7661721.480266295,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.08049674460595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 111.12665945664224
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 14700193.205226613,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 91.86540835618686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.922079067096305
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 97902382.90667927,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 565.9938515084982,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 166.47404936995116
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 100311555.60019499,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.460790659009948,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 135.69020545511955
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 80718016.76762064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -19.532683662754668,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 76.42053984742027
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 40802231.66912428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.450899188232086,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.304079261008315
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 24088766.39432047,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.962135135983665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.843312041194835
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 1157859.9035733144,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -95.19336156688244,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -75.70248583635731
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 1241253.2738445979,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.202371376184646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -68.78292820576146
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 1322210.0978581705,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.5221841278872095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -61.996058882425075
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 2127388.456503273,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.89640065140929,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.47955352730624
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 826821.8829212746,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -61.13441903881072,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.665899461645658
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 3113481.8062304594,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 276.56016011938425,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.039913615429086
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 607231.5268111355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -80.49670546987008,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.15807732278846
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 944836.666999999,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 55.59743282134746,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.547806538848387
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 251191.62229775655,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.41428089414349,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.7898003598313
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 705894.3990000001,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 181.0182889631764,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.146577597648028
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "export_value_usd": 3182620.0995545713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 350.86348667211496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.902665068006
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
      "importer_iso3": "AFG",
      "hs_code": "200819",
      "hs_description": "Nuts and other seeds: whether or not containing added sugar, other sweetening matter or spirit (excluding ground-nuts except in mixtures)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11075414.575,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8700168508514772,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "ZAF",
    "importer_iso3": "AFG",
    "distance_km": 8000,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 20116.137326,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 504.9811021476211,
    "importer_population": 39835.426,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.8,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 419946.428126,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 6994.21165355662,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323232,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.049065472323232,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AFG/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AFG/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AFG/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AFG/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/ZAF-AFG/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}