{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.608Z", "seo": { "title": "Vietnam exports to Belarus: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Vietnam to Belarus, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "VNM", "country_name": "Vietnam" }, "importer": { "iso3": "BLR", "country_name": "Belarus" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "all_history_lane_count": 70, "current_lane_count": 58, "current_product_count": 58, "first_observed_last_year": 2001, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 25538116.550703652, "attention_trade_usd": 12444808.049148822, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 14742819.711841293, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 9762076.057613347, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 14460087.338874644, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 4, "high_volatility_lane_count": 26, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 24, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 36, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1064481725683095, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 32.72008480322504, "product_concentration_hhi": 836.2638595269373, "top1_product_share_pct": 21.337158698503558, "top3_product_share_pct": 41.966723057295816, "top_product_hs6": "030499", "top_product_trade_usd": 5449108.457032441, "top_product_description": "Fish: fish meat (whether or not minced) other than fillets, frozen, excluding swordfish (Xiphias gladius) and toothfish (Dissostichus spp.)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "030499", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 7388.29931640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.08159514137931, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417624, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.150317120229882, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.595512811187742, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 7304, "buyer_population_latest": 9340.314, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3542249002150193, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.9960922051038628, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.6172032922380555, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.812, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.426000000000005, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 48.73032834837591, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 68218.816484, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 7304, "buyer_population_2024": 9340.314 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 2558608.071077683, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 3607368.321625659, "yoy_growth_pct": 40.98948418099218, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4374115.526344618, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.25502960489005, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 3045239.390611606, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.380453550652632, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.975601711530443 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 3785291.5886759367, "yoy_growth_pct": 24.301938308886072, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.6177600364058131 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4078017.3064421727, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.733240911795369, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.309363677704279 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 6281888.096887559, "yoy_growth_pct": 54.04270322648856, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.298392349482636 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 2449337.44945102, "yoy_growth_pct": -61.009533890542, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.506575092053064 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 4163354.1122154174, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.97878806566924, "cagr_3y_pct": 0.6927253313665949 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1941837.0747471508, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.35882986629129, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.38534065984434 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 1301645.667748433, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.968337834526, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.000677780320295 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 3807666.955249428, "yoy_growth_pct": 192.5271484854916, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.932941749650164 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 10557772.54229416, "yoy_growth_pct": 177.2766806124869, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.84087555532122 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 20203992.212778747, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.36604934271963, "cagr_3y_pct": 149.44883025330915 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 16545373.344707618, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.108395754365336, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.182107897662235 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 23619314.14407628, "yoy_growth_pct": 42.75479707825034, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.787125188532816 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 27295220.348909497, "yoy_growth_pct": 15.563136941277932, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.547723612703596 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 16251965.500700183, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.45856639750672, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.5946466423938701 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 31158727.39222027, "yoy_growth_pct": 91.72282510000318, "cagr_3y_pct": 9.67411611961535 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 15759692.333365813, "yoy_growth_pct": -49.4212580154968, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.73029168326856 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 20289045.079260882, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.740108944295173, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.675915202222527 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 20771936.750328727, "yoy_growth_pct": 2.380061107762277, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.642721981447892 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 31142000.71748287, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.923433196425606, "cagr_3y_pct": 25.487247064513774 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 22824809.323050626, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.707312320377152, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.003634655736454 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 31037346.092632208, "yoy_growth_pct": 35.98074644719067, "cagr_3y_pct": 14.323592300922572 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 29900003.51672326, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.6644324308995446, "cagr_3y_pct": -1.347466467338554 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 40207618.14146656, "yoy_growth_pct": 34.47362345284737, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.772223726198604 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 32080616.770221453, "yoy_growth_pct": -20.212590914117435, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.1081219128617814 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 35513784.088845104, "yoy_growth_pct": 10.701687387165371, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.903074937301178 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "export_value_usd": 37154284.09272271, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.619333157439809, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.598229718215128 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "030499", "hs_description": "Fish: fish meat (whether or not minced) other than fillets, frozen, excluding swordfish (Xiphias gladius) and toothfish (Dissostichus spp.)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 19403565.884859074, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.49808199324789, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3481953583275361, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "401120", "hs_description": "Rubber: new pneumatic tyres, of a kind used on buses or lorries", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 78452064.87996228, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5945240940122056, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "850819", "hs_description": "Vacuum cleaners, with self-contained electric motor, n.e.c. in item no. 8508.1", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 21527011.429655805, "current_below_peak_pct": 3.756131943113757, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.922373615961298, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "390230", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: propylene copolymers in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55790142.44379453, "current_below_peak_pct": 36.76046807567103, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.025180586070714, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "854231", "hs_description": "Electronic integrated circuits: processors and controllers, whether or not combined with memories, converters, logic circuits, amplifiers, clock and timing circuits, or other circuits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12301427.365490738, "current_below_peak_pct": 53.947691871580474, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.42246590856670646, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "850720", "hs_description": "Electric accumulators: lead-acid, (other than for starting piston engines), including separators, whether or not rectangular (including square)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11560640.291546006, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.63440603582217, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9051034198097465, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "390210", "hs_description": "Propylene, other olefin polymers: polypropylene in primary forms", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 119253097.55760129, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.778323319715444, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9065757844375638, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "850811", "hs_description": "Vacuum cleaners, with self-contained electric motor, of a power not exceeding 1,500 W and having a dust bag or other receptacle capacity not exceeding 20L", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31033638.716798276, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.457826376921176, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6007252776273289, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "382499", "hs_description": "Chemical products, mixtures and preparations: n.e.c. heading 3824", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62277626.98759278, "current_below_peak_pct": 9.220366756971604, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.1933365309096393, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "hs_code": "300420", "hs_description": "Medicaments: containing antibiotics (other than penicillins, streptomycins or their derivatives), for therapeutic or prophylactic uses, packaged for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 47764710.28810627, "current_below_peak_pct": 27.21415069560269, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7681160416336217, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "VNM", "importer_iso3": "BLR", "distance_km": 8335, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": 2, "exporter_is_wto": 1, "importer_is_wto": 0, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 68218.816484, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 7303.696265885707, "importer_population": 9340.314, "importer_biz_entry_days": 8.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.08159514137931, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.745829931417624, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 6.150317120229882, "tariff_advantage_pp": 5.595512811187742 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BLR/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BLR/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BLR/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BLR/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/VNM-BLR/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }