{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.599Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Vietnam exports to United Rep. of Tanzania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to United Rep. of Tanzania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "VNM",
    "country_name": "Vietnam"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "TZA",
    "country_name": "United Rep. of Tanzania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "TZA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 86,
    "current_lane_count": 66,
    "current_product_count": 66,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 43242329.70368869,
    "attention_trade_usd": 29162306.768359896,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 18939732.275624733,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 19185862.778021295,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 30038163.54530204,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 43242329.70368869,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 8,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 40,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 36,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 51,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 66,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0236212555356314,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 36.901759870650835,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 779.0842939860131,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 18.43072974881458,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 38.3323081319092,
    "top_product_hs6": "100630",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 7969876.924778235,
    "top_product_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "100630",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 7900.6689453125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.70139620531401,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.70139620531401,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 29.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 67775.101794,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1102,
    "buyer_population_latest": 61498.44,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.256797873241803,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.220129140572591,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 2.9880576289668337,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 31.53,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 27.898000000000003,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.43925909679254,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets",
      "market_access_friction"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 67775.101794,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1102,
    "buyer_population_2024": 61498.44
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 3705421.157590995,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 2894155.5570505355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.894018683368444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 6391328.212888109,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.83568373918294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 13114353.685896453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 105.18980169804718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 52.39466785771199
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 3807727.3665812574,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -70.96519235502856,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.575802098079977
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 11184276.44655449,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 193.72576788753176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.505145362075595
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 6039463.508794824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -46.000409256198374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.77632066680183
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 3659563.7529817265,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.405813982441074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.314239858584254
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 18900861.40587281,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 416.4785390191066,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.11265400355413
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 19058830.56080446,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.8357775423006197,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.67833196782636
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 18212147.87738977,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.442469230803381,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.73030527673625
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 18774200.04898908,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0861388529416223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.22387930092425679
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 15760443.647770839,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.05264881248839,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -6.137799881075234
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 27207346.470781926,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 72.63058755728706,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.316347441135658
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 27687879.38421778,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.7661880917049455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.826334601377543
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 31974824.289637763,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.48311030227747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.594035034184472
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 19534909.260974355,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.90534289095334,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.454918299505579
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 31072569.2155629,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.06175350216636,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.919206815849363
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 24264580.69548749,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -21.909963327607883,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.787391731605299
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 38050055.15596471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 56.81315755454581,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.88625163532594
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 83562474.96017647,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.61196801859893,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 39.0629303947152
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 27161186.815439753,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.49595218621276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.8305889062627108
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 34514166.286923066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.071642787359785,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.1988094167571757
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 51776301.6990686,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.01463824634209,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -14.747607206638168
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 51930706.51092511,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.29821521968473874,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.11525469902418
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 33921502.69438414,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.67929675239873,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5756946804599705
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 45129098.172761194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.03979655427387,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.476870351558048
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 65254086.67294848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.594262493670286,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.909868035330425
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 66849392.02074487,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2.4447592926892137,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.373993529984883
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "export_value_usd": 66788182.412450515,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.0915634479897065,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.958744669587242
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "100630",
      "hs_description": "Cereals: rice, semi-milled or wholly milled, whether or not polished or glazed",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 50589158.910414934,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 71.04130894831546,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6110008249874951,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 48026247.141667664,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.92979028536915,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.215673589571419,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "850720",
      "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lead-acid, (other than for starting piston engines), including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29681761.22602417,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.770995783363075,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0425503253016712,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "390210",
      "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103585267.01959974,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9978186671720802,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "730890",
      "hs_description": "Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.s. in heading no. 7308",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 85618761.32623607,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8278436492331152,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 84986983.68648756,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 23.680415801207722,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0192579467256044,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "390422",
      "hs_description": "Vinyl chloride, other halogenated olefin polymers: plasticised poly(vinyl chloride), in primary forms, mixed with other substances",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16468659.09111909,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.180731459558796,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7917210491519784,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "382499",
      "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26463128.58944032,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9578442901429631,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "850211",
      "hs_description": "Electric generating sets: with compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of an output not exceeding 75kVA",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22484885.08698476,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.2628866028411,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8473223808729669,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "TZA",
      "hs_code": "480524",
      "hs_description": "Paper & paperboard: uncoated, testliner (recycled linerboard), weight 150g/m2, or less, in rolls or sheets",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12877109.10241322,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 9.713862878270005,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7086355546150588,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "long_distance_without_fta"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "TZA",
    "distance_km": 7716,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 67775.10179399999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1102.0621302589138,
    "importer_population": 61498.44,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 29.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 40.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 17.70139620531401,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 17.70139620531401,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-TZA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-TZA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-TZA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-TZA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-TZA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}