{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:53.625Z", "seo": { "title": "Uzbekistan exports to Indonesia: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to Indonesia, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "IDN", "country_name": "Indonesia" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "all_history_lane_count": 15, "current_lane_count": 3, "current_product_count": 3, "first_observed_last_year": 2003, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 86642007.58423708, "attention_trade_usd": 86612158.59241267, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 81765136.07602957, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 29848.991824416702, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 0, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 86642007.58423708, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 2, "high_volatility_lane_count": 1, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 1, "declining_demand_lane_count": 0, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 3, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 1.1499997982469203, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 1.4669960659556056, "product_concentration_hhi": 8937.228247217688, "top1_product_share_pct": 94.37123902805921, "top3_product_share_pct": 100, "top_product_hs6": "310420", "top_product_trade_usd": 81765136.07602957, "top_product_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "top_attention_product_hs6": "310420", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 6513.42431640625, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371646, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371646, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 4292, "buyer_population_latest": 276361.786, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 4.5254352248609075, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 3.701487543021109, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.7945379582891654, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 30.339999999999996, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 32.702, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 99.9655490533326, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 1186092.99132, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 4292, "buyer_population_2024": 276361.786 }, "history": [ { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 13369912.995143622, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 4287886.163351151, "yoy_growth_pct": -67.92884018834941, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 18508733.726777583, "yoy_growth_pct": 331.6517048650443, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 8497357.48216114, "yoy_growth_pct": -54.09001173393319, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.022442604199037 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2638619.2039029757, "yoy_growth_pct": -68.94776747427255, "cagr_3y_pct": -14.94278526383278 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2368142.341300053, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.25069711471971, "cagr_3y_pct": -49.61007656879553 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2762619.7719668206, "yoy_growth_pct": 16.65767398298401, "cagr_3y_pct": -31.238436655272082 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 2427202.095810851, "yoy_growth_pct": -12.14128992920267, "cagr_3y_pct": -2.745492291818763 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 9138942.802274918, "yoy_growth_pct": 276.5217085980592, "cagr_3y_pct": 56.85416390629494 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 8345307.519810579, "yoy_growth_pct": -8.684103836023382, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.55742705059605 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 23822036.743385572, "yoy_growth_pct": 185.45427100002522, "cagr_3y_pct": 114.10377133110403 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 8874254.97268007, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.74770680494355, "cagr_3y_pct": -0.9748943432763557 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 388182.861898219, "yoy_growth_pct": -95.6257413935788, "cagr_3y_pct": -64.03627476936461 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 5796305.940005182, "yoy_growth_pct": 1393.1895528981302, "cagr_3y_pct": -37.57036391137576 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 1641400.594974124, "yoy_growth_pct": -71.68195378291821, "cagr_3y_pct": -43.023701977637764 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 5441581.128413901, "yoy_growth_pct": 231.52060167857346, "cagr_3y_pct": 141.11797278437552 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 27367995.4590663, "yoy_growth_pct": 402.9419724381369, "cagr_3y_pct": 67.76340400750749 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 9369002.072204359, "yoy_growth_pct": -65.76657546506333, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.71441457818116 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 9129381.7033223, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.5575868917027567, "cagr_3y_pct": 18.824342269881832 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 10958180.16793451, "yoy_growth_pct": 20.0320079063699, "cagr_3y_pct": -26.294740008247896 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 25789953.399439998, "yoy_growth_pct": 135.34887184010503, "cagr_3y_pct": 40.14762447549198 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 44574055.420648016, "yoy_growth_pct": 72.83495914194205, "cagr_3y_pct": 69.64729049225828 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 20529808.68285045, "yoy_growth_pct": -53.942246248160686, "cagr_3y_pct": 23.27702785152088 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 17365529.655487694, "yoy_growth_pct": -15.41309554436342, "cagr_3y_pct": -12.35123007295238 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 10016243.329076046, "yoy_growth_pct": -42.32111817038183, "cagr_3y_pct": -39.20410737933593 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 33576050.49025249, "yoy_growth_pct": 235.21600251847846, "cagr_3y_pct": 17.818883362041028 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 82762040.89631495, "yoy_growth_pct": 146.49129271574606, "cagr_3y_pct": 68.28589594652101 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "export_value_usd": 87205057.86689307, "yoy_growth_pct": 5.3684236426025045, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.72114651078013 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "310420", "hs_description": "Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: potassic, potassium chloride", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 868631349.0327282, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.1951970021628344, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "470610", "hs_description": "Pulp: cotton linters pulp", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 12459348.607907107, "current_below_peak_pct": 25.909519193491644, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.3897165923360442, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "hs_code": "121190", "hs_description": "Plants and parts (including seeds and fruits) n.e.c. in heading no. 1211, of a kind used primarily in perfumery, in pharmacy or for insecticidal, fungicidal or similar purposes, fresh, chilled, frozen or dried, whether or not cut, crushed or powdered", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 10995083.502192436, "current_below_peak_pct": 50.90494720878625, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.8000479263617855, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "limited_history" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "IDN", "distance_km": 6505, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 0, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 1186092.99132, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 4291.8125855504495, "importer_population": 276361.786, "importer_biz_entry_days": 12.6, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 5.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371646, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 11.025576423371646, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": null, "tariff_advantage_pp": null }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IDN/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IDN/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IDN/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IDN/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-IDN/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }