{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:48:02.555Z", "seo": { "title": "Vietnam exports to Botswana: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to Botswana, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "VNM", "country_name": "Vietnam" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BWA", "country_name": "Botswana" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "all_history_lane_count": 1, "current_lane_count": 1, "current_product_count": 1, "first_observed_last_year": 2024, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 29973.385923499616, "attention_trade_usd": 0, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 0, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 0, "access_friction_trade_usd": 29973.385923499616, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 0, "high_volatility_lane_count": 0, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 0, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 0, "access_friction_lane_count": 1, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.7091343545059814, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 16.932185330405282, "product_concentration_hhi": 10000, "top1_product_share_pct": 100, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "851762", "top_product_trade_usd": 29973.385923499616, "top_product_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "top_attention_product_hs6": "", "top_attention_product_reason": "", "distance_km": 10031.037109375, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": null, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 48, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7348, "buyer_population_latest": 2397.24, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.0129069649398543, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.4194113162523392, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.571193944045457, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.758, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.414, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 0, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_product_mix", "market_access_friction" ], "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "Tariff, distance or agreement conditions create market-access friction", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 17613.846473, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7348, "buyer_population_2024": 2397.24 }, "history": [ { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2994.8944741658156, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 4859.100915453709, "yoy_growth_pct": 62.2461478148455, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 53741.209553932174, "yoy_growth_pct": 1005.9908095963922, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 62539.69642631411, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.371955423802255, "cagr_3y_pct": 175.3751508685507 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 5522.8390848754825, "yoy_growth_pct": -91.16906636829836, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.36034119580111 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 116492.65900096523, "yoy_growth_pct": 2009.289392841176, "cagr_3y_pct": 29.418702216376857 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 2086.5493337866105, "yoy_growth_pct": -98.20885766392428, "cagr_3y_pct": -67.80728316593977 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 30462.79250867745, "yoy_growth_pct": 1359.9603285389105, "cagr_3y_pct": 76.68612288674485 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 133735.01295413388, "yoy_growth_pct": 339.011009630975, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.7085603776356955 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 55085.74547817051, "yoy_growth_pct": -58.80978042970477, "cagr_3y_pct": 197.76262964612394 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 80611.37133850802, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.33798751158385, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.316990920091044 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 115042.3878346881, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.7123567363658, "cagr_3y_pct": -4.8948019198855945 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 61042.03074884943, "yoy_growth_pct": -46.9395308131428, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.481626775248503 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 211687.97426294832, "yoy_growth_pct": 246.79051739598032, "cagr_3y_pct": 37.96426953994343 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 556628.8601314621, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.94779477649746, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.13595664890406 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 648391.4395426925, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.48541532495429, "cagr_3y_pct": 119.82112847173218 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 38377.27075452457, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.08115708905844, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.403101438758995 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 56158.263778659595, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.332093644357684, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.446823755540706 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 63613.35938413648, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.275153296868591, "cagr_3y_pct": -53.87847208185086 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 175054.378160049, "yoy_growth_pct": 175.1849294783558, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.84394895546188 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 276382.8299837328, "yoy_growth_pct": 57.883986044062866, "cagr_3y_pct": 70.09796935439023 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 253037.6508578529, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.446682135519756, "cagr_3y_pct": 58.44514587045651 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 254811.16832055277, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.7008907396536701, "cagr_3y_pct": 13.33094080085262 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 487330.7685655018, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.25173036075054, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.810382015789042 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "export_value_usd": 356710.5459676595, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.803196314144838, "cagr_3y_pct": 12.127016730172247 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "hs_code": "851762", "hs_description": "Communication apparatus (excluding telephone sets or base stations): machines for the reception, conversion and transmission or regeneration of voice, images or other data, including switching and routing apparatus", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23437642.389256265, "current_below_peak_pct": 16.932185330405282, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7091343545059814, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [ "long_distance_without_fta" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BWA", "distance_km": 9591, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 17613.846473, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7347.552382323007, "importer_population": 2397.24, "importer_biz_entry_days": 48, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": null, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": null, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BWA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BWA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BWA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BWA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BWA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }