{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.616Z", "seo": { "title": "Vietnam exports to Uganda: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to Uganda, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "VNM", "country_name": "Vietnam" }, "importer": { "iso3": "UGA", "country_name": "Uganda" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "all_history_lane_count": 32, "current_lane_count": 16, "current_product_count": 16, "first_observed_last_year": 2006, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 11127932.245181656, "attention_trade_usd": 8333034.28615072, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 10351205.028283555, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 3884685.0942001613, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 10193134.826624922, "access_friction_trade_usd": 11127932.245181656, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 12, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 8, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12, "access_friction_lane_count": 16, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.4887485468840669, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 25.4998056227703, "product_concentration_hhi": 2701.494645941904, "top1_product_share_pct": 47.2128017062534, "top3_product_share_pct": 74.88394162139949, "top_product_hs6": "230990", "top_product_trade_usd": 5253808.584923848, "top_product_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "top_attention_product_hs6": "230990", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 8269.625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.072968630193238, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.072968630193238, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 24, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 858, "buyer_population_latest": 47123.531, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.805671720289032, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.56605150525753, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0688087399671105, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 25.022, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 16.612000000000002, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.88394162139949, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 40434.701516999994, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 858, "buyer_population_2024": 47123.531 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 47532.042231028354, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1230174.951409258, "yoy_growth_pct": 2488.0961424506486, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 248363.60279340248, "yoy_growth_pct": -79.8107088338221, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 379423.51270809886, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.76937056824571, "cagr_3y_pct": 99.85388209532063 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1708424.4209595504, "yoy_growth_pct": 350.2684635345436, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.56885181978482 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3136239.0174632594, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.5749348339194, "cagr_3y_pct": 132.86652772238745 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3393778.4498745194, "yoy_growth_pct": 8.21172847404883, "cagr_3y_pct": 107.58043405293662 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1716596.4218084684, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.419313984036364, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.15919161935913362 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 1655772.3757623401, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5432933025718927, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.177832529622417 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 2613081.562455004, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.81647288637157, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.344930161276753 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3770738.220922097, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.30235454952536, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.992828428065078 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 5605658.9550817115, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.66210876105057, "cagr_3y_pct": 50.15576575085732 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 3373679.461649641, "yoy_growth_pct": -39.816540951152746, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.88890166370202 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 5104481.672896912, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.30310187799982, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.622063474746636 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 7805223.65624483, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.90923068032456, "cagr_3y_pct": 11.665640170489011 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 11065317.302817276, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.7681003152818, "cagr_3y_pct": 48.57760436538263 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 8341741.635308197, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.613624652368937, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.788175625907133 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 6469178.829942762, "yoy_growth_pct": -22.448103612312977, "cagr_3y_pct": -6.066334851924493 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 29884699.05434509, "yoy_growth_pct": 361.9550616845369, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.26062445116496 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 8365971.819026265, "yoy_growth_pct": -72.00583548185374, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.09672944476504242 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 9641765.61305961, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.24979789116523, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.227096486982216 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 15499926.397943418, "yoy_growth_pct": 60.75817459147761, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.654741991015378 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 11432717.345312933, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.240183006095673, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.971389259657771 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 8637894.201619834, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.44583434784987, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.598504733567476 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 7541665.235962407, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.690928368303645, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.34749875210602 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 11936388.697324231, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.27258733794758, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.447456330561847 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 12595887.63205191, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.525112757726447, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.398410139883786 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 19999609.137802444, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.77887864695444, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.41550847145261 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 20334748.61086524, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.675730114291718, "cagr_3y_pct": 19.432342832074333 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "export_value_usd": 17181363.720056888, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.50737091051836, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.902912433990686 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "230990", "hs_description": "Dog or cat food: (not put up for retail sale), used in animal feeding", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 112922424.26309372, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.7617681726794652, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "850760", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lithium-ion, including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16848899.649112836, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.35644393484964, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.074266950157925, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "940690", "hs_description": "Buildings: prefabricated, not of wood", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25549107.01281843, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.562193326015539, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55970532.69455539, "current_below_peak_pct": 84.35035689191481, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8396350337456122, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "850720", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lead-acid, (other than for starting piston engines), including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12677053.832726285, "current_below_peak_pct": 68.23071430220762, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0649943072402803, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "730890", "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 39415660.747282736, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.13247315178724, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6310353528458543, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "843780", "hs_description": "Machinery: for use in the milling industry or for the working of cereals or dried leguminous vegetables, other than farm-type machinery", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12890012.133969167, "current_below_peak_pct": 71.78696119475406, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6012220041278402, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34760961.14722241, "current_below_peak_pct": 49.2401277138835, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7159158919703206, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70874566.92437118, "current_below_peak_pct": 57.49497344240165, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4164968426914708, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "long_distance_without_fta" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "hs_code": "382499", "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29458840.30798269, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1156066158276008, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "UGA", "distance_km": 8271, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 40434.701517, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 858.0575491467309, "importer_population": 47123.531, "importer_biz_entry_days": 24, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 16.072968630193238, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 16.072968630193238, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-UGA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-UGA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-UGA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-UGA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-UGA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }