{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.607Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Vietnam exports to Iran: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to Iran, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "VNM",
    "country_name": "Vietnam"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IRN",
    "country_name": "Iran"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "all_history_lane_count": 100,
    "current_lane_count": 20,
    "current_product_count": 20,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1999,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 17071458.4356007,
    "attention_trade_usd": 12930555.189631764,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14318089.143668728,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 4615028.349679027,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15292649.73647802,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 2,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 8,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 7,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2155327432748189,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.275381438219632,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3494.098782550023,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 54.8500452973181,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 79.10921235009543,
    "top_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 9363702.684839817,
    "top_product_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "090111",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
    "distance_km": 5502.82080078125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 54.19122138623189,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 54.19122138623189,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2757,
    "buyer_population_latest": 85028.763,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.431909337919595,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.360726244823533,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0166815769729887,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 39.459999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 40.714000000000006,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 75.74370542745471,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 231547.57124000002,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2757,
    "buyer_population_2024": 85028.763
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 15241133.520687997,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 15498956.068560472,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.6916231822423855,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 27371247.978588633,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 76.60059075921266,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 12961519.099148117,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -52.64549461066823,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.25720075537075
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 23527426.171779998,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 81.51750571679761,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.927508205633133
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 6583622.510233935,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -72.01724293101526,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.809587029330025
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 5000499.165090095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -24.046386965275545,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.202049671404183
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 7066688.5629923865,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 41.31966289139586,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -33.02996731978081
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 11938374.183602348,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.9387338522677,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.943902238828027
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 13055712.819950638,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.359219431092903,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.69845787191994
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 60881628.35262772,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 366.32174889442683,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 105.00137276149455
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 15468507.869344713,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -74.5924866205109,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.018719990823886
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 26073917.93664544,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.56129988024502,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.931749048150678
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 60912532.8287155,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 133.6148060936647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 0.01691766421607621
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 17591864.417399302,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -71.11946655236423,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.380926854172906
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 36387281.12211912,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 106.84152775830933,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.750061441362568
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 9789336.940917537,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -73.0968166924492,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -45.63130951429895
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 9457238.013566822,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.392455784851023,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.688716461733467
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 4159150.207885562,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -56.02151281463912,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -51.469101372852954
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 7430853.456071226,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 78.66278168993901,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.778934652853199
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 16399203.675742397,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 120.69071571238919,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.139590375269446
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 23432484.11303364,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 42.88793880702164,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 77.93903952452186
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 46154336.515741915,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 96.96732234236276,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 83.8193693771376
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 18986274.499082986,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.863508973620895,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.0039569479712664
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 18051946.70957667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -4.921069636654851,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.328310130387184
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 11893243.857210094,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.116557906186074,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.36501630699504
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 14759448.203124596,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.099433092653765,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.051752692936187
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 14501928.350847837,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.744779674230923,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.0390462551981114
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 17720392.281884335,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 22.19335148520669,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.215313466458479
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "export_value_usd": 18708971.865183428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.578768051933736,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.22475223029533
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 83194340.55357435,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3231018131419303,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "090411",
      "hs_description": "Spices: pepper (of the genus piper), neither crushed nor ground",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23228438.934887115,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.81519272080744,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.4304963969397237,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "392051",
      "hs_description": "Plastics: of acrylic polymers, polymethyl methacrylate, plates, sheets, film, foil and strip (not self-adhesive), non-cellular and not reinforced, laminated, supported or similarly combined with other materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10370072.314705178,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 46.450144674573664,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7534923604002743,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "840890",
      "hs_description": "Engines: compression-ignition internal combustion piston engines (diesel or semi-diesel engines), of a kind used for other than marine propulsion or the vehicles of chapter 87",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 38546468.79261466,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.7396169186259,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7777460904084701,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "847160",
      "hs_description": "Units of automatic data processing machines: input or output units, whether or not containing storage units in the same housing",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 14376696.536359966,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 8.54983346625539,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5247301811697237,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "821210",
      "hs_description": "Razors",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15636003.384703062,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 89.63981875300655,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0247943670208808,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "844399",
      "hs_description": "Printing machinery: parts and accessories, n.e.c. in item no. 8443.91",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21207433.994808823,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0505182684729566,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "721070",
      "hs_description": "Iron or non-alloy steel: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, painted, varnished or coated with plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 80086621.72604829,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 56.2366912471741,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.4412739994496101,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "540244",
      "hs_description": "Yarn, synthetic: filament, monofilament (less than 67 decitex), other than high tenacity or textured yarn, elastomeric, single, untwisted or twisted 50 turns or less per metre, not for retail sale, not sewing thread",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20557061.636907473,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 24.38312118617885,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.095418784454143,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "IRN",
      "hs_code": "400129",
      "hs_description": "Rubber: natural (excluding latex, technically specified natural rubber and smoked sheets), in primary forms or in plates, sheets or strip",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 25401866.92107729,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 74.06516977331489,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3056096447321721,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "IRN",
    "distance_km": 6196,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 0,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 231547.57124,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2723.167585538084,
    "importer_population": 85028.763,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 72.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.1,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 54.19122138623189,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 54.19122138623189,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-IRN/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-IRN/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-IRN/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-IRN/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-IRN/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}