{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.456Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Sweden: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Sweden, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "SWE",
    "country_name": "Sweden"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "all_history_lane_count": 6,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2017,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 6714014.141131498,
    "attention_trade_usd": 3791912.501194721,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29111.853038929283,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 3791912.501194721,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 1,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 1,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.15338176887217744,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 0.31960396831441007,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5046.551520883635,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 56.477576923239525,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "741300",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 3791912.501194721,
    "top_product_description": "Copper: stranded wire, cables, plaited bands and the like, not electrically insulated",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "741300",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 4018.938720703125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.0050999997183680534,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 60239,
    "buyer_population_latest": 10415.811,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6041298879049046,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.033187461230712,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.559565412862506,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 24.328000000000003,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 28.238,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 56.477576923239525,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 627437.8988869999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 60239,
    "buyer_population_2024": 10415.811
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 850.83158560582,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 162567.62336770762,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 19006.9097713332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 180478.33229086062,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 11.017389903425734,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 503467.43059961876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 178.96281188382534,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 739.5423186466166
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 484816.7686418497,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.7044425963277394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 43.939898457930646
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 275474.5324742674,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -43.1796607930924,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.138030185389816
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 40377.49822062621,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.34256584158176,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -56.87563877852166
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 41715.672678022485,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.314158916147747,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -55.85238910281036
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 17121.65207486055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.956308323224206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -60.38848943579189
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 12638.262736856715,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -26.1854949417336,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.103197182348254
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 95039.94840454767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 652.0016823782635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.583766484588914
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 38506.531579837436,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -59.48384629174011,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.017581420392816
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 1281.9282302706363,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -96.67088107477882,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.36355432115467
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 21729.91920674229,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1595.0963941370371,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.851758342113726
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 9023.414029396754,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -58.474700510635124,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -38.34823783767466
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 5883.818049056357,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.793881452320875,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 66.18755849305022
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 87166.50437319065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1381.4615891660749,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 58.890222340925355
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 191293.12000417066,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 119.45714283227092,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 176.7639297872615
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 163491.8406406452,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.533339914639543,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 202.88582555661924
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 615524.7101060525,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 276.4865009128955,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 91.85153903577792
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 136547.1328438318,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -77.81614115535585,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -10.629453917833697
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 180468.79028641435,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 32.16593166611234,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.3479836835539567
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 57799.465991221354,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.9725974228063,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -54.54732531591484
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 146897.90051896757,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 154.1509648917493,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 2.465500986645197
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 126697.35994139209,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -13.751415443113956,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.123184330460978
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 124530.59239355767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -1.7101915531915757,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.15683955035211
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 109967.13716745244,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.694680757704834,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -9.200711926570671
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 2381600.2970272587,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 2065.738199950297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 165.8890405024469
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "export_value_usd": 6957370.3496931065,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 192.13005886745046,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 282.28714050010205
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "741300",
      "hs_description": "Copper: stranded wire, cables, plaited bands and the like, not electrically insulated",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75225803.3310241,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.265264439442678,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 58775362.48862789,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "SWE",
      "hs_code": "080232",
      "hs_description": "Nuts, edible: walnuts, fresh or dried, shelled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18281113.605475254,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.70968656496127,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8226141126240836,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "SWE",
    "distance_km": 4026,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 627437.8988869999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 60238.98656446434,
    "importer_population": 10415.811,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 7.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.935060322222222,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-SWE/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-SWE/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-SWE/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-SWE/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-SWE/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}