{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:20.496Z", "seo": { "title": "World excl. Intra-EU exports to Kenya: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from World excl. Intra-EU to Kenya, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "WXD", "country_name": "World excl. Intra-EU" }, "importer": { "iso3": "KEN", "country_name": "Kenya" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "all_history_lane_count": 37, "current_lane_count": 5, "current_product_count": 5, "first_observed_last_year": 1998, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 3789993.3161165295, "attention_trade_usd": 3339493.896668821, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 3647656.535896426, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3339493.896668821, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3769758.3602782963, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 1, "high_volatility_lane_count": 3, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 4, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.094656586765009, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 51.66006592817641, "product_concentration_hhi": 7808.4696040377585, "top1_product_share_pct": 88.1134508197677, "top3_product_share_pct": 96.24440550818831, "top_product_hs6": "871000", "top_product_trade_usd": 3339493.896668821, "top_product_description": "Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles: motorised, whether or not fitted with weapons, and parts of such vehicles", "top_attention_product_hs6": "871000", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": null, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": null, "buyer_population_latest": null, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6939927181435905, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.6964619039059992, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9642087608958247, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.871999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 6.416000000000001, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 88.1134508197677, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": null, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": null, "buyer_population_2024": null }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 63276.29575828904, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 54433.20423983495, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.975362199193942, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9760.410481418783, "yoy_growth_pct": -82.06901354104747, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 46159.96747175714, "yoy_growth_pct": 372.9305961018074, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.979487260809805 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 143876.85975107894, "yoy_growth_pct": 211.6918568868352, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.26396811035448 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 59819.2500143445, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.42330023199167, "cagr_3y_pct": 83.00275466648874 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 41213.85121691435, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.10269485653635, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.707476490641426 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 25327.85803376085, "yoy_growth_pct": -38.54527716796778, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.955133677620715 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 884824.7551242126, "yoy_growth_pct": 3393.484344174634, "cagr_3y_pct": 145.47396275897398 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1309111.73622723, "yoy_growth_pct": 47.951526971400746, "cagr_3y_pct": 216.6974057253777 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 245161.8247996532, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.27265855043109, "cagr_3y_pct": 113.11701632572012 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 337517.44841738004, "yoy_growth_pct": 37.67129066411545, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.476349741962792 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 482775.6731776453, "yoy_growth_pct": 43.0372490196822, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.28837663403364 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 29919.7711909589, "yoy_growth_pct": -93.80255202296628, "cagr_3y_pct": -50.397700811510305 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 547184.4837664574, "yoy_growth_pct": 1728.8391320713192, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.475106715250742 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1605776.1141533675, "yoy_growth_pct": 193.4615585405973, "cagr_3y_pct": 49.27252248218321 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1777031.4186449887, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.664955281260635, "cagr_3y_pct": 290.1625785453095 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 4366951.90625867, "yoy_growth_pct": 145.7442147865079, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.83959692631234 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2360237.57336438, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.95228836888009, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.699069044167711 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 549818.3354378758, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.70495793971529, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.36450012858241 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1994771.149743872, "yoy_growth_pct": 262.8054979569269, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.985667354173643 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 1005339.2844379323, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.60127207740008, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.75938942470122 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 8279655.8376728725, "yoy_growth_pct": 723.5683182620168, "cagr_3y_pct": 146.94355086638478 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 5659144.279201361, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.65000586797394, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.56391433171935 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 2183981.5134594264, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.407919542075405, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.512623708259376 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 9661396.798174355, "yoy_growth_pct": 342.3753927692687, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.279192402116828 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 924374.3428933835, "yoy_growth_pct": -90.4322908767389, "cagr_3y_pct": -45.33629817707947 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 501989.95554632467, "yoy_growth_pct": -45.694083851889886, "cagr_3y_pct": -38.743992141758184 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "export_value_usd": 4396290.079989901, "yoy_growth_pct": 775.7725192340432, "cagr_3y_pct": -23.08421552174793 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "871000", "hs_description": "Tanks and other armoured fighting vehicles: motorised, whether or not fitted with weapons, and parts of such vehicles", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 102922031.77695543, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.629035008338136, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1176521551845535, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "940389", "hs_description": "Furniture: of cane, osier, or similar materials (other than bamboo or rattan)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19718394.25536327, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.585220253408361, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "870333", "hs_description": "Vehicles: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine (diesel or semi-diesel), cylinder capacity exceeding 2500cc", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 100978580.9431213, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0326431204667466, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "330290", "hs_description": "Odoriferous substances and mixtures: used as raw materials in industries other than the food or drink industries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20943560.7750832, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "hs_code": "842240", "hs_description": "Machinery: for packing or wrapping", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10656610.044684935, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "WXD", "importer_iso3": "KEN", "distance_km": null, "shares_land_border": null, "shares_official_language": null, "shares_ethnic_language": null, "shared_religion": null, "shared_legal_system": null, "shared_colonial_history": null, "has_fta": null, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": null, "importer_is_wto": null, "exporter_is_eu": null, "importer_is_eu": null, "importer_gdp_million_usd": null, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "importer_population": null, "importer_biz_entry_days": null, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": null, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": null, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-KEN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-KEN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-KEN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-KEN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/WXD-KEN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }