{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.564Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Vietnam exports to Poland: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to Poland, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "VNM",
    "country_name": "Vietnam"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "POL",
    "country_name": "Poland"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "all_history_lane_count": 670,
    "current_lane_count": 609,
    "current_product_count": 609,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 3488565714.9680185,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1495164399.3747218,
    "critical_trade_usd": 170765741.9908334,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2249762645.0587115,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 315534645.58901864,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1509787070.9361076,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 3,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 53,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 391,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 158,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 168,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1837830854664373,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 15.993576849361006,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 377.63376968118996,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 13.233789178983452,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 28.33106962872978,
    "top_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 461669432.0891643,
    "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 7840.509765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00029999998514540493,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.321464485265702,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.280806422705314,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.03788413768116,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.242922285024154,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 17841,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37781.025,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 8.774876361756622,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 9.599090635201723,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.7520265621440814,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 22.94,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.524,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 42.85900056173741,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 4.895012906253907,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Watch",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 674048.2663969999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 17841,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37781.025
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 42468271.1639485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 39678714.98537942,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -6.568565430412776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 57314477.60379562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.44640564825377,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 61577446.57058348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.437857143629523,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.184172003061946
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 81732154.0909107,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.73066462284171,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.236519916311863
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 82680691.58820081,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.160543861642327,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.99171161061814
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 85196308.55836143,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.0425688535479223,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.429376532566327
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 89298609.32320912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.815115624449295,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.995262815642308
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 100725485.85478346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.796253623856192,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 6.801763411177975
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 120565282.16085294,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.696898096547912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.270889381678195
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 134534783.7499769,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.586670174658131,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.63835965013558
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 205195378.90082854,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.52217544138562,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.767930857350166
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 283137342.701468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 37.9842685630406,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.92039656388439
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 378995919.01117456,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 33.855857865692116,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.232067298304685
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 281981127.41060877,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.597845975145006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.177649714644634
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 348442996.64089584,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.569616108920698,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.16299992169398
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 592380302.8801494,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 70.0078086203163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.052729323226835
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 525566730.1199266,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.278830919153727,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.065392431484778
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 655876140.5421215,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.7940752247503,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.470544714472386
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 807046622.1043595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 23.048632541700087,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.857735987351557
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 914715313.4792072,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.341074533476572,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.287184994010143
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 966549816.2474898,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.66673608766044,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.797870904441446
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1162736517.9774384,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.29762961330015,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.943410071352535
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1839522814.9314835,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.20633363535394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.223361817678104
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 1941256554.1111693,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.530441827299382,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.169068724961054
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 2326672156.498737,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19.85392407671922,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.01375703743347
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 2742325570.6808815,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.86471776959051,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.236427114400406
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3014656540.8423953,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.930657872030046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.80259772145276
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3226663642.5649905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.032545792541711,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.516595149207621
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "export_value_usd": 3548517002.3577065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.974803557053225,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.97058751515505
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 5853995396.901201,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 16.913722452353994,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.641810227891728,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852859",
      "hs_description": "Monitors other than cathode-ray tube: other than of a kind solely or principally used in an automatic data processing system of heading 84.71",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 426345157.5389672,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.899957449750513,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.069523451045654,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2241507359.289792,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 5.105149928047879,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2051860474817944,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852990",
      "hs_description": "Reception and transmission apparatus: for use with the apparatus of heading no. 8525 to 8528, excluding aerials and aerial reflectors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1482628259.179265,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.54429578970624,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5822509357075256,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852691",
      "hs_description": "Radio navigational aid apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 206414716.22164005,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9356867933559121,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "847330",
      "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2295679116.8145776,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 2.103548577178289,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "640399",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1246272009.9153013,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0202748873655438,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "390761",
      "hs_description": "Poly(ethylene terephthalate): in primary forms, having a viscosity of 78ml/g or higher",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 327812690.48815393,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3770693438294794,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "640419",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 923650870.6973778,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4067813639096234,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "POL",
      "hs_code": "852852",
      "hs_description": "Monitors: other than cathode-ray tube: capable of directly connecting to and designed for use with an automatic data processing machine of heading 84.71",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 838761918.5860758,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.168766216162098,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2081424614730962,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "POL",
    "distance_km": 8776,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 674048.2663969999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 17840.920578438512,
    "importer_population": 37781.025,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 37,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 11.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 13.321464485265702,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 14.280806422705314,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 8.03788413768116,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 6.242922285024154
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-POL/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-POL/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-POL/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-POL/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-POL/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}