{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.424Z", "seo": { "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Vietnam: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Vietnam, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "VNM", "country_name": "Vietnam" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "all_history_lane_count": 36, "current_lane_count": 11, "current_product_count": 11, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 57974306.15658738, "attention_trade_usd": 14545161.996475082, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 37142454.76295302, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 817604.248121535, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 16157780.526061099, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 2, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 6, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.0823262198508157, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 10.72838028027767, "product_concentration_hhi": 4393.343525475412, "top1_product_share_pct": 63.884605907223424, "top3_product_share_pct": 86.92886412017657, "top_product_hs6": "310420", "top_product_trade_usd": 37036657.015583016, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "top_attention_product_hs6": "500200", "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "distance_km": 4109.17919921875, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988506, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988506, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 362637.524071, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3694, "buyer_population_latest": 98168.831, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 7.336634047306667, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 6.513364638435548, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.77292592499143, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 32.64, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 24.712, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 25.0889798615078, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 362637.524071, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3694, "buyer_population_2024": 98168.831 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 3628353.657896952, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 6557885.191348221, "yoy_growth_pct": 80.73996665334077, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 6071277.877643758, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.420186531268358, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4353190.941138604, "yoy_growth_pct": -28.29860485931074, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.259076007417619 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4437077.2658025, "yoy_growth_pct": 1.9270077007454978, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.21013239435772 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 6957967.827531435, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.81421374286122, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.648763664642885 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 11780440.776920978, "yoy_growth_pct": 69.30864109931467, "cagr_3y_pct": 39.353519339278286 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 8232257.717850489, "yoy_growth_pct": -30.119272498035244, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.877958915513542 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 1950827.0282446966, "yoy_growth_pct": -76.30264873736152, "cagr_3y_pct": -34.54962851130629 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 5550610.469731325, "yoy_growth_pct": 184.52601842028096, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.185642351618505 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 6447304.544868059, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.154873054533383, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.823600030199995 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 3394800.3472696356, "yoy_growth_pct": -47.345432131450394, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.281404690133286 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 5046634.225346057, "yoy_growth_pct": 48.65776213923611, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.123071853734938 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 4185378.132629197, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.06595037919162, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.413103841589136 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 5436714.297832736, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.897804345278267, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.996828999259385 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 14278824.691053694, "yoy_growth_pct": 162.63702502715165, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.43716553397454 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 15247648.488714825, "yoy_growth_pct": 6.785038815331501, "cagr_3y_pct": 53.870745108401486 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 23725912.522378605, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.60374794801153, "cagr_3y_pct": 63.41633688963127 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 23797826.07597427, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.303101318138288, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.562752975587713 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 20522019.191573933, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.765151799758367, "cagr_3y_pct": 10.40932107329542 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 15185850.38257095, "yoy_growth_pct": -26.00216264876091, "cagr_3y_pct": -13.82021678324097 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 28916061.671396855, "yoy_growth_pct": 90.41450391598941, "cagr_3y_pct": 6.708894021755829 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 32744596.62467509, "yoy_growth_pct": 13.240167339473263, "cagr_3y_pct": 16.852996006541975 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 34225957.69063523, "yoy_growth_pct": 4.5239863020448245, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.110909731419746 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 23055969.277086124, "yoy_growth_pct": -32.636014204521125, "cagr_3y_pct": -7.27117697311408 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 18941452.29335219, "yoy_growth_pct": -17.845777526356667, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.678347127829817 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 35360622.39014952, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.68379722160957, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.0930804827760099 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 44952332.370646924, "yoy_growth_pct": 27.125399193113143, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.926991621669202 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 67015473.17609953, "yoy_growth_pct": 49.08119254755165, "cagr_3y_pct": 52.37741601422397 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "export_value_usd": 63633682.12748775, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.046283922707373, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.634204144192527 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 226234030.78472254, "current_below_peak_pct": 1.3987480110659427, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.320528263949359, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "500200", "hs_description": "Silk: raw silk (not thrown)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 36939689.295522556, "current_below_peak_pct": 24.489707031151024, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5821010022895359, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "520300", "hs_description": "Cotton: carded or combed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87974037.30111632, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.266592356704926, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7602727537575562, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "390120", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, polyethylene having a specific gravity of 0.94 or more", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 945521880.3864124, "current_below_peak_pct": 47.6248777907324, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.950248676269111, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "050400", "hs_description": "Animal products: guts, bladders and stomachs of animals (other than fish), whole and pieces thereof", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 131599947.16295838, "current_below_peak_pct": 29.757708250235424, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6292528869053966, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "410411", "hs_description": "Tanned or crust hides and skins: without hair on, bovine or equine, in the wet state (including wet blue), full grains, unsplit: grain splits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 180316432.06292868, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "410449", "hs_description": "Tanned or crust hides and skins: bovine or equine, without hair on, in the dry state (crust), (other than full grains, unsplit: grain splits)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 87662979.54094788, "current_below_peak_pct": 28.848058140054878, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6785872687361096, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "390190", "hs_description": "Ethylene polymers: in primary forms, n.e.c. in heading no. 3901", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 281100615.62141126, "current_below_peak_pct": 83.36397472552483, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7815361813657185, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "051191", "hs_description": "Animal products: of fish or crustaceans, molluscs or other aquatic invertebrates and dead animals of chapter 3, unfit for human consumption", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 34943444.73897258, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8230986909402251, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "hs_code": "051199", "hs_description": "Animal products: n.e.s. in chapter 5", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 45018520.648693055, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0774631141687643, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "VNM", "distance_km": 4981, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 362637.524071, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3694.018970960344, "importer_population": 98168.831, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.6, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988506, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 15.775317722988506, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-VNM/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-VNM/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-VNM/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-VNM/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-VNM/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }