{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.427Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Morocco: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Morocco, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "MAR",
    "country_name": "Morocco"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "MAR",
    "all_history_lane_count": 21,
    "current_lane_count": 13,
    "current_product_count": 13,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2015,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 21451641.880942002,
    "attention_trade_usd": 13403827.724968396,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 659154.2697149109,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 19199609.945422277,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 3,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 11,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5438035982737212,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 12.049509062589792,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 1925.4654724870506,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 30.69144508189541,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 67.85989812806041,
    "top_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 6583818.88705419,
    "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 6536.154296875,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 132725.261467,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 3554,
    "buyer_population_latest": 37344.788,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.493870310126513,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.4337131700827195,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.0122871045357362,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 33.041999999999994,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 20.788,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 62.4839245376205,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 132725.261467,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 3554,
    "buyer_population_2024": 37344.788
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 327295.7962032146,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 869262.0259074591,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 165.58912029769647,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 3513078.270425919,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 304.1449143897053,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1091301.0680767598,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -68.9360445719744,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 49.39453734594095
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1481494.6798599388,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.75490056752455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.449168113493933
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1534778.0362113528,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.596594511999962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -24.121410386885422
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 2682519.8673893176,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 74.7822684517431,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.958255436730234
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1713007.3961346,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -36.14185613463011,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.959007166514584
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1003840.4981974876,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.39893963898504,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -13.19600518370404
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 817116.8674347041,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.60092625253389,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.71569933790457
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1915610.585105055,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 134.43532515966962,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 3.7964889896394016
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 864481.8456198301,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.8717337259639,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.8598741392295475
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 773693.7099164046,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -10.502029182386218,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.8037362979875016
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 3253415.548155026,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 320.5043296146932,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 19.310162320501355
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 283575.31254994887,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -91.28376598830847,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.033606778853716
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1475011.8290275559,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 420.1481806593258,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.996324608595444
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1497194.08114044,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1.5038694386273699,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -22.794864787846837
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 869104.7689352186,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.95109505955262,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 45.25616409467366
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1310506.8914265824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 50.78813720377422,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -3.865058000041177
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 3063925.2873629406,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 133.79696111537686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 26.95993453590515
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 2726805.038081126,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -11.00288739651245,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.39536211398412
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 1977001.3859468016,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.49751601830569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.68920832316767
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 2564539.5437134453,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.718651789678297,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -5.758162990681736
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 2169731.4029820203,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -15.394893859181602,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.334665955704844
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 5231509.986514087,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 141.11325389511532,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 38.31629959171785
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 5661503.854467608,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 8.219307027263056,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 30.20893970205185
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 7418058.197987504,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 31.026285394714748,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.647323642035616
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 26627784.379804667,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 258.9589575750255,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 72.01619003109174
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 17868732.179864954,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -32.894408618476156,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 46.685542289738734
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "export_value_usd": 22548221.895034894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 26.188146243766177,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 44.85740066973458
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 128842274.12549953,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.5031944909701489,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "080620",
      "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, dried",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 26105458.22592709,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7470363269961011,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "520523",
      "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 27763091.87869594,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7853891679949513,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 41285605.4949121,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 47.54062890219889,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3118249049558399,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "790112",
      "hs_description": "Zinc: unwrought, (not alloyed), containing by weight less than 99.99% of zinc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 20732311.417781536,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.1113695030662094,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.01595901612412182,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "520942",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, of yarns of different colours, weighing more than 200g/m2, denim",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 62872166.26788446,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.147063587799146,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6102032130025267,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "310230",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 94077931.43101099,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 78.63243236169582,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6200690667897619,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "790111",
      "hs_description": "Zinc: unwrought, (not alloyed), containing by weight 99.99% or more of zinc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15574845.362565396,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 37.009928562490934,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.21814237279221868,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "520513",
      "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of uncombed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31448561.80672096,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 41.95995431614356,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8082935566626118,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "MAR",
      "hs_code": "600410",
      "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics of a width exceeding 30 cm, other than those of heading 60.01, containing by weight 5% or more of elastomeric yarn but not containing rubber thread",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 171908495.9419346,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 48.25262804782835,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9630588219351499,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "MAR",
    "distance_km": 6631,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 132725.261467,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 3554.05047330835,
    "importer_population": 37344.788,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 9,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 3.6,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 29.711874498084295,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-MAR/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-MAR/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-MAR/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-MAR/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-MAR/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}