{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.621Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Lithuania: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Lithuania, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "LTU",
    "country_name": "Lithuania"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "all_history_lane_count": 78,
    "current_lane_count": 29,
    "current_product_count": 29,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 167721875.76400232,
    "attention_trade_usd": 115893404.29606687,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 53827084.16222082,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 6426408.122941102,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 113102167.9698103,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 5,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 16,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 11,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 10,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.48860955988800886,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 9.527068892168094,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 3610.1823859708265,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 57.75550688623204,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 76.59627628874563,
    "top_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 96868619.50659591,
    "top_product_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "880240",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 3522.47509765625,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0.44369998574256897,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 23433,
    "buyer_population_latest": 2795.321,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 9.014668841947326,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 8.425656534698645,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.5432407108000303,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.136,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 21.744,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 69.09856199029032,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 65503.849705,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 23433,
    "buyer_population_2024": 2795.321
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 24877767.316114347,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 15494284.514943643,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.71834780001596,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4985713.15962591,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -67.82224339034578,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3097657.245896938,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.86932487449073,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -50.064739475302744
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 2633767.162626254,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -14.975513636479265,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -44.605248637477445
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 17014875.72876838,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 546.0280912532162,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 50.55684231119029
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 13936936.168478156,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.089697564385443,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.08640736217839
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 6284594.208379432,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.90691689760621,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.62876481513064
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 6967436.713269728,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 10.865339626540127,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -25.74117318439949
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3425229.5162309553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.83945994503998,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.36158079855968
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 11768150.29948848,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 243.5726056815569,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 23.25663922209664
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 19808811.679084595,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.32561766266375,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.664749126634874
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 20704079.24932106,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 4.5195420338199455,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 82.16100535788478
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 32952171.935322195,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 59.15787192711206,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.94790103788242
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4819165.202569287,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -85.37527295005549,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -37.57319183280655
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 7399633.608435749,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 53.545962783984095,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.033819480775826
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 3352236.3274457017,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -54.697266042685186,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -53.317920447011005
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4717320.785379671,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 40.721605656428174,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.709461698761471
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 20856099.018078808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 342.11746385189315,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 41.25623329267878
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 9210740.389463495,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -55.83670569707549,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 40.06188636433943
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4628692.924438484,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -49.74678767698831,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.6302219088039296
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 4061794.0268504936,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.247494202842635,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -42.03556519804529
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 6183388.056814924,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 52.23292997969937,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -12.439011916786269
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 10081537.39856471,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 63.042288563039506,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 29.625207681962795
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 17018738.643836807,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 68.81094590057005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 61.214149863086156
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 26981704.456729826,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 58.54115291030115,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 63.410876472346445
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 69405312.27203968,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 157.23101512487466,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 90.23422305153765
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 89496027.76272158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 28.946942003422915,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 73.89701621890426
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 121556806.90508911,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 35.82368954672426,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 65.15940164633113
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "export_value_usd": 180150688.00878733,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 48.20287945655566,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 37.4298494798456
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "880240",
      "hs_description": "Aeroplanes and other aircraft: of an unladen weight exceeding 15,000kg",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 140081908.45256063,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "310230",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, ammonium nitrate, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 51887764.390996054,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2613457169815607,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "310520",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 103905906.73180604,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 32.69782321780167,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.624788781013333,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 28373061.443548046,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 18.40325591544213,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1326703956771438,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "310420",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31372656.450119544,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 21.411171471622374,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6937131894425188,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "760421",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: alloys, hollow profiles",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 55244131.49291427,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 39.245177354394514,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.170351441678598,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 415072856.74838,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 76.93588187658675,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2278782728132673,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "760429",
      "hs_description": "Aluminium: alloys, bars, rods and profiles, other than hollow",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 73518576.15274389,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 27.823099156708906,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.221587774035523,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "720421",
      "hs_description": "Ferrous waste and scrap: of stainless steel",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 31171528.080028243,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.8832160551625685,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "LTU",
      "hs_code": "550320",
      "hs_description": "Fibres: synthetic staple fibres, of polyesters, not carded, combed or otherwise processed for spinning",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 18734133.97439263,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 53.84120969400402,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.7555977611252637,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "LTU",
    "distance_km": 3530,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": null,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 1,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 65503.84970499999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 23433.3909075201,
    "importer_population": 2795.321,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 5.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.5,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 3.681487642203065,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-LTU/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-LTU/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-LTU/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-LTU/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-LTU/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}