{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.558Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Vietnam exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "VNM",
    "country_name": "Vietnam"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "FRA",
    "country_name": "France"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "all_history_lane_count": 893,
    "current_lane_count": 831,
    "current_product_count": 831,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1997,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 5305639964.43328,
    "attention_trade_usd": 1280798492.622323,
    "critical_trade_usd": 784499874.1621904,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 2723578299.364981,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1089438870.264124,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 7112508.6083089225,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 1194750289.7190564,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 2,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 86,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 517,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 254,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 13,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 188,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0506300346756012,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 18.94108630728001,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 294.44594923873854,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 12.762111788901578,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 23.9129086735241,
    "top_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 677111703.3776132,
    "top_product_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "851712",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
    "distance_km": 9208.5537109375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.00989999994635582,
    "has_reported_fta": 1,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.06892643502174,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.705917412560387,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7415292322767537,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.964388180283633,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519,
    "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 24.140320511912666,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 14.786149822097597,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "declining_buyer_demand",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Critical attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519,
    "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 255004391.03320074,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 316760045.7548353,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 24.217486793627096,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 397534474.82596964,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 25.500194912098163,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 439034622.2024377,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.439383249625278,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.85340325319087
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 496432010.55726343,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 13.073544876002963,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.1563955184709
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 584198940.2902483,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.67954681940498,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.691672622895101
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 636808763.5742253,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.005463662402203,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.19747872283763
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 676626280.0568507,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 6.252664655420426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.873994603203997
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 746831448.0337393,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.375767250865575,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.531034865701482
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 840374636.2177749,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 12.525341351159813,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.68686778363188
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 914407058.8366139,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.80945466798384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.559713025423267
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1104515111.1786187,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.79030892257945,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.93304071465109
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1232901474.874952,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.623776116501784,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.627943141569032
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1305828200.8890474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.915048971897119,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 12.611348171452331
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1170442767.4381723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.367782941025517,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 1.9513169504341343
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 1411634820.8361008,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 20.60690707037662,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.615972560854753
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2075899091.6985717,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 47.056381796322654,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 16.70964063325302
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2670606899.7922373,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.648204070798798,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.649716473750324
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 2810650740.8814936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 5.24389572647892,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 25.80411296965204
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3101655679.6143036,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.353649939499189,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.321816146630905
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3642011304.824194,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 17.421521955560348,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.894610773025892
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3928387062.3662715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.863121049699795,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.807034819595707
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4550544092.144116,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.837467640041748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 13.629190865063933
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4980747562.253176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 9.453890818281408,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 10.998662879270316
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 4985670367.846474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 0.09883668127663725,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 8.268743441271242
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3438781944.712134,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -31.026688669802848,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -8.914949452248555
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3315086315.9005723,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.5970768370983897,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.689440774718651
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3700972911.8373294,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.640318204864819,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.45507464702331
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 3081393086.2638474,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -16.740998659887374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.5917598342055324
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "export_value_usd": 5382789731.797445,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.68688937457226,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 17.535986877615596
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "851712",
      "hs_description": "Telephones for cellular networks or for other wireless networks",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4833826385.997221,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.09926125316322,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0290979631404824,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "640411",
      "hs_description": "Sports footwear: tennis shoes, basketball shoes, gym shoes, training shoes and the like, with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 971640686.9612002,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 15.528001442306325,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9574239623352486,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "640399",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.c. in heading no. 6403, (not covering the ankle), outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2099434308.945784,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5198297336063734,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "640419",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: (other than sportswear), with outer soles of rubber or plastics and uppers of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1329457960.9758186,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7080880995617604,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "640299",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6402, (other than just covering the ankle), with outer soles and uppers of rubber or plastics",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1132013230.3274596,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5309658407183103,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "851762",
      "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 4780781810.074172,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2224645670927803,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "847130",
      "hs_description": "Data processing machines: portable, digital and automatic, weighing not more than 10kg, consisting of at least a central processing unit, a keyboard and a display",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 3861610296.9842157,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 58.61708807686732,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8343011599646976,
      "attention_level": "Critical attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "420292",
      "hs_description": "Cases and containers: n.e.c. in heading 4202, with outer surface of sheeting of plastics or of textile materials",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 915168350.628809,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 14.14445313886806,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.679278515601375,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "090111",
      "hs_description": "Coffee: not roasted or decaffeinated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 831001392.5546483,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 38.781790612052575,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5022653434939176,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
      "importer_iso3": "FRA",
      "hs_code": "640391",
      "hs_description": "Footwear: n.e.s. in heading no. 6403, covering the ankle, outer soles of rubber, plastics or composition leather, uppers of leather",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 675617586.7672669,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 4.618560988381911,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.643448500124985,
      "attention_level": "Stable",
      "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified",
      "risk_driver_labels": []
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "VNM",
    "importer_iso3": "FRA",
    "distance_km": 10142,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 1,
    "has_fta": 1,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": 2,
    "exporter_is_wto": 1,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532,
    "importer_population": 67499.344,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.06892643502174,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 5.705917412560387,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 1.7415292322767537,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": 3.964388180283633
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-FRA/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-FRA/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-FRA/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-FRA/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-FRA/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}