{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.616Z", "seo": { "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Pakistan: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Pakistan, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "PAK", "country_name": "Pakistan" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "all_history_lane_count": 39, "current_lane_count": 18, "current_product_count": 18, "first_observed_last_year": 2004, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 176926912.1054213, "attention_trade_usd": 166388108.8610796, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 162014080.33443984, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 7740150.102649791, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 162061330.36823174, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 10, "high_volatility_lane_count": 11, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 4, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 16, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.3760587920518799, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 21.079676986955366, "product_concentration_hhi": 2056.5125458515486, "top1_product_share_pct": 38.78405806558929, "top3_product_share_pct": 65.28914714822776, "top_product_hs6": "071339", "top_product_trade_usd": 68619436.32462072, "top_product_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: n.e.c. in item no. 0713.3, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "top_attention_product_hs6": "071339", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 913.6255493164062, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.837629776628347, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.837629776628347, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 1538, "buyer_population_latest": 225199.936, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.97495743635785, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 1.2398006628906222, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.713907734019493, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 16.71, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 7.442, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 94.04341424437331, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 346343.170486, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 1538, "buyer_population_2024": 225199.936 }, "history": [ { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 859376.9878040863, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 2136667.7925371495, "yoy_growth_pct": 148.62985893965424, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 3350811.6102163866, "yoy_growth_pct": 56.824173693259205, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4073926.2922819727, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.58028460510466, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.9873125714704 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5436407.046533291, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.44392255776767, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.51854606658227 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 1193385.5030017332, "yoy_growth_pct": -78.04826804198306, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.116756474434556 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4720622.919763975, "yoy_growth_pct": 295.5656330573943, "cagr_3y_pct": 5.033712072914631 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 10566262.86800534, "yoy_growth_pct": 123.83196132373224, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.79671339302312 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 16756177.975863386, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.581876915073885, "cagr_3y_pct": 141.24856324530387 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 22822668.600996077, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.20450101372301, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.09173142381249 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 18516734.368630126, "yoy_growth_pct": -18.866918271678458, "cagr_3y_pct": 20.563078401924063 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 949536.898529923, "yoy_growth_pct": -94.87200669606965, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.589883261991375 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 17702619.81726899, "yoy_growth_pct": 1764.3424857608227, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.119424630825623 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6929026.627267623, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.85875029351122, "cagr_3y_pct": -27.938613940604075 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4321570.147269137, "yoy_growth_pct": -37.630920189243156, "cagr_3y_pct": 65.7206292426304 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 5294828.736004544, "yoy_growth_pct": 22.520948534190133, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.1238199697628 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4981593.538501792, "yoy_growth_pct": -5.915870240953602, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.415676238774596 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 4637390.763960895, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.909491348112173, "cagr_3y_pct": 2.378958846922541 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6044353.65997991, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.339537201676258, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.511957804658562 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 6254564.79165727, "yoy_growth_pct": 3.4778099281182584, "cagr_3y_pct": 7.880496230184231 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 11753016.542117313, "yoy_growth_pct": 87.91102072832024, "cagr_3y_pct": 36.3406054452649 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 32038436.37249623, "yoy_growth_pct": 172.59756044489058, "cagr_3y_pct": 74.35743911108226 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 59752166.43878543, "yoy_growth_pct": 86.50150632844358, "cagr_3y_pct": 112.18703951286386 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 101884073.8078269, "yoy_growth_pct": 70.51109588169417, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.424537625094 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 102801859.43759924, "yoy_growth_pct": 0.9008136359991425, "cagr_3y_pct": 47.49474677011874 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 169795342.35686204, "yoy_growth_pct": 65.16757895797387, "cagr_3y_pct": 41.641561401630135 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "export_value_usd": 182358906.83088455, "yoy_growth_pct": 7.399239755126752, "cagr_3y_pct": 21.415339745836537 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071339", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: n.e.c. in item no. 0713.3, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 91784797.3025696, "current_below_peak_pct": 40.85673628320012, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5860409070396388, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "520513", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82013401.1692639, "current_below_peak_pct": 0.7697797248871291, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1098918622089204, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "100829", "hs_description": "Cereals: millet, other than seed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16407820.497523447, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.496825338739186, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "520514", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not less than 125 decitex (exceeding 52 but not exceeding 80 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23613999.15010256, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7955783710238798, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "070310", "hs_description": "Vegetables, alliaceous: onions and shallots, fresh or chilled", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 65105184.514262535, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1135250042500202, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "120241", "hs_description": "Ground-nuts: other than seed, not roasted or otherwise cooked, in shell", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10012566.20353065, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.995331207237054, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071331", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: beans of the species vigna mungo (l.) hepper or vigna radiata (l.) wilczek, shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 53952279.36119297, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.88439749429448, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2816589923253332, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "071333", "hs_description": "Vegetables, leguminous: kidney beans, including white pea beans (phaseolus vulgaris), shelled, whether or not skinned or split, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 70908244.99487367, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.64207548542886, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.575857311808094, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "520524", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 192.31 but not less than 125 decitex (exceeding 52 but not exceeding 80 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 86047787.70171559, "current_below_peak_pct": 21.946126444699427, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2580492112956834, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "hs_code": "520523", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12625554.700295132, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1773076231916888, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "PAK", "distance_km": 1825, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 0, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 346343.170486, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1537.9363628504764, "importer_population": 225199.936, "importer_biz_entry_days": 16.5, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 6.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.837629776628347, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.837629776628347, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-PAK/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-PAK/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-PAK/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-PAK/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-PAK/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }