{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.557Z", "seo": { "title": "Vietnam exports to Hong Kong: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to Hong Kong, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "VNM", "country_name": "Vietnam" }, "importer": { "iso3": "HKG", "country_name": "Hong Kong" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "all_history_lane_count": 624, "current_lane_count": 532, "current_product_count": 532, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 8664876694.647161, "attention_trade_usd": 6494634111.951289, "critical_trade_usd": 1429733653.1200078, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7828457505.642295, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 2345267981.2579284, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 13451363.056047339, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 5828489810.370831, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 11, "high_attention_lane_count": 136, "high_volatility_lane_count": 421, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 295, "declining_demand_lane_count": 14, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 368, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.976458974815612, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 20.64122193108341, "product_concentration_hhi": 1644.8518457653197, "top1_product_share_pct": 36.86187333017054, "top3_product_share_pct": 54.67625018293132, "top_product_hs6": "854231", "top_product_trade_usd": 3194035871.396304, "top_product_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "top_attention_product_hs6": "854231", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 868.0349731445312, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 1, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 368139.247671, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 49661, "buyer_population_latest": 7413.1, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.303516880397938, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.259425330431597, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.04311734573498871, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.188, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.356, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 74.95356645944463, "critical_trade_share_pct": 16.50033466723472, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 368139.247671, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 49661, "buyer_population_2024": 7413.1 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 136308796.68345818, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 165946743.41381925, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.743238478722326, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 223389489.44039318, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.615169207225534, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 204597075.79401788, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.412398315360159, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.49640377710879 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 190112870.2090946, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.079380547699287, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.6359515663624284 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 238199715.3009121, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.29383993778509, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.1628110438218107 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 271590625.1969085, "yoy_growth_pct": 14.018030984551944, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.901878967854994 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 272201360.5181036, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.22487349139990176, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.709258074752494 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 325556875.7176553, "yoy_growth_pct": 19.601487332023492, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.97586649122091 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 408072874.2975956, "yoy_growth_pct": 25.346108386758104, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.535728915699163 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 406510498.92956764, "yoy_growth_pct": -0.3828667540613284, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.303753422427 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 507624412.6602951, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.873629093709226, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.959199685610015 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 528241025.07161766, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.06139103974088, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.984516042994128 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 717615335.1061505, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.84998155129242, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.857418836366914 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 797771265.4422637, "yoy_growth_pct": 11.169762742633772, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.264009634394338 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 1216380004.695201, "yoy_growth_pct": 52.47227587482377, "cagr_3y_pct": 32.05222254684408 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 1720499194.9152422, "yoy_growth_pct": 41.44421876996924, "cagr_3y_pct": 33.84051148041423 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 3266040083.303775, "yoy_growth_pct": 89.83095679185548, "cagr_3y_pct": 59.97337485787821 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 3461650801.355729, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.989232007651402, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.711358409052444 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4400990267.099808, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.135592803762698, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.761958491919145 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 5203092030.380329, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.225483688903843, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.792063690265024 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4445114366.96541, "yoy_growth_pct": -14.56783118555589, "cagr_3y_pct": 8.692579234076426 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4652495246.005525, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.665366555724626, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.869735055853572 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4354200296.615359, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.411504657554923, "cagr_3y_pct": -5.764262918810859 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 4209794689.789892, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.31646679041655, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.7967202900647572 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 8441991397.24159, "yoy_growth_pct": 100.53214038480634, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.96999024228745 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 6778359603.60706, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.70662744548779, "cagr_3y_pct": 15.896966109314903 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 8585219956.2844305, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.656307105864684, "cagr_3y_pct": 26.81292021475514 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 7989405079.869128, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.940007122114123, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8199658767322324 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "export_value_usd": 8790530414.354158, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.027346548038008, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.051127092823009 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 33072180220.258423, "current_below_peak_pct": 2.3533520011638958, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5362903100334062, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3779514466.060937, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 4.396984259597177, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "847330", "hs_description": "Machines: parts and accessories of automatic data processing, magnetic or optical readers, digital processing units", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11747584627.695696, "current_below_peak_pct": 54.51065461719601, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.142560400122928, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "851770", "hs_description": "Telephone sets and other apparatus for the transmission or reception of voice, images or other data, via a wired or wireless network: parts", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2547855310.0187473, "current_below_peak_pct": 58.125203961054126, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.0529415606521857, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "841112", "hs_description": "Turbo-jets: of a thrust exceeding 25kN", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7929497484.071489, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6201538551358579, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "852351", "hs_description": "Semiconductor media: solid-state non-volatile storage devices, whether or not recorded, excluding products of Chapter 37", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4158947952.7908115, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 4.182285116687881, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "851712", "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 30349684361.136154, "current_below_peak_pct": 77.8581942645383, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6007523322570252, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "853400", "hs_description": "Circuits: printed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1874105246.9281874, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1780633400698797, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "854239", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: n.e.c. in heading no. 8542", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58595517135.13583, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3002665701370884, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "hs_code": "900691", "hs_description": "Cameras, photographic (excluding cinematographic): parts and accessories", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 237244020.69302362, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.73508878309622, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6569477750330563, "attention_level": "Critical attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "HKG", "distance_km": 1507, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 1, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 368139.247671, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 49660.63423817296, "importer_population": 7413.1, "importer_biz_entry_days": 1.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 0, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-HKG/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-HKG/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-HKG/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-HKG/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-HKG/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }