{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:59.833Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Kuwait: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Kuwait, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "KWT",
    "country_name": "Kuwait"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "KWT",
    "all_history_lane_count": 9,
    "current_lane_count": 3,
    "current_product_count": 3,
    "first_observed_last_year": 2012,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 634752.8822654359,
    "attention_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 32410.793400277278,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 500194.0076254686,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 0,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 0,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 2,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.6867173780105622,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 29.816632499748234,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 5906.454649536445,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 73.69532731472931,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 100,
    "top_product_hs6": "271019",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 467783.21422519133,
    "top_product_description": "",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "",
    "distance_km": 2330.280517578125,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.417935121072797,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417935121072797,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 19.4,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 105960.22568799999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 24812,
    "buyer_population_latest": 4328.553,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 2.6105403309166553,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 0.6290050431921435,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 1.9691492396988197,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 19.944,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 59.312,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_product_mix",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "Stable",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 105960.22568799999,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 24812,
    "buyer_population_2024": 4328.553
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 9881.857620830871,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 6178.019362676098,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.48119432875772,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 3798.365230464512,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.51807500941216,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 5307.979928433902,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.74380046083077,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.711290945883675
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 11076.70278672409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 108.68019352123332,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.48437187717096
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 9068.259091616268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -18.13214395817345,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 33.65208330194718
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1987.3214693653224,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -78.0848622730395,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -27.925835366379236
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 9574.24201410867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 381.7661441138827,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -4.742766114802144
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 48068.57392916759,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 402.06140453033686,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 74.35956331346677
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 22541.528587073557,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -53.10547672936985,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 124.68379271630323
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 921896.2753069268,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3989.7682326458926,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 358.34505800314344
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 15079.188030254736,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -98.36432921640404,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -32.05269443055675
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 114682.0777754867,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 660.532182139978,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 71.99034324226933
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 327715.1846913409,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 185.75972030512867,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.161150114359202
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 22583.2862704088,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -93.10886790562394,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.411512699568174
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 144235.70057390872,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 538.6833999571745,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 7.942483314832094
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 84227.85398840462,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -41.60401783104669,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -36.42011712019411
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 64938.139620441834,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -22.901823392791577,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.201518577590136
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 47062.1592305863,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -27.527706359220005,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -31.155958108726278
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 29618.476201151516,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -37.065199120948776,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -29.41664050492824
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 35144.51844913168,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 18.65741576457376,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -18.507197834672397
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 37836.82777598428,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.660680657068775,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -7.014701460028383
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 120968.91271979443,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 219.71208959693917,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.84670508732333
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 72982.10616041158,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -39.66870948946758,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 27.581077325425696
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1145319.5540299464,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 1469.3155682744787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 211.65252682987216
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 563466.6025355785,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -50.80267331916646,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 67.00576669954275
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 428731.2367520727,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -23.911863662762222,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 80.43588392050745
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 1510764.9418814974,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 252.38042213265294,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.670563327763237
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "export_value_usd": 4753527.793382349,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 214.6437716156118,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 103.57101993039572
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "271019",
      "hs_description": "",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 169743717.43798006,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 36.49247739598866,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9040435750375009,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "070310",
      "hs_description": "Vegetables, alliaceous: onions and shallots, fresh or chilled",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 54916844.58113187,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "KWT",
      "hs_code": "740311",
      "hs_description": "Copper: refined, unwrought, cathodes and sections of cathodes",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10188827.630370125,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 57.25330523111689,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.40108322874875646,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "KWT",
    "distance_km": 2329,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 1,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 105960.22568799999,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 24479.36427900964,
    "importer_population": 4328.553,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 19.4,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 1.7,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 4.417935121072797,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.417935121072797,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-KWT/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-KWT/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-KWT/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-KWT/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-KWT/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}