{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.488Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "World excl. Intra-EU exports to China, Macao SAR: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from World excl. Intra-EU to China, Macao SAR, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "WXD",
    "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MAC",
    "country_name": "China, Macao SAR"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
    "importer_iso3": "MAC",
    "all_history_lane_count": 4,
    "current_lane_count": 2,
    "current_product_count": 2,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2004,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 9673046.49902649,
    "attention_trade_usd": 9602819.634058753,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 70226.86496773678,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 9673046.49902649,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.9607923330516149,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 48.75532151852978,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 9855.853036660079,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 99.27399434113332,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "030571",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 9602819.634058753,
    "top_product_description": "Fish: edible offal, shark fins",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "030571",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "common_spoken_language_score": null,
    "has_reported_fta": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null,
    "buyer_population_latest": null,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": -2.10707901944438,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": -2.538342143523442,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.44249516534402566,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.368000000000002,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 55.720000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer economy and income contracted",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.27399434113332,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "buyer_macro_weakness"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains materially below historical peaks",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null,
    "buyer_population_2024": null
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 2610.573983236535,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 716.2862146473324,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.56211778532719,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 80.24770566697305,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -88.79669829936857,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 389.12192256264063,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 384.9009941511495,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.978757860884144
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 12533.465838242333,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3120.9611207974804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 159.6140523652595
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 40381.39305521228,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 222.18855962410538,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 695.3950626431827
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 8974.090264054495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.77666993363877,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 184.64370138510998
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 8973.73376353598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.003972553295383818,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.538948252667268
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 2831.9680207079914,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.44158635265671,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -58.761548488525975
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 4067.517862730254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 43.62866504803875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -23.18494512866075
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 2577.7885924482794,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.62502097242219,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -34.018116955429946
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 3876.5959130263345,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.38455536590378,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.03350844291191
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 19012.94412104288,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 390.4546294638196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.20142238049583
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 9587.099143679554,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.57593583274208,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 54.933966815404055
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 5560.801469752916,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.997038036067856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.779185107120972
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 18990.100104829507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 241.49933616805237,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.04006598731500777
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 44863.137585545126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 136.24487147456196,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.26335677228138
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 53275.78730886291,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.751808669816118,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 112.38841735306889
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 21763.24376079651,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.149841118958,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.648287095693182
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 2254014.093382599,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10256.976736358094,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 268.99656888996526
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 18973428.264206167,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 741.7617405281059,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 608.8243762681665
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "export_value_usd": 9753209.286363767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -48.59542961583051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 665.2581655486523
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "hs_code": "030571",
      "hs_description": "Fish: edible offal, shark fins",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38930694.73409526,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.74576150189752,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9622682228250129,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer macroeconomic trend has weakened",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
      "importer_iso3": "MAC",
      "hs_code": "030819",
      "hs_description": "Aquatic invertebrates: sea cucumbers (Stichopus japonicus, Holothuroidea), dried, salted or in brine, smoked, whether or not cooked before or during the smoking process",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56501618.08094454,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 50.06255793667811,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7589792049815582,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "buyer_macro_weakness",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "WXD",
    "importer_iso3": "MAC",
    "distance_km": null,
    "shares_land_border": null,
    "shares_official_language": null,
    "shares_ethnic_language": null,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": null,
    "shared_colonial_history": null,
    "has_fta": null,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": null,
    "importer_is_wto": null,
    "exporter_is_eu": null,
    "importer_is_eu": null,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "importer_population": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": null,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-MAC/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-MAC/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-MAC/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-MAC/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-MAC/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}