{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.475Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "World excl. Intra-EU exports to the United States: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from World excl. Intra-EU to the United States, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "WXD",
    "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "USA",
    "country_name": "United States"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 300,
    "current_lane_count": 56,
    "current_product_count": 56,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 525658374.40177625,
    "attention_trade_usd": 215118077.99111563,
    "critical_trade_usd": 11336772.724044263,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 132815947.73856479,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 22271537.134831224,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 420827140.67279166,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 1,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 8,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 29,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 18,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 24,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9678292695537901,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.117937514037635,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1978.0205663671363,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 32.488916233818856,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 68.34136453310843,
    "top_product_hs6": "030214",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 170780708.93544698,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "999999",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.1023377268677015,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.47830267128826,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5916240968762754,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.094,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 17.618,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 40.92355196203809,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 2.156680702927265,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 436180307.94927365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 710118590.0188774,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 62.803908630708264,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 652193400.8421357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -8.157114880657023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 365946936.0066231,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.88981312382199,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.684293965643638
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 468394002.68665045,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.99506064949624,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.951729293421387
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 786470666.9620762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 67.90792846427945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.439308169813107
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 525066763.7905522,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -33.23759094299813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.788668872990371
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 453057403.9107305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.714324509891485,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.1035652421693687
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 727782174.4199066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 60.637960695000004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.551992948251469
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 503310058.60336065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -30.84331049952769,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.4007313334163052
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 1043557286.51821,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 107.338849816351,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.06498536821427
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 1190583313.40393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 14.088927247709293,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.829162925456508
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 886314632.5399742,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.55626955614204,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.758424006224317
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 877449392.0245898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.0002362806511123,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.615228769268321
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 616760149.712731,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -29.709889217696695,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -19.687063650254256
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 161986898.3252566,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.73583581872055,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -43.250245102604744
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 781089457.2114315,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 382.19298306648665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.8034346204146474
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 1074967724.5996547,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.62414979167665,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.34453501919298
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 704799057.3896036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.43532849769153,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.25323963446492
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 687079650.5161515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5141076293547004,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.184573585367312
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 708796389.4446898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.1607309155821994,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.962042586133649
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 702351729.7942727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.9092399095692594,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.11588010926345538
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 481822425.5899176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.398698807070748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.156299135797465
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 445943881.92733073,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -7.446424607293666,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.312085858581113
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 488652869.3251177,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.577211198234735,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.390164095016708
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 307896354.7265939,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.99078137987157,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.866417183249958
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 413002718.6641542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.13693027671363,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -2.5255260324507534
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 546505641.8892049,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.324950222328354,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8001701732418125
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 568408170.5618167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.007740633179457,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 22.673829159063462
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "export_value_usd": 588137887.4329543,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.471047372812519,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.505930414321732
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "030214",
      "hs_description": "Fish: fresh or chilled, Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0302.91 to 0302.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1285434714.6554196,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8875931813513824,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "999999",
      "hs_description": "Commodities not specified according to kind",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 6148832754.350104,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 42.35081665911788,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.350294897043077,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "030441",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: fresh or chilled, salmon, Pacific (Oncorhynchus nerka, Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, Oncorhynchus keta, Oncorhynchus tschawytscha, Oncorhynchus kisutch, Oncorhynchus masou and Oncorhynchus rhodurus), Atlantic (Salmo salar), Danube (Hucho hucho)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2561536819.509444,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 35.370287552337885,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.235506944848433,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "970110",
      "hs_description": "Paintings, drawings and pastels: executed entirely by hand, other than drawings of heading no. 4906",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5248779618.542853,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.6692664867009417,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "030481",
      "hs_description": "Fish fillets: frozen, salmon, Pacific (Oncorhynchus nerka, Oncorhynchus gorbuscha, Oncorhynchus keta, Oncorhynchus tschawytscha, Oncorhynchus kisutch, Oncorhynchus masou, Oncorhynchus rhodurus), Atlantic (Salmo salar), and Danube (Hucho hucho)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1311668139.0563955,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.2550995139461,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9068760178300397,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "030383",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, toothfish (Dissostichus spp.), excluding fillets, livers, roes, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 259092996.2900791,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 45.44961198864442,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8878397011626439,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "271320",
      "hs_description": "Petroleum bitumen: obtained from bituminous minerals",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2439195663.922669,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.0839097422562,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8090235891724121,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "030611",
      "hs_description": "Crustaceans: frozen, rock lobsters and other sea crawfish (Palinurus spp., Panulirus spp., Jasus spp.), in shell or not, smoked, cooked or not before or during smoking: in shell, cooked by steaming or by boiling in water",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 289995678.3311344,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.6839466093866235,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3317155138272198,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "842240",
      "hs_description": "Machinery: for packing or wrapping",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1872379720.1420245,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 13.347113040632491,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1113260854633953,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "USA",
      "hs_code": "030364",
      "hs_description": "Fish: frozen, haddock (Melanogrammus aeglefinus), excluding fillets, fish meat of 0304, and edible fish offal of subheadings 0303.91 to 0303.99",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18025940.420034196,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.22863485127905,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0857736515220129,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
    "importer_iso3": "USA",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "shares_ethnic_language": null,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": null,
    "shared_colonial_history": null,
    "has_fta": null,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": null,
    "importer_is_wto": null,
    "exporter_is_eu": null,
    "importer_is_eu": null,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "importer_population": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-USA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-USA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-USA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-USA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-USA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}