{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.386Z", "seo": { "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Italy: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Italy, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "ITA", "country_name": "Italy" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "all_history_lane_count": 97, "current_lane_count": 25, "current_product_count": 25, "first_observed_last_year": 1995, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 64163348.02868304, "attention_trade_usd": 43169956.44563421, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 48692324.15988423, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 46169860.13568325, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 535709.1671656963, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 15168863.59889211, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 5, "high_volatility_lane_count": 12, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 15, "declining_demand_lane_count": 2, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 12, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.2626468180933466, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 52.82015087138995, "product_concentration_hhi": 2553.9675779494523, "top1_product_share_pct": 46.558130797044576, "top3_product_share_pct": 68.82149706159161, "top_product_hs6": "710812", "top_product_trade_usd": 29873255.498957172, "top_product_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "top_attention_product_hs6": "710812", "top_attention_product_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "distance_km": 4633.51953125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.387122748678161, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.146588354213341, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7369090756717163, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 11, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 35551, "buyer_population_latest": 59066.223, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.3456337761183397, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.6164129413341017, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": -0.26132844935394806, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 21.387999999999998, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 22.601999999999997, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 67.2813339265524, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Volatile products account for the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2099880.198259, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 35551, "buyer_population_2024": 59066.223 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 201453095.8195966, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 239367164.9787351, "yoy_growth_pct": 18.820296111552913, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 203085836.13489026, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.15718701312605, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 153038773.81278965, "yoy_growth_pct": -24.643305153422514, "cagr_3y_pct": -8.75497863834227 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 141994946.50542897, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.216358986821502, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.976112543322573 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 180208970.38723463, "yoy_growth_pct": 26.91224217641055, "cagr_3y_pct": -3.905413276803149 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 161359634.9103023, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.459709878164613, "cagr_3y_pct": 1.780475403541959 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 140548033.1588468, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.897650495444168, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.34082339443886056 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 55791308.75767938, "yoy_growth_pct": -60.30445428245568, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.35068844280266 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 50055447.7178106, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.280922185893814, "cagr_3y_pct": -32.305692597382205 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 64459619.38622437, "yoy_growth_pct": 28.776431587662167, "cagr_3y_pct": -22.882255073785128 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 118468948.49429308, "yoy_growth_pct": 83.78784985443308, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.532413198574112 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 104650916.13550271, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.663843171070276, "cagr_3y_pct": 27.8685954529881 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 35391004.86140092, "yoy_growth_pct": -66.18184898106729, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.11549670116862 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 24100551.98479757, "yoy_growth_pct": -31.902040987022783, "cagr_3y_pct": -41.18688909411987 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 36561587.66650383, "yoy_growth_pct": 51.70435801456572, "cagr_3y_pct": -29.569516366624338 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 75784401.72521164, "yoy_growth_pct": 107.27874953483507, "cagr_3y_pct": 28.892894786197587 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 12655764.211106632, "yoy_growth_pct": -83.30030464976757, "cagr_3y_pct": -19.322246777933906 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 18225708.410582002, "yoy_growth_pct": 44.01112494326669, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.709749402342425 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 38368223.13489316, "yoy_growth_pct": 110.51704696765717, "cagr_3y_pct": -20.298966401939634 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 6991069.532393384, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.77901148089522, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.94877256184946 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 12913380.593373518, "yoy_growth_pct": 84.71251835701081, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.85058224498826 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 22104472.923289098, "yoy_growth_pct": 71.17495115595041, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.791155293160788 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 15932126.103071468, "yoy_growth_pct": -27.92351955931278, "cagr_3y_pct": 31.596206824716955 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 25217483.885319725, "yoy_growth_pct": 58.280719862355234, "cagr_3y_pct": 24.99345333335905 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 14684496.489270229, "yoy_growth_pct": -41.768589776640006, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.744469087974542 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 42375062.12755615, "yoy_growth_pct": 188.57007224264763, "cagr_3y_pct": 38.55181019088554 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 95727740.08250432, "yoy_growth_pct": 125.90584007723109, "cagr_3y_pct": 55.99548120168545 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 148607302.02014032, "yoy_growth_pct": 55.23953860402533, "cagr_3y_pct": 116.30191442795712 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "export_value_usd": 70118745.56699014, "yoy_growth_pct": -52.8160833190504, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.279077863718697 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "710812", "hs_description": "Metals: gold, non-monetary, unwrought (but not powder)", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 7137299630.394237, "current_below_peak_pct": 69.44668125731972, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2389260490424874, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "741110", "hs_description": "Copper: tubes and pipes, of refined copper", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 314161316.506959, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9456698881158977, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "600410", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics of a width exceeding 30 cm, other than those of heading 60.01, containing by weight 5% or more of elastomeric yarn but not containing rubber thread", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 202482964.3172499, "current_below_peak_pct": 44.49457798887152, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6176058329205458, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "600621", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of cotton, unbleached or bleached", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 22743283.376155354, "current_below_peak_pct": 51.649589623308636, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6070653709738258, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "310210", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 347101297.3246268, "current_below_peak_pct": 59.66254267928739, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8282262973250444, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "600622", "hs_description": "Fabrics: knitted or crocheted fabrics, other than those of headings 60.01 to 60.04, of cotton, dyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 90848004.96196973, "current_below_peak_pct": 61.45609910083929, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.6257643968484279, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "410411", "hs_description": "Tanned or crust hides and skins: without hair on, bovine or equine, in the wet state (including wet blue), full grains, unsplit: grain splits", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 359375597.54985774, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.715218559318664, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8200938636413523, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "610821", "hs_description": "Briefs and panties: women's or girls', of cotton, knitted or crocheted", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 101818929.81572741, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.401350229008427, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "520543", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), multiple or cabled, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, 232.55 to 192.31 decitex (44 to 52 metric number) per single yarn, not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 15695730.694274256, "current_below_peak_pct": 35.07325560228541, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.671660663939706, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "hs_code": "520523", "hs_description": "Cotton yarn: (not sewing thread), single, of combed fibres, 85% or more by weight of cotton, less than 232.56 but not less than 192.31 decitex (exceeding 43 but not exceeding 52 metric number), not for retail sale", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 32471966.74657236, "current_below_peak_pct": 91.24652093094521, "lane_volatility_cv": 2.099683309358675, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "ITA", "distance_km": 4642, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2099880.198259, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 35551.286193786254, "importer_population": 59066.223, "importer_biz_entry_days": 11, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 13.8, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.387122748678161, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.146588354213341, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7369090756717163 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-ITA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-ITA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-ITA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-ITA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-ITA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }