{ "template": "Corridor pair risk profile", "pageType": "Corridor pair risk profile", "source": "api", "generatedAt": "2026-08-29T11:47:57.445Z", "seo": { "title": "Uzbekistan exports to France: Trade Route Risk | Yugalinks", "description": "Understand reported exports from Uzbekistan to France, the product routes that need a closer look, and the conditions that may affect planning." }, "publisher": { "name": "Yugalinks", "url": "https://www.yugalinks.com", "email": "support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" }, "exporter": { "iso3": "UZB", "country_name": "Uzbekistan" }, "importer": { "iso3": "FRA", "country_name": "France" }, "latestYear": 2024, "risk": { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "all_history_lane_count": 43, "current_lane_count": 10, "current_product_count": 10, "first_observed_last_year": 1996, "latest_data_year": 2024, "current_trade_usd": 127525448.5906008, "attention_trade_usd": 7042330.816923099, "critical_trade_usd": 0, "high_volatility_trade_usd": 7411775.651988232, "unrecovered_drawdown_trade_usd": 1556237.8390186883, "declining_demand_trade_usd": 42892.67990626138, "concentrated_market_trade_usd": 104618338.45955658, "access_friction_trade_usd": 0, "buyer_macro_weakness_trade_usd": 0, "critical_lane_count": 0, "high_attention_lane_count": 3, "high_volatility_lane_count": 5, "unrecovered_drawdown_lane_count": 2, "declining_demand_lane_count": 1, "concentrated_market_lane_count": 5, "access_friction_lane_count": 0, "trade_weighted_volatility_cv": 0.5966527334855549, "trade_weighted_below_peak_pct": 37.81764072673359, "product_concentration_hhi": 6090.05379130181, "top1_product_share_pct": 76.30363720439853, "top3_product_share_pct": 95.35310289876683, "top_product_hs6": "284410", "top_product_trade_usd": 97306555.63585378, "top_product_description": "Uranium: natural uranium and its compounds, alloys, dispersions (including cermets), ceramic products and mixtures containing natural uranium or natural uranium compounds", "top_attention_product_hs6": "130212", "top_attention_product_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "distance_km": 5153.064453125, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "common_spoken_language_score": 0, "has_reported_fta": 0, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.387122748678161, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.146588354213341, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7369090756717163, "buyer_biz_entry_days": 4, "buyer_biz_entry_cost_pct": null, "buyer_gdp_mn_latest": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_latest": 43519, "buyer_population_latest": 67499.344, "buyer_gdp_5y_cagr_pct": 3.025953008194504, "buyer_gdp_pc_5y_cagr_pct": 2.671974083461248, "buyer_population_5y_cagr_pct": 0.34476684401285596, "buyer_investment_5y_avg_pct": 23.700000000000003, "buyer_savings_5y_avg_pct": 23.02, "buyer_macro_resilience_label": "Buyer macro trend resilient", "attention_trade_share_pct": 5.522294486907729, "critical_trade_share_pct": 0, "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand", "concentrated_product_mix", "concentrated_buyer_markets" ], "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Buyer-market concentration is the largest observed corridor exposure", "buyer_gdp_mn_2024": 2937472.7579530003, "buyer_gdp_pc_2024": 43519, "buyer_population_2024": 67499.344 }, "history": [ { "year": 1995, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 122122925.70479074, "yoy_growth_pct": null, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1996, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 105592269.54146488, "yoy_growth_pct": -13.536079378973954, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1997, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 94176189.17146713, "yoy_growth_pct": -10.811473623563694, "cagr_3y_pct": null }, { "year": 1998, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 90735854.09746623, "yoy_growth_pct": -3.653083761689546, "cagr_3y_pct": -9.42800988705902 }, { "year": 1999, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 58822470.39140887, "yoy_growth_pct": -35.1717455282636, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.718213639707592 }, { "year": 2000, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 54579681.88823235, "yoy_growth_pct": -7.212870311200303, "cagr_3y_pct": -16.626129684358983 }, { "year": 2001, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 50982635.0530109, "yoy_growth_pct": -6.590450348515109, "cagr_3y_pct": -17.482173117367715 }, { "year": 2002, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 36096149.58558852, "yoy_growth_pct": -29.199129177892946, "cagr_3y_pct": -15.0221238373062 }, { "year": 2003, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 26785579.872990742, "yoy_growth_pct": -25.793802994198167, "cagr_3y_pct": -21.12185580256766 }, { "year": 2004, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 37033203.48975046, "yoy_growth_pct": 38.25798681735062, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.107594737217074 }, { "year": 2005, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 40557832.15815342, "yoy_growth_pct": 9.517482519108732, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.9612003550925534 }, { "year": 2006, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 59341974.41859236, "yoy_growth_pct": 46.314463226710515, "cagr_3y_pct": 30.362789954471523 }, { "year": 2007, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 198640154.87345245, "yoy_growth_pct": 234.7380278793298, "cagr_3y_pct": 75.04857829558844 }, { "year": 2008, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 14554046.539292946, "yoy_growth_pct": -92.67315989127934, "cagr_3y_pct": -28.938177436240288 }, { "year": 2009, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 180520497.39111695, "yoy_growth_pct": 1140.3457478560933, "cagr_3y_pct": 44.895481749141155 }, { "year": 2010, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 106609340.01231018, "yoy_growth_pct": -40.94336014301487, "cagr_3y_pct": -18.733902814864567 }, { "year": 2011, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 142358893.5354451, "yoy_growth_pct": 33.53322843852791, "cagr_3y_pct": 113.86199551369617 }, { "year": 2012, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 125651934.44455567, "yoy_growth_pct": -11.735802854304744, "cagr_3y_pct": -11.376774476322083 }, { "year": 2013, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 122896022.3816444, "yoy_growth_pct": -2.193290596833053, "cagr_3y_pct": 4.852999173186534 }, { "year": 2014, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 102836689.33232264, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.322198766554862, "cagr_3y_pct": -10.273410417275276 }, { "year": 2015, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 140699535.33859214, "yoy_growth_pct": 36.81842176376715, "cagr_3y_pct": 3.842346857016632 }, { "year": 2016, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 53243605.52064001, "yoy_growth_pct": -62.157937911799245, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.332414396216905 }, { "year": 2017, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 44529675.65611167, "yoy_growth_pct": -16.36615285407439, "cagr_3y_pct": -24.345665549813823 }, { "year": 2018, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 8267003.9736948665, "yoy_growth_pct": -81.43484350180702, "cagr_3y_pct": -61.1236788522894 }, { "year": 2019, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 10061405.882716881, "yoy_growth_pct": 21.705589046911044, "cagr_3y_pct": -42.61517380001241 }, { "year": 2020, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 13172690.019290108, "yoy_growth_pct": 30.922956223420805, "cagr_3y_pct": -33.369207295926095 }, { "year": 2021, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 71683388.4189706, "yoy_growth_pct": 444.18185134545286, "cagr_3y_pct": 105.4424220518265 }, { "year": 2022, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 92927142.9337251, "yoy_growth_pct": 29.635533396650192, "cagr_3y_pct": 109.81086387983154 }, { "year": 2023, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 74803452.0873173, "yoy_growth_pct": -19.50311854452845, "cagr_3y_pct": 78.40857434142836 }, { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "export_value_usd": 131714516.16958262, "yoy_growth_pct": 76.08079907306097, "cagr_3y_pct": 22.481840849730705 } ], "riskLanes": [ { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "284410", "hs_description": "Uranium: natural uranium and its compounds, alloys, dispersions (including cermets), ceramic products and mixtures containing natural uranium or natural uranium compounds", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 934058586.6122246, "current_below_peak_pct": 48.090615673601945, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6837975989310852, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The buyer market is concentrated among relatively few suppliers", "risk_driver_labels": [ "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "750210", "hs_description": "Nickel: unwrought, not alloyed", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 352362204.1579809, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "130212", "hs_description": "Vegetable saps and extracts: of liquorice", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 16001702.59137924, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0190484297320817, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "491199", "hs_description": "Printed matter: n.e.c. in heading no. 4911", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 276385988.13469, "current_below_peak_pct": 26.286163383493, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.6329111533618285, "attention_level": "Stable", "primary_risk_reason": "No material risk condition is currently identified", "risk_driver_labels": [] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "080620", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: grapes, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 75392446.50464295, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.5470677293222264, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "810294", "hs_description": "Molybdenum: unwrought, including bars and rods obtained simply by sintering", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 13448117.217111066, "current_below_peak_pct": 63.3656873863392, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.0608895754640868, "attention_level": "High attention", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "unrecovered_drawdown", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "741300", "hs_description": "Copper: stranded wire, cables, plaited bands and the like, not electrically insulated", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 178211058.82600525, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 0, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "The lane has limited historical coverage", "risk_driver_labels": [ "limited_history" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "081310", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: apricots, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 40939900.684181765, "current_below_peak_pct": 11.270975235835076, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.3947758851536212, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility", "concentrated_buyer_market", "dominant_supplier" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "081340", "hs_description": "Fruit, edible: fruit n.e.c. in heading no. 0812, dried", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 24797127.35540861, "current_below_peak_pct": 0, "lane_volatility_cv": 1.25594796378625, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Trade has varied substantially across reported years", "risk_driver_labels": [ "high_volatility" ] }, { "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "hs_code": "520812", "hs_description": "Fabrics, woven: containing 85% or more by weight of cotton, unbleached, plain weave, weighing more than 100g/m2 but not more than 200g/m2", "buyer_imports_latest_usd": 11913266.781070247, "current_below_peak_pct": 97.60703532982332, "lane_volatility_cv": 0.943894298619467, "attention_level": "Watch", "primary_risk_reason": "Current trade remains more than 50% below its historical peak", "risk_driver_labels": [ "unrecovered_drawdown", "declining_buyer_demand" ] } ], "accessProfile": { "year": 2024, "exporter_iso3": "UZB", "importer_iso3": "FRA", "distance_km": 5162, "shares_land_border": 0, "shares_official_language": 0, "shares_ethnic_language": 0, "shared_religion": 0, "shared_legal_system": 1, "shared_colonial_history": 0, "has_fta": 0, "rta_coverage_ratio": null, "exporter_is_wto": 0, "importer_is_wto": 1, "exporter_is_eu": 0, "importer_is_eu": 1, "importer_gdp_million_usd": 2937472.757953, "importer_gdp_per_capita_usd": 43518.5378683532, "importer_population": 67499.344, "importer_biz_entry_days": 4, "importer_biz_entry_cost_pct": 0.7, "exporter_gdp_million_usd": 69238.90310600001, "exporter_gdp_per_capita_usd": 1983.0647228849414, "avg_applied_tariff_pct": 2.387122748678161, "avg_mfn_tariff_pct": 4.8834974298850575, "avg_preferential_tariff_pct": 2.146588354213341, "tariff_advantage_pp": 2.7369090756717163 }, "sourceAttribution": { "publisher": "OECD", "dataset": "Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D", "year": 2025, "citation": "OECD (2025), Balanced international merchandise trade statistics (BIMTS) - HS2017-6D, OECD Data Explorer (accessed on 2026-08-29)", "sourceUrl": "https://data-explorer.oecd.org/", "dataflowUrl": "https://sdmx.oecd.org/sti-public/rest/dataflow/OECD.SDD.TPS/DSD_BIMTS_6D@DF_BIMTS_HS2017_6D/1.0", "termsUrl": "https://www.oecd.org/termsandconditions/", "terms": "OECD Terms & Conditions", "accessed": "2026-08-29", "supportingSources": [ { "publisher": "CEPII", "dataset": "BACI bilateral trade flows", "release": "202601", "citation": "Gaulier, G. and Zignago, S. (2010), BACI: International Trade Database at the Product-Level. The 1994-2007 Version, CEPII Working Paper No. 2010-23.", "sourceUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/DATA_DOWNLOAD/baci/doc/baci_webpage.html", "datasetUrl": "https://www.cepii.fr/CEPII/en/bdd_modele/bdd_modele_item.asp?id=37", "licenseUrl": "https://www.etalab.gouv.fr/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/open-licence.pdf", "license": "Etalab 2.0 Open Licence", "accessed": "2026-08-29" } ] }, "links": { "canonical": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-FRA/risk", "html": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-FRA/risk/index.html", "markdown": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-FRA/risk/index.md", "json": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-FRA/risk/index.json", "jsonLd": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/corridor/UZB-FRA/risk/index.ld.json", "home": "https://www.yugalinks.com/", "tradeHub": "https://www.yugalinks.com/trade/", "dataSources": "https://www.yugalinks.com/data-sources", "methodology": "https://www.yugalinks.com/methodology", "workspace": "https://www.yugalinks.com/app/corridors", "contact": "https://www.yugalinks.com/contact", "email": "mailto:support@yugalinks.com", "linkedin": "https://in.linkedin.com/company/yugalinks" } }