{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.561Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Vietnam exports to Russia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to Russia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "VNM",
    "country_name": "Vietnam"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "RUS",
    "country_name": "Russia"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "RUS",
    "all_history_lane_count": 483,
    "current_lane_count": 413,
    "current_product_count": 413,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1996,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 1767318971.8205926,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1086875273.8103251,
    "critical_trade_usd": 224739391.4694273,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 879832107.873946,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 386572800.65335447,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1195828368.9771624,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 9,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 123,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 250,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 177,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 316,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3171688652209013,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 31.18397089741813,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 294.5745504281932,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 12.22166546445148,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 22.064218670310268,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 215995812.42569634,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "401120",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 6737.9111328125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.8560983352873555,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.071600465095784,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.354169249846746,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 10.1,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1775799.919353,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 12380,
    "buyer_population_latest": 143446.06,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 5.12549554382431,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.397317436553406,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26532954061908587,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.657999999999998,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.309999999999995,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 61.49853485082477,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 12.716402361590301,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1775799.919353,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 12380,
    "buyer_population_2024": 143446.06
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 19998784.546255354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 72355204.99984929,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 261.7980124366975,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 92456925.60123026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 27.781996611609138,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 69991057.9869968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.29873962187482,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.82605895472487
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 65468644.54873365,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.461416027034961,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.278908171670203
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 79715091.68324997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 21.76071802420092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.822629850612559
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 136006971.0802751,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.61633902486419,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 24.788013189467307
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 134968298.42355612,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.7636907494292466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.271982096305614
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 111010955.80036004,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -17.750347972835367,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.671349388990105
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 153959900.8570208,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 38.6889246624444,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.219459850607632
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 217404659.54623508,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.20862532129976,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.222872236290975
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 383149515.83079463,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.23795029531595,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 51.12424576595744
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 469353554.45816326,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.498798788887896,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.9987181159996
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 725704878.839391,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 54.617957389748106,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.450394223001304
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 521861039.28713256,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -28.089082145659937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.848255980994548
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 924177590.491542,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 77.09265894882245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.33867735018167
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 1455181321.4607453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 57.45689318075529,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.10114294403385
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 1877246281.0976973,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.004286504534925,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 53.22235247919611
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 2168979773.245923,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.540501802333484,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.89236270152263
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 1937343318.3875344,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.679511986031109,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.009407573428252
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 1672716833.5312006,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.659245748790894,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.772236619858327
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 1955817645.7717116,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 16.924610703108,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.3895097322935275
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 2693157092.766765,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.69980542864566,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.605354806063195
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 2938780936.3335576,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.120293956356452,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.665077311020895
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 3071260461.5268064,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.50797551989468,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.23299528522404
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 3280263855.273697,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.805134125387369,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.794535374542066
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 3865966808.16649,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.855360993328496,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.571339027781134
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 1860674324.4037385,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.87040094412503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.384244066365405
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 2309377653.0576153,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.11509218829393,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.039873155101287
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "export_value_usd": 1835719073.6794384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.51022615339908,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.984176011015755
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 757630564.1382945,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9833228141893552,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "401120",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 603531210.0724475,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.049843529717798,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.9943376972235731,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "620329",
      "hs_description": "Ensembles: men's or boys', of textile materials n.e.s. in item no. 6203.2 (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 88891443.33548284,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.41364543597398,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.650580007716417,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3969268667.5452037,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 93.27313762479615,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5437219591377401,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "210111",
      "hs_description": "Extracts, essences and concentrates: of coffee, and preparations with a basis of these extracts, essences or concentrates or with a basis of coffee",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 295817343.55884707,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0117785609974868,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "080132",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: cashew nuts, shelled, fresh or dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 56988931.570952736,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.407673733414317,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7973992830917235,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "620323",
      "hs_description": "Ensembles: men's or boys', of synthetic fibres (not knitted or crocheted)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140072741.03776065,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 44.399831487010175,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 3.42566317582546,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "850720",
      "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lead-acid, (other than for starting piston engines), including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 159504868.35804117,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 3.1135212710475124,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8477444438224857,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "400122",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: technically specified natural rubber (TSNR), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip (excluding latex and smoked sheets)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 147344256.61592138,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 10.683103568667985,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8281528561235622,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "RUS",
      "hs_code": "030559",
      "hs_description": "Fish: dried, whether or not salted but not smoked, other than edible fish offal, other than cod (Gadus morhua, Gadus ogac, Gadus macrocephalus)",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37696915.59783478,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8719540244439469,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "RUS",
    "distance_km": 7718,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1775799.919353,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 12379.565666376617,
    "importer_population": 143446.06,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 10.1,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 6.8560983352873555,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.425769714942529,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 7.071600465095784,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 4.354169249846746
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-RUS/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-RUS/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-RUS/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-RUS/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-RUS/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}