{
  "template": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile",
  "source": "api",
  "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.627Z",
  "seo": {
    "title": "Uzbekistan exports to India: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks",
    "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to India, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning."
  },
  "publisher": {
    "name": "Yugalinks",
    "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com",
    "email": "support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  },
  "exporter": {
    "iso3": "UZB",
    "country_name": "Uzbekistan"
  },
  "importer": {
    "iso3": "IND",
    "country_name": "India"
  },
  "latestYear": 2024,
  "risk": {
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "all_history_lane_count": 92,
    "current_lane_count": 19,
    "current_product_count": 19,
    "first_observed_last_year": 1995,
    "latest_data_year": 2024,
    "current_trade_usd": 140740408.3148627,
    "attention_trade_usd": 74071552.0808901,
    "critical_trade_usd": 0,
    "high_volatility_trade_usd": 11055073.068089312,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 12355972.459809916,
    "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0,
    "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 89851379.23417717,
    "access_friction_trade_usd": 0,
    "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0,
    "critical_lane_count": 0,
    "high_attention_lane_count": 6,
    "high_volatility_lane_count": 9,
    "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 6,
    "declining_demand_lane_count": 0,
    "concentrated_market_lane_count": 13,
    "access_friction_lane_count": 0,
    "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5967134748017972,
    "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 6.4483032062931676,
    "product_concentration_hhi": 2047.2516278588519,
    "top1_product_share_pct": 30.687692512466764,
    "top3_product_share_pct": 73.32041734848656,
    "top_product_hs6": "710692",
    "top_product_trade_usd": 43189983.74445527,
    "top_product_description": "Metals: silver, semi-manufactured",
    "top_attention_product_hs6": "740200",
    "top_attention_product_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
    "distance_km": 1584.1029052734375,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "common_spoken_language_score": 0,
    "has_reported_fta": 0,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.22572753563219,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.22572753563219,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null,
    "buyer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null,
    "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 2277,
    "buyer_population_latest": 1393409.058,
    "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 6.63597808578098,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 5.710094876388561,
    "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.8758701905197341,
    "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 35.896,
    "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 30.939999999999998,
    "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient",
    "attention_trade_share_pct": 52.62991131529059,
    "critical_trade_share_pct": 0,
    "risk_driver_labels": [
      "high_volatility",
      "unrecovered_drawdown",
      "concentrated_buyer_markets"
    ],
    "attention_level": "High attention",
    "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure",
    "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 3173397.590817,
    "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 2277,
    "buyer_population_2024": 1393409.058
  },
  "history": [
    {
      "year": 1995,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 9753372.261920918,
      "yoy_growth_pct": null,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1996,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2379156.1973135634,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -75.60683491388659,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1997,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 2465948.6758906553,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 3.6480361682471374,
      "cagr_3y_pct": null
    },
    {
      "year": 1998,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 1522622.941110514,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -38.25407008681676,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -46.154941125226244
    },
    {
      "year": 1999,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 11892643.906949725,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 681.0629661389386,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 70.98256188051614
    },
    {
      "year": 2000,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 7104716.03819806,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -40.25957479441333,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 42.29431974039828
    },
    {
      "year": 2001,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 16668229.071277985,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 134.60795592198616,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 122.04058546856564
    },
    {
      "year": 2002,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 16531147.88982654,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -0.8224099924787898,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 11.602742063048499
    },
    {
      "year": 2003,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 26623101.77765878,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 61.04811326527992,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 55.32355044093287
    },
    {
      "year": 2004,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 25754823.473481767,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -3.2613716892508804,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 15.608483869023694
    },
    {
      "year": 2005,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 29748451.18091166,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 15.506329179626865,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 21.63366218528122
    },
    {
      "year": 2006,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 25962636.35976383,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.726090505098398,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -0.8338667285945567
    },
    {
      "year": 2007,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 12475970.108798895,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -51.94644358947381,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -21.463432530481953
    },
    {
      "year": 2008,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 72626852.43295068,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 482.1339086226996,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.65142515973487
    },
    {
      "year": 2009,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 24829796.873450905,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -65.81182298052384,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -1.476130858631508
    },
    {
      "year": 2010,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 21714292.896323625,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -12.547440452316028,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 20.28841120583824
    },
    {
      "year": 2011,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 44404066.270535894,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 104.4923428202159,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -15.125901747572257
    },
    {
      "year": 2012,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 29247234.311281808,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -34.133882845119814,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 5.6097170937234875
    },
    {
      "year": 2013,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 28486438.806165468,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -2.601256231680238,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 9.470597734854348
    },
    {
      "year": 2014,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 30507380.869542852,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 7.094400522047639,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -11.760969597149817
    },
    {
      "year": 2015,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 44136091.93510673,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 44.67348778265705,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 14.701656615468227
    },
    {
      "year": 2016,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 32942153.58825095,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -25.362323341437254,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 4.963412705402281
    },
    {
      "year": 2017,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 73846554.56454948,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 124.17039118804718,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 34.268799051128184
    },
    {
      "year": 2018,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 103043236.9636358,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 39.53695953893885,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 32.660574118450846
    },
    {
      "year": 2019,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 133119023.68415752,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 29.187540693365,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 59.2805373004244
    },
    {
      "year": 2020,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 26804374.540605824,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -79.86435462131787,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -28.666782491791032
    },
    {
      "year": 2021,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 21287023.251635786,
      "yoy_growth_pct": -20.58377180415767,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -40.88489293145414
    },
    {
      "year": 2022,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 45189802.79626496,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 112.28803230058193,
      "cagr_3y_pct": -30.24102230779483
    },
    {
      "year": 2023,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 60884348.4475668,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 34.73028134701006,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 31.451837624811052
    },
    {
      "year": 2024,
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "export_value_usd": 145126066.6874024,
      "yoy_growth_pct": 138.36350455878494,
      "cagr_3y_pct": 89.61680743107227
    }
  ],
  "riskLanes": [
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "710692",
      "hs_description": "Metals: silver, semi-manufactured",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 2017321612.259997,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.46007927829010886,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "740200",
      "hs_description": "Copper: unrefined, copper anodes for electrolytic refining",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1237019976.793243,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.698722645457457,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "261210",
      "hs_description": "Uranium ores and concentrates",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 23255981.945985083,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.2506725499112842,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "310210",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: nitrogenous, urea, whether or not in aqueous solution",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1975050458.5657086,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.827148875926148,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "790112",
      "hs_description": "Zinc: unwrought, (not alloyed), containing by weight less than 99.99% of zinc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 82086162.97311175,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 73.77456128918386,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1989218845738363,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "130190",
      "hs_description": "Natural gums, resins, gum-resins and oleoresins, n.e.c. in heading no. 1301",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 180190520.9599924,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 65.03607009475351,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.9236299516239167,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "310430",
      "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium sulphate",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 37062501.42545731,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0.44714890070819935,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "741110",
      "hs_description": "Copper: tubes and pipes, of refined copper",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 1051688031.718121,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 0,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 0,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier",
        "limited_history"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "810720",
      "hs_description": "Cadmium: unwrought, powders",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 29649380.03267819,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 1.4539380295320863,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2640830415031388,
      "attention_level": "Watch",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility"
      ]
    },
    {
      "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
      "importer_iso3": "IND",
      "hs_code": "790111",
      "hs_description": "Zinc: unwrought, (not alloyed), containing by weight 99.99% or more of zinc",
      "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 391031557.58009154,
      "current_below_peak_pct": 86.80673591014711,
      "lane_volatility_cv": 1.2612868352189357,
      "attention_level": "High attention",
      "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak",
      "risk_driver_labels": [
        "high_volatility",
        "unrecovered_drawdown",
        "concentrated_buyer_market",
        "dominant_supplier"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "accessProfile": {
    "year": 2024,
    "exporter_iso3": "UZB",
    "importer_iso3": "IND",
    "distance_km": 1575,
    "shares_land_border": 0,
    "shares_official_language": 0,
    "shares_ethnic_language": 0,
    "shared_religion": 0,
    "shared_legal_system": 0,
    "shared_colonial_history": 0,
    "has_fta": 0,
    "rta_coverage_ratio": null,
    "exporter_is_wto": 0,
    "importer_is_wto": 1,
    "exporter_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_is_eu": 0,
    "importer_gdp_million_usd": 3173397.5908170003,
    "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 2277.434305882774,
    "importer_population": 1393409.058,
    "importer_biz_entry_days": 17.5,
    "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 7.2,
    "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001,
    "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414,
    "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 26.22572753563219,
    "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 26.22572753563219,
    "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null,
    "tariff_advantage_pp": null
  },
  "sourceAttribution": {
    "publisher": "OECD",
    "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D",
    "year": 2025,
    "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)",
    "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/",
    "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0",
    "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/",
    "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions",
    "accessed": "2026-08-29",
    "supportingSources": [
      {
        "publisher": "CEPII",
        "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows",
        "release": "202601",
        "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.",
        "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html",
        "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37",
        "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf",
        "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence",
        "accessed": "2026-08-29"
      }
    ]
  },
  "links": {
    "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IND/risk",
    "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IND/risk/index.html",
    "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IND/risk/index.md",
    "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IND/risk/index.json",
    "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IND/risk/index.ld.json",
    "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/",
    "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/",
    "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources",
    "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology",
    "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors",
    "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact",
    "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com",
    "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks"
  }
}